Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
174
lifetime
Volume
$7.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$786
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 17:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
69% 0% $-8
Other
31%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -200 $-190 95¢ $-190 $-0 06-10 17:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +249 $197 73¢ $182 $-15 06-05 18:16
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -126 $-106 84¢ $-105 +$1 06-04 05:38
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +100 $94 96¢ $96 +$1 06-04 13:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +100 $85 92¢ $92 +$8 06-06 09:55
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +100 $55 59¢ $59 +$4 06-04 12:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $36 16¢ $24 $-12 05-30 16:29
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +200 $24 11¢ $21 $-3 06-04 13:03
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +100 $12 13¢ $13 +$1 06-08 11:36
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? Yes +100 $6 $4 $-2 06-08 09:19