Irritating-Cirrus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$298

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

273

Trades

1,145

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 02:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 42% -$72

Politics

39% 55% +$367

Sports

2% 73% +$14

Other

2% 32% -$10

Tech

0% 33% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	11	$227	128	566	-438	No	+$168	06-05 02:14
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	14	$144	713	460	+254	No	+$100	04-26 16:25
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	11	$123	237	237	+0	No	-$17	06-11 00:25
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$117	163	163	+0	Yes	+$115	04-15 06:34
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	20	$116	322	330	-8	Yes	+$69	04-14 03:47
bitcoin up or down january 30 6pm et	10	$109	100	100	+0	Up	-$4	01-31 00:00
bitcoin up or down january 30 5pm et	9	$82	73	73	+0	Down	+$1	01-30 22:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	8	$77	47	47	+0	No	+$3	06-02 14:35
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	8	$67	338	338	+0	No	-$25	04-26 14:49
bitcoin up or down january 31 4pm et	14	$66	64	64	+0	Up	$0	01-31 21:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$65	38	38	+0	No	+$10	05-31 18:36
bitcoin up or down january 30 1pm et	10	$61	39	44	-6	Up	$0	01-30 18:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$54	29	29	+0	No	+$4	05-11 03:24
bitcoin up or down january 30 11am et	13	$53	42	42	+0	Up	+$1	01-30 16:58
bitcoin up or down january 30 2pm et	6	$47	33	33	+0	Up	-$3	01-30 19:53
bitcoin above 68k on february 20	13	$45	52	48	+4	No	+$0	02-20 15:04
bitcoin up or down january 31 12pm et	13	$42	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	01-31 17:40
bitcoin up or down january 30 12pm et	19	$38	37	37	+0	Down	+$4	01-30 17:58
bitcoin up or down january 31 5pm et	6	$37	28	28	+0	Down	+$2	01-31 22:50
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$31	35	11	+24	Yes	-$12	06-14 22:44
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	12	$26	439	211	+228	No	+$0	06-07 14:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$26	15	15	+0	No	+$3	05-26 14:09
bitcoin up or down january 31 1pm et	7	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	01-31 18:38
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?	2	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	+$0	05-02 05:32
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$24	409	209	+200	No	-$18	04-22 05:25
bitcoin up or down january 23 12pm et	6	$24	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	01-23 17:49
bitcoin above 70k on february 26	10	$23	21	32	-10	No	-$2	02-26 15:27
bitcoin above 68k on february 24	6	$23	13	13	+0	No	-$1	02-23 20:15
bitcoin up or down february 26 1pm et	7	$23	33	19	+14	Up	-$1	02-26 18:47
bitcoin up or down january 28 3pm et	6	$23	21	21	+0	Down	$0	01-28 20:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:25:01	Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xffcf3e…
07-01 02:23:37	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x761193…
06-22 11:08:40	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x921d94…
06-22 02:27:29	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	SELL	77	0¢	$0	0x02df24…
06-16 01:02:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x54a4e3…
06-16 01:02:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd566af…
06-16 01:02:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x72993d…
06-16 01:02:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x524564…
06-15 06:35:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	6¢	$2	0xa7fbca…
06-14 22:59:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	5¢	$0	0x51ce30…
06-14 22:56:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5a2b3e…
06-14 22:44:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x54c72c…
06-14 22:34:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8838f4…
06-14 22:33:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xb5931b…
06-14 17:34:54	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0x1db31f…
06-13 03:08:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb0c59e…
06-13 03:00:39	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7786d6…
06-11 00:38:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x31c304…
06-11 00:28:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xcfc388…
06-11 00:25:48	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	154	5¢	$8	0xe599ca…
06-08 05:45:16	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	102	27¢	$28	0xd96fc5…
06-08 05:20:58	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0c747d…
06-08 04:19:09	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xceb70f…
06-08 03:24:49	Will SpaceX raise between $70B and $80B in its IPO?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd91a10…
06-08 02:31:15	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	42	66¢	$28	0xfd0563…
06-08 01:51:04	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	SELL	42	42¢	$18	0x21a1fe…
06-07 17:25:16	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x006fa8…
06-07 17:23:34	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x3783bf…
06-07 14:37:10	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x66c4e2…
06-07 14:36:45	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x63353a…
06-07 04:29:21	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x465d7c…
06-07 04:28:33	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0x862e63…
06-06 23:26:22	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x4c332c…
06-06 23:25:40	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x22bc61…
06-06 23:25:07	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	SELL	452	1¢	$4	0x541c35…
06-06 23:23:30	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xf62c1a…
06-06 23:23:12	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	468	1¢	$5	0xad3076…
06-06 19:19:45	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0x3a0698…
06-06 19:19:01	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	SELL	196	1¢	$2	0x49ae58…
06-06 16:39:25	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6f8a1e…
06-06 15:13:42	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x0b6ec6…
06-06 14:51:55	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5f0270…
06-05 05:15:28	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x6efd60…
06-05 05:04:37	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	84	1¢	$1	0x674e3b…
06-05 05:03:19	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	26	35¢	$9	0x2b0aef…
06-05 05:03:01	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	151	7¢	$11	0x93e67c…
06-05 03:37:46	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xcb2cff…
06-05 03:01:28	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x96f3e7…
06-05 03:01:27	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?	Yes	BUY	22	34¢	$7	0x11bcfa…
06-05 02:34:24	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x8cf34a…
06-05 02:34:06	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x1a12b0…
06-05 02:33:45	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x16f5df…
06-05 02:27:22	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	BUY	165	1¢	$1	0xa29217…
06-05 02:27:12	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xf8827e…
06-05 02:18:46	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	118	1¢	$1	0x4d466c…
06-05 02:16:55	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x126331…
06-05 02:16:07	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0xfbf795…
06-05 02:15:34	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xa1df6e…
06-05 02:15:25	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xdaed3e…
06-05 02:14:33	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	48	43¢	$21	0x2b0544…
06-04 04:01:37	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x0af370…
06-04 03:53:34	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x746b9a…
06-04 03:52:12	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	BUY	145	0¢	$1	0xf8dca6…
06-04 03:52:12	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x12344a…
06-04 03:51:54	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x26c1e1…
06-04 03:51:52	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x78e25a…
06-04 03:50:52	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xf79106…
06-04 03:50:40	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb1066b…
06-04 03:50:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	11	86¢	$10	0xad29bc…
06-04 00:25:46	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xd2aa3b…
06-03 22:58:25	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0x7b20b3…
06-03 21:50:18	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x3676ea…
06-03 04:59:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x0092aa…
06-03 04:58:48	Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$0	0xddaec2…
06-03 04:58:43	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xc7bc6f…
06-02 14:42:35	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa5e135…
06-02 14:42:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xc98717…
06-02 14:36:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0xc1331b…
06-02 14:35:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x659181…
06-02 14:35:19	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x92b20e…
06-02 14:34:46	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x85fe0d…
06-02 14:34:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0x8db90d…
06-02 08:30:35	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x03b939…
06-02 08:21:50	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xae7bfd…
06-02 01:05:01	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x663a34…
06-02 01:02:21	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	187	2¢	$4	0xd7b921…
06-02 00:49:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x7a985a…
06-01 13:59:31	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	180	0¢	$1	0xe51dd7…
06-01 04:16:20	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb8ce2b…
06-01 03:47:24	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	BUY	193	1¢	$1	0x70c602…
06-01 03:47:13	Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	236	0¢	$1	0x1bf3d4…
06-01 03:46:50	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0xf40261…
05-31 21:15:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x59d4b2…
05-31 19:52:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0x662374…
05-31 18:36:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x28fd31…
05-30 20:53:41	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xc91c30…
05-30 15:21:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x7ef1e9…
05-30 15:21:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0xa8f83f…
05-30 15:05:52	Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 12%+?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0x5ec165…
05-30 15:04:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xba7083…