Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$612

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-11 11:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Other

57% 86% -$7

Crypto

28% 100% +$0

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Tech

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No		-17	-$14	96¢	$-16	-$2	05-12 03:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	09-11 02:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	09-06 22:52
Iran leadership change by September 30?	4	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$0	09-11 11:51
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	09-02 12:10
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	No	+$0	02-15 12:40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 9?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	08-07 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 9?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	08-07 12:19
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$21	12	12	+0	No	+$0	07-03 11:45
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 04:03
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$19	15	15	+0	Yes	-$4	03-23 04:02
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	-$4	03-23 04:03
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-27 12:27
bitcoin above 60k on february 17	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	02-15 12:41
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 80 99	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	01-14 06:13
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 92000 on february 6	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	02-04 10:19
xrp above 1pt6 on january 15	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	01-14 06:14
bitcoin above 60k on february 16	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	02-15 12:40
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	02-27 12:26
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 4?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	07-03 11:46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-30 11:17
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 7c	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	04-01 08:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$14	0	17	-17	open	—	05-12 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-12 03:59
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on march 24	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	03-23 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C on May 13?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	05-12 03:59
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	03-03 08:50
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 23	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	03-23 04:04
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on July 5?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-03 11:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-14 03:50
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 16corhigher	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	04-01 08:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 11:51:43	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5924db…
09-11 11:51:42	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x6c9d36…
09-11 11:51:42	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x52e07d…
09-11 02:13:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x333988…
09-06 22:52:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0xbe8569…
09-02 12:12:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x985d52…
09-02 12:12:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3debcb…
09-02 12:11:30	Iran leadership change by September 30?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7d0913…
09-02 12:10:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x8f1516…
08-07 12:21:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb4f57f…
08-07 12:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa27c96…
08-07 12:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 9?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0abcdb…
07-03 11:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on July 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfbd3b4…
07-03 11:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on July 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf426a7…
07-03 11:45:53	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0xe86c26…
06-30 11:18:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x588881…
06-30 11:17:47	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xabf750…
05-12 03:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C on May 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6d586b…
05-12 03:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x99ff6c…
05-12 03:55:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0xa19aa6…
04-14 03:50:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x95fca1…
04-01 08:31:17	highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 7c	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2218ec…
04-01 08:31:03	highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7e2c1e…
03-23 04:04:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on march 24	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x435161…
03-23 04:04:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 23	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf5059d…
03-23 04:03:15	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xbb0b5a…
03-23 04:03:01	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	14	51¢	$7	0x9fa8df…
03-23 04:02:37	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x5e8a17…
03-11 03:34:53	will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$12	0x2ba6a0…
03-11 03:34:25	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	Yes	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x131a5a…
03-11 03:34:01	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x3bca9f…
03-03 08:52:39	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on march 4	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x740704…
03-03 08:52:27	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2300 on march 3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0a86c…
03-03 08:50:55	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 260 279	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe441b6…
02-27 12:27:15	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x493ff9…
02-27 12:26:59	will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x82d6bf…
02-15 12:41:25	bitcoin above 60k on february 17	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x831d5f…
02-15 12:40:59	bitcoin above 60k on february 16	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x814656…
02-15 12:40:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8f59a5…
02-04 10:19:42	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 92000 on february 6	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9e1064…
02-04 10:19:14	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x95a54a…
01-14 06:14:12	xrp above 1pt6 on january 15	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x332440…
01-14 06:13:14	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 80 99	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7c18bd…