Realized P&L
-$8
Unrealized P&L
-$180
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
196
lifetime
Volume
$8.79K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$605
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67% 0% $-8
Other
33%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +449 $379 52¢ $231 $-148 06-14 22:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -200 $-190 96¢ $-193 $-3 06-10 17:31
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -126 $-106 88¢ $-112 $-6 06-04 05:38
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes +100 $55 40¢ $39 $-15 06-04 12:39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +150 $36 18¢ $28 $-8 05-30 16:29
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 07-22 00:04