Physical-Steppingstone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.3%

Resolved

Trades

665

lifetime

Volume

$7.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-29 16:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

39% 56% $-1

Sports

25% — —

Politics

24% — —

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	6	$472	300	300	+0	open	—	05-27 14:54
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$393	210	210	+0	open	—	05-30 13:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	3	$367	220	220	+0	open	—	05-10 10:28
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	4	$357	201	201	+0	Up	$-1	05-05 14:16
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	2	$348	175	175	+0	open	—	05-14 13:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$298	200	200	+0	open	—	05-11 15:05
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	2	$281	180	180	+0	open	—	05-22 16:51
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	3	$276	150	150	+0	open	—	05-19 16:09
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	4	$234	320	120	+200	open	—	06-12 17:39
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$234	320	320	+0	open	—	05-25 17:02
worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	2	$200	200	200	+0	open	—	06-06 16:02
spy up or down on june 5 2026	6	$199	204	204	+0	open	—	06-05 15:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$190	98	98	+0	open	—	05-07 17:14
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	2	$176	130	130	+0	open	—	05-01 08:51
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$173	200	200	+0	open	—	06-20 14:48
nba was bos 2026 03 14	1	$96	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 18:10
nba nyk bkn 2026 03 20	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	03-20 14:54
nba det was 2026 03 17	1	$94	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 16:30
nba mem det 2026 03 13	1	$92	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 14:28
nba bos mem 2026 03 20	1	$91	100	0	+100	open	—	03-20 14:58
nba okc dal 2026 03 01	1	$91	101	0	+101	open	—	03-01 17:57
nba was orl 2026 03 03	1	$90	100	0	+100	open	—	03-03 17:10
nba hou was 2026 03 02	1	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	03-02 13:20
nba nyk ind 2026 03 13	1	$89	100	0	+100	open	—	03-13 14:21
nba ind nyk 2026 03 17	1	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 16:39
nba sac lal 2026 03 01	1	$88	101	0	+101	open	—	03-01 18:02
nba sas sac 2026 03 17	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 16:48
nba bkn mia 2026 03 05	1	$87	100	0	+100	open	—	03-05 15:42
nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	1	$86	100	0	+100	open	—	03-03 17:13
nba dal cha 2026 03 03	1	$86	101	0	+101	open	—	03-03 17:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 16:27:05	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc82ea3…
06-29 15:49:44	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x02cecd…
06-27 16:12:52	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 corners team away 6pt5	Over	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x59054a…
06-25 19:52:13	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xec82fe…
06-25 16:51:20	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x45f14c…
06-25 16:47:52	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Netherlands	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6ba43c…
06-25 16:39:04	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 spread away 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2cd87b…
06-25 16:36:23	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 btts	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7253ca…
06-23 18:20:25	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners team away 5pt5	Over	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x47ce0a…
06-23 16:39:23	will kingston flemings be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918104	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xb788f3…
06-23 16:33:17	will kingston flemings be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nba draft 20260623154918104	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3b12cb…
06-22 15:37:23	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd24fc4…
06-22 15:26:46	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1a608e…
06-20 20:00:20	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe06833…
06-20 19:59:41	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3b48c2…
06-20 17:23:17	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xbe2614…
06-20 16:40:11	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xe67699…
06-20 16:38:49	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 btts	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2e7f3f…
06-20 14:48:47	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	42¢	$85	0x961cc8…
06-20 14:47:50	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x944afe…
06-19 19:03:23	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xbeaf0b…
06-19 18:45:16	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 btts	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7e1110…
06-19 16:44:38	will the announcers say header during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747259	No	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x869dc5…
06-19 16:43:02	will the announcers say header during the usa vs australia fifa world cup match 20260619150747259	No	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x64ddd5…
06-16 15:50:19	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x3d2632…
06-16 15:49:43	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc4b769…
06-16 15:49:10	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x18a248…
06-16 15:19:56	will recep tayyip erdogan sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950080	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2ab562…
06-15 11:28:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xfaee9e…
06-15 11:28:16	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xd0c73c…
06-15 11:28:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x506951…
06-15 11:26:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe35c5b…
06-15 10:41:40	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x0df87e…
06-14 12:07:46	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0xd5c407…
06-14 06:49:00	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xa17c79…
06-13 16:26:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x4866a4…
06-13 16:25:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xac3296…
06-13 16:18:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x4a326a…
06-13 16:15:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xba2f0e…
06-13 15:58:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x1b7e14…
06-12 17:39:21	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0x937ab9…
06-12 17:30:45	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	SELL	120	94¢	$113	0xf619c2…
06-12 17:28:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	41	94¢	$38	0xf4d77d…
06-12 17:28:24	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	79	94¢	$74	0xcf781d…
06-12 10:59:03	mikel oyarzabal 20260609173616774	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xd820ad…
06-12 10:58:36	mikel oyarzabal 20260609173616774	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x9b554b…
06-12 10:54:40	mikel oyarzabal 20260609173616774	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x1026a1…
06-07 05:11:10	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	44	20¢	$9	0xcba1b7…
06-07 05:10:21	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x6bd374…
06-07 05:09:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x3ae610…
06-06 16:02:37	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Infamous	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x260c14…
06-06 15:52:09	worst cup fakers fc vspt infamous fc 20260603233701031	Infamous	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x06853e…
06-05 15:47:28	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	SELL	104	2¢	$3	0xb1253d…
06-05 15:22:09	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x4a4e04…
06-05 15:20:06	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xb6ccf0…
06-05 15:17:28	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Down	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xc1c36d…
06-05 14:56:09	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xaec332…
06-05 14:51:46	spy up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0x1468c2…
06-01 12:48:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	SELL	28	83¢	$23	0x3e28c7…
06-01 12:45:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xbb1040…
06-01 12:45:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x20f6ef…
05-31 15:51:11	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x7e3f9c…
05-31 13:46:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	210	1¢	$3	0xabd054…
05-31 13:36:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$3	0x4c6c32…
05-30 13:25:35	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	210	94¢	$197	0x790f29…
05-29 19:28:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	210	94¢	$196	0x886713…
05-29 15:22:25	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Gujarat Titans	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x52c874…
05-28 15:06:42	Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	2¢	$1	0x0a9132…
05-28 15:03:35	Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xa107ce…
05-27 14:54:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x5185cf…
05-27 14:53:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xfa8d4b…
05-27 14:44:02	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9d5d63…
05-26 15:59:22	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x0bf33f…
05-26 15:22:23	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x586482…
05-26 13:55:09	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x6460d3…
05-26 13:52:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x36743b…
05-26 12:44:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x5442e3…
05-26 12:40:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xa81065…
05-25 17:02:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	36¢	$59	0x24588b…
05-25 17:01:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0xd790af…
05-25 17:01:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	145	37¢	$54	0x231aaa…
05-25 15:58:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	320	36¢	$116	0x1eac04…
05-24 13:29:53	Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x147f22…
05-24 13:22:25	Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa81fba…
05-24 12:58:28	Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6d8ecc…
05-24 12:57:46	Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x52800d…
05-24 12:48:51	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe0ff02…
05-24 12:47:42	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x2f4479…
05-22 16:51:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	180	75¢	$135	0xf280c3…
05-22 16:49:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	180	81¢	$146	0xdb4aac…
05-22 16:37:11	LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs	SU Esports	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xdf531d…
05-22 14:22:24	LoL: SU Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs	SU Esports	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xcc40b0…
05-20 15:50:55	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Mumbai Indians	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe4dd92…
05-19 16:09:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	SELL	150	92¢	$138	0xb61a4a…
05-19 16:08:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	66	92¢	$60	0x8d0805…
05-19 16:08:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	84	92¢	$78	0x786d8a…
05-19 15:59:52	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x60b2ef…
05-19 14:56:38	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x7a131e…
05-16 12:45:32	FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb9ff11…
05-16 12:41:53	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6680ef…