Realized P&L
-$148
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
25.4%
Resolved
53
Trades
119
lifetime
Volume
$661
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$106
17 positions
First seen
2026-09-12
last 10-09 21:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
74% 4% -$291
Tech
19% 33% +$160
Crypto
5% 0% -$11
Politics
2% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +56 $30 74¢ $41 +$11 09-20 06:32
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes +366 $30 5¢ $17 -$13 09-20 06:31
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +16 $10 74¢ $12 +$2 09-20 06:29
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? Yes +79 $5 12¢ $10 +$5 09-15 11:22
will anthropic ipo by december 15 2026 No +62 $10 15¢ $9 -$1 09-15 11:19
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +559 $13 1¢ $4 -$9 09-18 07:04
anthropic lab leak by december 31 2026 Yes +171 $6 2¢ $4 -$2 09-20 06:16
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +25 $1 12¢ $3 +$2 09-20 06:33
Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? Yes +42 $7 3¢ $1 -$6 09-20 06:06
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +220 $11 1¢ $1 -$10 10-09 21:53
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +43 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 09-15 11:17
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +3 $1 29¢ $1 $0 09-19 06:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +8 $1 8¢ $1 $0 09-19 11:18
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +23 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-22 12:04
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? Yes +13 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 09-15 12:03
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2 $1 11¢ $0 -$1 09-23 06:31
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +6 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 09-20 06:13