Realized P&L
-$1.43K
Unrealized P&L
-$630
Hit rate
64.0%
Resolved
202
Trades
1,549
lifetime
Volume
$65.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$884
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-30
last 11-04 17:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Tech
49% 50% +$131
Other
27% 24% -$1,857
Politics
23% 42% +$222
Sports
1% 36% +$60
Crypto
0% 26% +$18
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -668 -$552 97¢ $-651 -$99 05-15 21:44
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +169 $128 79¢ $133 +$5 11-04 10:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +138 $40 28¢ $38 -$2 11-04 17:18
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? Yes +1,042 $13 2¢ $16 +$3 10-20 23:22
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +32 $24 33¢ $11 -$14 10-11 08:14
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +45 $5 15¢ $7 +$2 07-28 12:36
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +502 $10 1¢ $7 -$3 10-05 11:47
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? Yes +4,245 $24 0¢ $6 -$18 10-24 01:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +135 $5 4¢ $5 +$0 11-04 17:21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 9%-12%? Yes +83 $162 4¢ $4 -$158 11-04 15:01
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes +48 $73 5¢ $2 -$71 09-19 01:17
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +119 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 07-28 12:36
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +25 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 07-02 19:30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 6%-9%? Yes +705 $44 0¢ $1 -$44 11-04 07:16
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 3%-6%? Yes +436 $120 0¢ $1 -$119 11-03 01:08
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +380 $105 0¢ $0 -$105 11-02 08:21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? Yes +56 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 07-28 12:21
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? Yes +7 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 09-14 20:52