Loose-Elicit — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

80 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$352 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 07-20 19:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 48% -$17

Other

36% 73% +$4

Politics

9% 33% -$5

Sports

7% 50% -$14

Pop-Culture

5% 100% +$0

Tech

3% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		-22	-$4	4¢	$-1	+$3	04-29 04:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes		-143	-$3	0¢	$-0	+$3	05-19 20:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	5	$42	37	19	+18	Up	-$12	04-29 05:44
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	4	$31	33	33	+0	Procyon Gaming	-$9	05-19 23:46
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	2	$22	21	21	+0	cancelled	$0	04-29 07:11
Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?	2	$20	48	0	+48	No	-$20	05-20 12:53
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	04-27 00:05
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	3	$14	8	8	+0	HOTU	+$0	05-19 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$13	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	04-29 05:34
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	2	$12	7	61	-54	open	—	05-19 20:45
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	2	$11	6	6	+0	FOKUS	+$1	05-19 22:21
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$10	18	0	+18	cancelled	-$1	04-29 04:20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	2	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	05-19 11:45
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	05-18 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$8	18	12	+6	Down	-$2	04-29 02:24
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?	1	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	+$1	05-01 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	04-29 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$7	10	4	+6	Down	-$1	04-29 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$7	13	0	+13	Up	-$7	04-29 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	5	$7	6	4	+2	Up	+$1	04-29 03:24
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	3	$6	7	2	+5	Down	-$1	04-29 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	04-29 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$6	14	0	+14	Up	-$6	04-29 05:39
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	1	$6	0	36	-36	Yes	+$6	04-29 04:02
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	2	$5	111	254	-143	open	—	05-19 20:38
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	1	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$5	05-19 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	04-29 01:29
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	1	$5	6	0	+6	Brute	+$1	05-19 12:34
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	05-29 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$5	12	0	+12	Up	-$2	04-29 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-29 02:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$5	45	45	+0	open	—	07-20 19:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 19:21:31	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	4¢	$2	0xd62aa1…
05-29 20:49:22	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc391a8…
05-24 01:27:11	Will Crusaders win?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8f8bc5…
05-20 12:53:28	Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x04503c…
05-20 12:46:46	Will a team from England be the 2026 Champions League winner?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xd4dd58…
05-19 23:46:33	Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	MIBR Academy	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0x02b5d3…
05-19 23:29:37	Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	Procyon Gaming	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0x21a83a…
05-19 23:29:02	Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	MIBR Academy	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x5905fd…
05-19 23:19:05	Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	Procyon Gaming	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa641a0…
05-19 22:21:44	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	FOKUS	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x102d48…
05-19 20:54:46	Counter-Strike: ex-KRÜ Esports vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	ex-KRÜ Esports	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa107fa…
05-19 20:45:29	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	61	18¢	$11	0x33eb64…
05-19 20:38:38	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	254	2¢	$4	0x6345af…
05-19 19:28:22	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	FOKUS	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x908d15…
05-19 12:34:25	Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Group Stage	Brute	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x61450d…
05-19 12:30:41	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	HOTU	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0xe714a8…
05-19 12:01:17	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x35ff16…
05-19 11:59:02	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb5893d…
05-19 11:49:38	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x09873f…
05-19 11:45:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe0692d…
05-19 01:35:30	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xf805c6…
05-19 01:34:47	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb80021…
05-18 20:31:56	Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6de42c…
05-18 20:30:55	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x54fc85…
05-01 10:15:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0xefc07f…
05-01 10:10:34	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1fff97…
05-01 10:10:22	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x166614…
04-29 07:11:26	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x9bc60d…
04-29 05:53:18	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x8c9cf7…
04-29 05:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x148cf4…
04-29 05:43:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x4e9e4a…
04-29 05:42:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x9186a5…
04-29 05:42:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0xbc395f…
04-29 05:41:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0xe6b9ca…
04-29 05:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x869a88…
04-29 05:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbb89f5…
04-29 05:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x9033a0…
04-29 04:20:52	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1f8b8b…
04-29 04:14:42	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1061ae…
04-29 04:14:22	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xe5635c…
04-29 04:13:30	Solana Up or Down - April 29, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdda469…
04-29 04:02:42	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0x9fe4e2…
04-29 04:01:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x30c3cd…
04-29 04:01:08	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x4129d9…
04-29 03:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xf073e7…
04-29 03:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7b121f…
04-29 03:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x17ab2b…
04-29 03:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd70d9a…
04-29 03:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0xb5607b…
04-29 03:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x25941a…
04-29 03:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x47027d…
04-29 03:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x076039…
04-29 03:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x536eee…
04-29 03:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdcfd39…
04-29 03:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x7e2156…
04-29 03:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4cef0b…
04-29 03:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x87d39b…
04-29 03:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x4f5def…
04-29 03:16:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x285641…
04-29 03:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4734d7…
04-29 02:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x67a3fa…
04-29 02:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2ce495…
04-29 02:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9f68c9…
04-29 02:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xbcb29c…
04-29 02:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x95ff92…
04-29 02:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x76e3f0…
04-29 02:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xaca849…
04-29 02:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3d8ba2…
04-29 02:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5a7a19…
04-29 01:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7642f4…
04-29 01:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa72c07…
04-29 01:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xafc184…
04-29 01:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd6b5ad…
04-29 01:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xcbea05…
04-29 01:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x782b80…
04-29 00:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x65d27c…
04-29 00:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xff7ef6…
04-29 00:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa11105…
04-27 00:05:00	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x5d26f3…
04-27 00:01:44	Will Trump dance today?	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x37a62e…