Webbed-Hole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$630

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

185

Trades

635

lifetime

Volume

$9.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 07-19 10:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

79% 51% -$62

Politics

15% 39% +$642

Crypto

4% 40% +$65

Sports

3% 25% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	4	$935	1,110	1,110	+0	Yes	+$735	04-07 23:17
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 17c	6	$237	137	136	+1	No	+$10	04-06 15:07
highest temperature in nyc on march 19 2026 42 43f	5	$204	130	130	+0	No	+$45	03-19 21:53
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 13c	6	$201	120	119	+1	Yes	+$11	04-01 13:07
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	1	$198	2,200	0	+2,200	No	-$198	06-02 10:53
us strikes iraq by february 28	5	$193	450	450	+0	Yes	+$170	02-28 09:55
highest temperature in los angeles on april 6 2026 70 71f	6	$190	107	106	+1	No	+$21	04-06 17:54
highest temperature in istanbul on april 6 2026 16c	5	$189	110	109	+1	No	+$28	04-06 11:53
highest temperature in ankara on april 2 2026 19c	12	$165	93	93	+0	No	+$7	04-02 15:25
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 12c	2	$163	89	89	+0	No	+$14	04-01 09:25
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	4	$148	101	101	+0	No	+$35	02-16 09:06
highest temperature in istanbul on april 7 2026 14c	13	$147	83	82	+1	No	+$12	04-07 13:43
highest temperature in los angeles on april 3 2026 72 73f	4	$143	88	87	+1	No	+$32	04-03 21:01
highest temperature in miami on april 4 2026 80 81f	12	$141	191	0	+191	No	+$50	04-04 11:57
highest temperature in nyc on march 29 2026 54 55f	13	$139	83	83	+0	No	+$21	03-29 19:40
highest temperature in dallas on april 2 2026 80 81f	5	$138	81	81	-0	No	-$6	04-02 19:46
highest temperature in warsaw on april 3 2026 15c	18	$132	78	77	+1	No	+$19	04-03 13:16
highest temperature in atlanta on april 2 2026 80 81f	7	$129	68	68	+0	No	+$7	04-02 18:01
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$128	153	153	+0	No	+$63	06-01 15:32
highest temperature in miami on april 5 2026 80 81f	6	$127	79	79	+0	No	+$22	04-05 17:54
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	6	$127	90	90	+0	Yes	+$40	03-08 22:51
highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 13c	12	$127	85	85	+0	No	-$13	04-03 11:39
highest temperature in nyc on march 28 2026 44 45f	2	$126	80	80	+0	No	+$29	03-28 20:56
highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 15c	2	$116	40	90	-50	No	+$13	03-24 13:46
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be between 60m and 65m	5	$116	100	100	+0	Yes	+$66	03-02 07:32
highest temperature in moscow on april 7 2026 9c	6	$114	77	76	+1	No	+$9	04-07 11:41
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 6 2026 23c	8	$112	60	60	+0	No	+$5	04-06 10:30
highest temperature in los angeles on april 7 2026 68 69f	4	$110	104	29	+75	Yes	-$55	04-07 18:55
highest temperature in madrid on april 3 2026 21c	3	$110	69	68	+1	No	+$22	04-03 16:04
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$110	112	112	+0	No	+$5	03-15 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 10:13:15	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$17	0x4e0037…
07-12 09:36:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	80	38¢	$31	0xae007f…
06-30 18:04:40	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xf1f5ac…
06-30 06:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x56c6b2…
06-29 14:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7aca3e…
06-29 08:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5ce6aa…
06-29 08:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x539d29…
06-28 08:07:19	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0x5ca3f3…
06-28 08:06:05	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	58	10¢	$6	0x98bb49…
06-28 08:05:58	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	340	1¢	$4	0x107516…
06-28 08:05:50	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xd30ee8…
06-28 08:05:44	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	610	0¢	$2	0x4e3cbd…
06-28 08:05:37	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0x4bd23b…
06-26 08:53:58	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	39	19¢	$7	0x2f2337…
06-26 08:52:20	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	66	15¢	$10	0x320cf0…
06-26 08:41:40	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	470	1¢	$4	0x9caefe…
06-26 08:40:17	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	72	6¢	$4	0x05ad01…
06-26 08:37:52	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	118	4¢	$5	0x481c01…
06-26 08:32:22	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	320	1¢	$4	0x425c73…
06-26 08:30:26	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	440	1¢	$5	0x61f2e3…
06-26 08:27:35	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	380	1¢	$5	0x13d316…
06-26 08:11:34	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	150	6¢	$9	0x01287e…
06-26 08:09:31	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$8	0xa8a311…
06-26 07:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xa791ef…
06-26 07:58:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf97863…
06-23 06:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x537c1e…
06-22 06:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 22?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xbed53f…
06-21 14:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xd0f08e…
06-21 07:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xed1dfd…
06-21 07:25:47	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xa3a831…
06-21 07:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe1b832…
06-20 13:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x798f2a…
06-20 12:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xafd7b2…
06-20 08:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x843d37…
06-20 08:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xfb7a7b…
06-20 08:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3498d0…
06-20 07:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xc7cc17…
06-20 07:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x9c9bf3…
06-19 18:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 19?	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0xd6de3b…
06-19 13:56:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe0d683…
06-18 11:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x3f8d2a…
06-18 07:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x5be33f…
06-17 12:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 17?	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x67decf…
06-17 06:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x99fa07…
06-17 06:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 17?	Yes	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xc2e48b…
06-15 19:30:58	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	340	2¢	$6	0xa068c3…
06-15 18:58:01	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	280	5¢	$14	0x0d61c1…
06-15 13:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xdb8c6e…
06-15 07:42:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x368a45…
06-15 07:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x166b3c…
06-15 07:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xce3060…
06-15 07:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 15?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x8e8ea6…
06-15 07:05:18	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	20¢	$51	0x8dc205…
06-14 21:54:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x89e998…
06-14 21:42:30	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	62	17¢	$11	0x548921…
06-14 12:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	SELL	9	60¢	$5	0x20008f…
06-14 09:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xbeca7c…
06-14 09:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 14?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x27f886…
06-12 12:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x9a2adb…
06-12 10:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x5da2e0…
06-12 07:35:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x72e1c0…
06-12 07:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x61c439…
06-12 07:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x3cb82f…
06-12 06:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0x5ecf23…
06-12 06:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x9bd5fc…
06-11 09:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x6e4599…
06-11 09:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0da6a7…
06-11 09:29:45	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	610	1¢	$6	0xef5b16…
06-11 09:28:00	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	470	1¢	$6	0x11d013…
06-11 09:27:34	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	470	1¢	$6	0x5f8592…
06-11 09:26:57	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	440	1¢	$6	0xc96384…
06-11 09:26:30	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	380	2¢	$6	0xaad0ae…
06-11 09:25:36	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	320	2¢	$6	0x429603…
06-11 09:25:03	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	280	2¢	$6	0x9dabcc…
06-11 09:24:28	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0x1ecb40…
06-11 09:23:18	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xe348af…
06-11 09:22:27	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	118	5¢	$6	0x32807b…
06-11 09:21:15	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	72	8¢	$6	0x6cabb7…
06-11 09:20:09	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	66	9¢	$6	0x221d52…
06-11 09:19:12	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	11¢	$6	0x25c2d5…
06-11 09:18:31	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	11¢	$6	0xa3ccf2…
06-11 09:14:55	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0x745224…
06-11 09:12:33	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0x42a339…
06-08 11:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 9?	Yes	BUY	63	13¢	$8	0x9af8e9…
06-08 11:01:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	260	3¢	$9	0xb5092c…
06-04 11:54:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$2	0x69d50c…
06-04 10:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc7d139…
06-04 10:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	16	15¢	$2	0x4331b3…
06-04 10:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x3bf35c…
06-04 09:59:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0xb2b6b4…
06-04 09:50:54	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x7db9cc…
06-04 09:43:49	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	190	3¢	$5	0xa20b5d…
06-04 09:40:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	5¢	$7	0xe63657…
06-04 09:40:00	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x6ac1c3…
06-04 09:39:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0x96532a…
06-04 09:37:42	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	110	5¢	$5	0x6ff82b…
06-03 01:57:51	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x096fc5…
06-03 01:34:03	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0x12651d…
06-03 01:25:46	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x1548fc…
06-02 15:08:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 2?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xd03d43…