Little-Anguish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

16.0%

Resolved

Trades

421

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$45

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 06-30 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Tech

59% — —

Politics

25% 0% $-6

Other

15% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 14% $-5

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+44	$15	54¢	$23	+$8	06-26 22:06
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes		+36	$20	60¢	$21	+$1	06-23 13:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	66	$5.4K	4,600	5,031	-431	open	—	05-22 22:30
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	37	$3.4K	5,223	3,905	+1,319	open	—	05-22 23:40
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	14	$2.7K	1,591	1,591	+0	open	—	04-12 18:58
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	26	$1.9K	2,019	400	+1,619	open	—	05-16 22:44
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	33	$1.6K	1,291	1,428	-136	open	—	05-22 07:52
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	7	$1.2K	1,281	1,281	+0	open	—	05-24 12:46
Nothing Ever Happens: May	13	$922	712	2,056	-1,344	open	—	05-24 10:17
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	18	$818	592	592	+0	open	—	05-11 16:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$748	860	860	+0	open	—	05-28 07:01
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	29	$315	1,282	721	+561	open	—	05-11 18:32
Nothing Ever Happens: March	6	$193	255	255	+0	open	—	05-17 16:30
will trump say moon this week april 12	3	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 09:54
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	30	$150	9,537	10,744	-1,208	open	—	04-30 12:36
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	3	$140	111	111	+0	open	—	04-03 10:19
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$136	74	74	+0	open	—	05-09 14:43
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$136	86	86	+0	open	—	05-16 23:10
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	6	$115	150	0	+150	open	—	06-25 23:12
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$107	89	89	+0	open	—	04-15 00:47
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	3	$91	165	131	+33	open	—	06-24 09:30
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	5	$89	140	140	+0	open	—	04-30 18:03
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$72	52	52	+0	open	—	05-13 07:29
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	3	$55	42	42	+0	open	—	05-21 10:45
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	3	$49	61	56	+5	open	—	06-30 21:56
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	3	$43	37	71	-34	open	—	06-15 18:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	4	$31	81	0	+81	open	—	06-12 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$25	65	0	+65	open	—	05-18 08:06
Will King Charles say "250" or "250th" during the joint meeting of Congress?	4	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 17:29
Will Trump post "Midterm" on Truth Social this week?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-19 11:55
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	06-23 13:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$16	18	18	+0	open	—	05-06 06:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:56:19	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x6d04a7…
06-30 14:57:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x4053c1…
06-28 08:13:40	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xb8b54f…
06-26 22:06:13	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x594050…
06-25 23:12:29	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	27	79¢	$22	0xfc8776…
06-24 18:36:22	will trump say joe or biden 10 times during june 24 rally 20260616194255604	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7ea7ae…
06-24 09:30:13	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe6e37b…
06-23 13:45:35	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x9a35ae…
06-23 13:42:25	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xb5e60f…
06-16 09:45:00	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x452111…
06-16 09:44:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	56	37¢	$20	0x4b62d8…
06-15 18:05:19	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	36	76¢	$28	0x54a73f…
06-15 18:04:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	71	39¢	$28	0x40f9d4…
06-14 23:21:03	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0xc6256c…
06-14 11:24:52	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x83ad8b…
06-13 12:29:21	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xac9694…
06-12 11:58:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x41c0c7…
06-12 11:58:25	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	173	4¢	$7	0x9ce0c2…
06-12 05:56:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x645889…
06-12 05:56:16	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	13¢	$7	0x0410cd…
06-12 05:55:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2cd92a…
06-12 05:53:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0xedb967…
06-11 20:34:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd5049b…
06-11 15:17:43	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0x1872ff…
06-11 15:12:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x873ee8…
05-28 08:33:57	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	131	33¢	$43	0x7bcc28…
05-28 07:02:29	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	131	35¢	$46	0xb8ac0d…
05-28 07:01:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	11¢	$47	0x9a2bd6…
05-26 17:43:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	29¢	$125	0xbf8623…
05-24 12:46:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	67¢	$282	0xdbacaf…
05-24 12:46:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	640	44¢	$282	0x428182…
05-24 12:44:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	440	67¢	$295	0xfe2579…
05-24 12:43:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	640	46¢	$295	0x50e700…
05-24 10:19:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,059	49¢	$516	0xf4fcf5…
05-24 10:18:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xc29e10…
05-24 10:18:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	61	47¢	$29	0xe28080…
05-24 10:17:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x01fd7d…
05-24 10:17:37	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	286	31¢	$89	0xa9f590…
05-24 10:17:35	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0xa62a1e…
05-24 10:17:35	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0xa4fb5a…
05-24 10:17:35	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0x358958…
05-24 10:17:33	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0x807bb2…
05-24 10:17:33	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	305	31¢	$95	0x3cd45d…
05-24 10:16:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	138	48¢	$66	0x819509…
05-24 10:15:27	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xbfa271…
05-24 09:39:33	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	596	39¢	$231	0x8fd094…
05-24 09:38:09	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	84	33¢	$28	0xddf70b…
05-24 08:51:57	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	47	62¢	$29	0x98a938…
05-24 00:17:41	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x931bd5…
05-23 11:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xad84f4…
05-23 11:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x39402b…
05-23 11:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x18dc15…
05-23 11:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfa79a0…
05-23 11:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x75c160…
05-23 11:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xda27ba…
05-22 23:40:01	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	1,917	1¢	$19	0xdbfbe0…
05-22 23:24:42	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	26	54¢	$14	0xb546db…
05-22 23:24:42	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	74	54¢	$40	0x2d75f0…
05-22 23:24:09	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	80	55¢	$44	0x78fc8d…
05-22 23:22:17	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	188	65¢	$122	0x92a6cc…
05-22 23:22:08	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0xb8fea5…
05-22 22:30:45	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	2,297	45¢	$1,039	0xf5c046…
05-22 22:30:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	419	93¢	$390	0xc70a6c…
05-22 22:30:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	727	93¢	$676	0x86b5ce…
05-22 21:36:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	932	82¢	$763	0x1fe0f4…
05-22 21:34:25	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	326	55¢	$179	0x649f5a…
05-22 21:32:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	133	76¢	$101	0x3c9255…
05-22 21:31:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	645	77¢	$497	0xb7881d…
05-22 20:51:07	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x21fe5c…
05-22 20:48:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	123	85¢	$105	0x60b392…
05-22 20:47:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	289	85¢	$245	0x532e1a…
05-22 20:45:59	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	652	55¢	$359	0x87d537…
05-22 14:47:38	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	353	50¢	$176	0x6ad038…
05-22 14:46:46	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	665	26¢	$172	0xcfffc3…
05-22 14:33:35	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	40	33¢	$13	0xd85131…
05-22 14:09:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	365	65¢	$236	0x04354d…
05-22 14:04:37	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x23ba21…
05-22 13:17:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	278	34¢	$94	0xb3d22a…
05-22 13:16:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	386	34¢	$131	0x1c080c…
05-22 13:15:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x43c354…
05-22 13:15:28	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xe0e25f…
05-22 13:15:14	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0x6f0221…
05-22 13:13:34	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x7fe734…
05-22 13:12:02	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0xf4369b…
05-22 13:10:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	125	33¢	$41	0x24deff…
05-22 10:36:45	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	502	48¢	$241	0xed4d1c…
05-22 10:36:20	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	484	52¢	$252	0xe03bf7…
05-22 10:32:47	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	49	48¢	$23	0xb4b842…
05-22 08:48:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x028913…
05-22 07:55:38	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x53fd2c…
05-22 07:55:11	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	22	33¢	$7	0x31685a…
05-22 07:52:06	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0xd08ed1…
05-22 07:50:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x9f01b0…
05-22 07:50:37	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xad152c…
05-22 07:41:53	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	108	41¢	$44	0x77ebb1…
05-22 07:40:33	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	33	33¢	$11	0x60b996…
05-22 07:38:39	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	103	34¢	$35	0x2ef9e1…
05-22 03:07:31	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	376	33¢	$124	0xf9aee9…
05-22 03:06:53	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	SELL	235	55¢	$130	0x28f2bc…
05-21 23:44:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	469	48¢	$225	0xbe5135…