Original-Functionality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-18 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

59% 95% -$10

Crypto

41% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		-27	-$25	97¢	$-26	-$1	07-15 10:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	2	$341	172	172	+0	open	—	10-18 04:05
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$315	317	0	+317	No	+$2	02-02 12:01
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	2	$280	141	141	+0	No	+$0	04-20 07:56
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$270	271	0	+271	No	+$1	01-03 07:07
will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	1	$270	270	0	+270	No	+$0	01-17 07:33
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	1	$245	246	0	+246	No	+$1	02-02 12:00
solana above 170 on january 5	1	$240	240	0	+240	No	+$0	01-03 07:08
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$234	236	0	+236	No	+$2	06-03 08:12
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	1	$230	230	0	+230	No	+$0	03-03 06:23
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$222	223	0	+223	No	+$1	05-13 06:10
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 60 79	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-03 06:24
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$196	196	0	+196	No	+$0	07-15 10:25
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$180	180	0	+180	No	+$0	04-06 10:56
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$177	177	0	+177	No	+$0	04-06 10:53
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	1	$154	155	0	+155	No	+$1	06-03 08:18
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	1	$150	153	0	+153	No	+$3	03-03 06:22
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$148	148	0	+148	No	+$0	06-24 15:17
Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	1	$123	123	0	+123	No	+$0	09-09 11:56
khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 10 14	1	$123	123	0	+123	No	+$0	04-17 11:39
Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on June 7?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	06-03 08:14
will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	1	$116	116	0	+116	No	+$0	08-16 15:16
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$113	113	0	+113	No	+$0	05-13 06:12
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$103	103	0	+103	No	+$0	05-13 06:13
ethereum above 2600 on january 4	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	01-03 07:07
will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	1	$95	95	0	+95	No	+$0	03-12 07:59
Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	1	$84	84	0	+84	No	+$0	04-06 10:54
ethereum above 2400 on april 6	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	04-06 10:55
nyc mayor of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 60 79	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	04-20 07:59
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	03-18 06:58
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$55	56	0	+56	No	+$1	05-13 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 04:05:11	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$171	0x6c04c2…
10-06 09:12:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x906183…
10-06 09:10:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0xd9974c…
09-09 11:57:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3534c8…
09-09 11:57:21	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x03b2cb…
09-09 11:56:21	Will Solana dip to $10 in September?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xc09788…
08-20 09:43:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3dbea6…
08-16 15:17:10	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x98a4ae…
08-16 15:16:31	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xf07d30…
07-15 10:25:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	196	100¢	$196	0x909015…
07-15 10:19:59	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xf3546e…
06-24 15:17:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x557d89…
06-03 08:18:37	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	BUY	155	99¢	$154	0x07ff1a…
06-03 08:14:29	Will the price of Solana be greater than $130 on June 7?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x4ae861…
06-03 08:12:44	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	236	99¢	$234	0x293652…
05-13 06:15:24	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	56	99¢	$55	0xc42b6c…
05-13 06:13:31	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x6aed04…
05-13 06:12:35	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x63b377…
05-13 06:11:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xa30f5f…
05-13 06:10:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x09ebf9…
04-20 07:59:32	nyc mayor of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 60 79	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x13ee89…
04-20 07:56:34	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	No	SELL	141	100¢	$140	0x6c2d35…
04-20 01:04:22	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 115 139	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xb84aea…
04-17 11:39:08	khamenei of tweets april 10 april 17 2026 10 14	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x6e8f90…
04-06 10:56:35	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x89e001…
04-06 10:55:53	ethereum above 2400 on april 6	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x675520…
04-06 10:54:49	Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xa8f6f6…
04-06 10:53:57	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0x9911d1…
03-18 06:58:35	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x802df4…
03-12 07:59:09	will mistral have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 494	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x1468f6…
03-03 06:24:15	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 60 79	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xebd39a…
03-03 06:23:05	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0x6c8328…
03-03 06:22:43	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0x9351f9…
03-03 06:21:55	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	SELL	35	12¢	$4	0x14c4be…
02-02 12:01:52	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	317	99¢	$315	0xe2b767…
02-02 12:00:10	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	246	100¢	$245	0xfd071d…
01-17 07:33:32	will solana dip to 30 in january 2026	No	BUY	270	100¢	$270	0x120b6b…
01-03 07:08:37	solana above 170 on january 5	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0xbe5197…
01-03 07:07:45	ethereum above 2600 on january 4	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc46fd5…
01-03 07:07:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0x39af4d…
01-03 07:06:31	will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	Yes	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0x40e0fd…