Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

342

lifetime

Volume

$3.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-04-08

last 06-11 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

51% 100% +$14

Other

41% 100% +$3

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No		+15	$11	73¢	$11	$-0	06-01 15:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	11	$324	186	195	-10	open	—	04-13 16:41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$299	155	155	+0	open	—	06-02 15:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	17	$244	173	106	+66	open	—	05-28 20:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	13	$200	174	66	+108	open	—	05-30 21:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	9	$198	105	105	+0	open	—	05-16 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$151	101	101	+0	open	—	04-25 21:45
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$141	75	75	+0	open	—	05-15 11:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	7	$102	75	40	+35	open	—	05-11 11:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	7	$99	75	45	+30	No	+$10	05-06 13:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	6	$98	60	60	+0	open	—	05-15 16:19
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$95	40	60	-20	open	—	04-11 16:41
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	4	$83	47	47	+0	open	—	04-29 20:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$78	45	45	+0	open	—	05-20 14:52
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$65	36	36	+0	open	—	04-25 21:45
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	6	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	04-28 09:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$61	40	50	-10	open	—	05-22 21:27
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$61	35	35	+0	open	—	05-27 14:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	05-03 23:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	6	$54	50	30	+20	open	—	05-06 09:39
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	16	$53	165	165	+0	open	—	04-12 18:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$52	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 07:20
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	3	$49	30	30	+0	open	—	05-19 10:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	2	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	06-09 17:24
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$48	30	30	+0	open	—	04-16 01:33
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	2	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	04-13 22:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	4	$44	45	45	+0	open	—	04-15 18:59
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-11 15:40
iran closes its airspace by june 8	7	$39	35	35	+0	open	—	06-07 21:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$39	25	25	+0	open	—	05-18 18:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	5	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	05-05 19:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 17:30:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x6610ae…
06-09 17:24:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x36e06f…
06-09 17:23:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x9391ac…
06-08 10:17:21	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x6b7f9f…
06-08 08:38:18	israel closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x4089a5…
06-07 21:31:57	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x4d0c8f…
06-07 21:30:25	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xfb862e…
06-07 21:03:16	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x81874f…
06-07 20:49:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x59c998…
06-07 20:46:52	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x34b9ef…
06-07 20:45:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x94b7c0…
06-07 20:41:45	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc60327…
06-07 19:51:12	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x3df912…
06-07 19:39:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x00a171…
06-06 12:00:33	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x83441c…
06-06 11:58:24	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	BetBoom Team	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2e0f44…
06-06 11:57:12	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	Team Yandex	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xe7c21c…
06-06 11:24:34	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	Team Yandex	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3d84d4…
06-02 23:59:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xe6fce4…
06-02 23:23:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xb7a0fb…
06-02 15:20:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	150	99¢	$149	0x3307c4…
06-02 10:44:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4bf2a9…
06-02 10:24:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8ec69a…
06-01 20:15:44	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x0938a1…
06-01 16:35:07	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x9f1229…
06-01 15:53:49	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	18	93¢	$17	0xb21430…
06-01 15:48:41	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x8d08ca…
06-01 15:46:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xe97c6b…
06-01 15:30:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2d3202…
06-01 15:05:54	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0xaaaff0…
06-01 13:56:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xc53ddd…
06-01 12:31:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x2dd2dc…
06-01 12:21:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x06d0e2…
05-30 21:00:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x659986…
05-30 20:58:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x50cca4…
05-30 20:57:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x7ef523…
05-30 20:01:40	Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x602adb…
05-30 08:01:00	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xfe74f8…
05-29 15:43:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x58eeb9…
05-29 15:07:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xd485e0…
05-28 20:33:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xf38a16…
05-28 14:21:46	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0x979330…
05-28 14:17:21	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?	No	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x3dc09f…
05-27 14:15:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xcec292…
05-26 09:28:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0x4c00bd…
05-25 21:03:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xf9c502…
05-25 16:52:08	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x550e2b…
05-25 16:15:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xc142bd…
05-25 16:09:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x10baac…
05-25 15:19:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0x56c813…
05-25 09:59:33	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x6e6e38…
05-25 09:59:33	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x55c83b…
05-25 09:45:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xaf4691…
05-24 16:13:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x9e8f64…
05-24 16:11:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x194f78…
05-24 16:10:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xbf5a48…
05-24 16:08:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xcbdf6d…
05-24 15:46:28	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by May 31?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xeff0ab…
05-23 21:42:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xfe5d9b…
05-23 21:42:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	23	81¢	$19	0xf97bab…
05-22 21:29:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x09850f…
05-22 21:27:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x63ec18…
05-22 17:55:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xa7989f…
05-22 16:11:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x60b881…
05-20 21:20:04	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x58d92d…
05-20 21:16:29	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x54e577…
05-20 21:00:56	Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xbf5a8f…
05-20 16:27:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xe1457f…
05-20 16:16:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$37	0xc72d8c…
05-20 15:26:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	26	78¢	$20	0x7f30f4…
05-20 15:18:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x00ba36…
05-20 14:52:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	84¢	$38	0x6df822…
05-19 10:57:59	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x9584e8…
05-18 19:55:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	40	74¢	$30	0x84067c…
05-18 18:36:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xdbafbc…
05-18 18:09:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x2f90e6…
05-18 15:48:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xdbece3…
05-18 14:50:33	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0x314ec4…
05-18 14:49:37	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x575d69…
05-18 09:47:16	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	SELL	20	76¢	$15	0x1bd637…
05-17 23:00:11	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4a20cf…
05-17 21:05:35	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xf3556c…
05-17 19:12:02	Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0xd0e074…
05-17 18:01:53	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x784272…
05-17 15:17:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x49c8a2…
05-16 13:50:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf82dd2…
05-16 13:35:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xd700f4…
05-16 13:16:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc7bfee…
05-16 12:16:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xe57ba1…
05-15 20:18:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x845f56…
05-15 20:14:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x919d6d…
05-15 17:08:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x7f18cc…
05-15 16:19:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xcd3b9a…
05-15 11:19:07	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x44287f…
05-14 11:34:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x6cec0b…
05-14 10:47:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x9b74f5…
05-14 10:16:10	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0xc8711f…
05-13 18:14:48	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xd6abbd…
05-13 11:11:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x041b8c…
05-12 09:34:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xdaa309…