Little-Anguish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

16.0%

Resolved

Trades

477

lifetime

Volume

$24.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$17

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 07-22 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Tech

63% — —

Politics

22% 0% $-6

Other

14% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 14% $-5

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	+36	$20	39¢	$14	$-6	06-23 13:45
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	+25	$2	8¢	$2	$-0	07-02 19:30
Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?	Yes	+18	$1	7¢	$1	+$0	07-08 13:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	66	$5.4K	4,600	5,031	-431	open	—	05-22 22:30
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	37	$3.4K	5,223	3,905	+1,319	open	—	05-22 23:40
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	14	$2.7K	1,591	1,591	+0	open	—	04-12 18:58
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	26	$1.9K	2,019	400	+1,619	open	—	05-16 22:44
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	10	$1.7K	2,117	0	+2,117	open	—	07-22 10:04
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	33	$1.6K	1,291	1,428	-136	open	—	05-22 07:52
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	7	$1.2K	1,281	1,281	+0	open	—	05-24 12:46
Nothing Ever Happens: May	13	$922	712	2,056	-1,344	open	—	05-24 10:17
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	18	$818	592	592	+0	open	—	05-11 16:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	4	$748	860	860	+0	open	—	05-28 07:01
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	17	$671	522	416	+106	open	—	07-22 11:56
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	29	$315	1,282	721	+561	open	—	05-11 18:32
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	10	$234	177	232	-56	open	—	07-12 07:01
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	2	$210	111	111	+0	open	—	07-11 22:53
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	2	$206	115	115	+0	open	—	07-21 08:04
Nothing Ever Happens: March	6	$193	255	255	+0	open	—	05-17 16:30
will trump say moon this week april 12	3	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	04-07 09:54
will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	30	$150	9,537	10,744	-1,208	open	—	04-30 12:36
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	3	$140	111	111	+0	open	—	04-03 10:19
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$136	74	74	+0	open	—	05-09 14:43
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$136	86	86	+0	open	—	05-16 23:10
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$107	89	89	+0	open	—	04-15 00:47
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	3	$99	62	62	+0	open	—	07-19 21:59
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	3	$91	165	131	+33	open	—	06-24 09:30
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	5	$89	140	140	+0	open	—	04-30 18:03
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$72	52	52	+0	open	—	05-13 07:29
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	2	$61	71	71	+0	open	—	07-16 22:59
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?	3	$55	42	42	+0	open	—	05-21 10:45
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	3	$44	44	44	+0	open	—	07-10 09:37
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	3	$43	37	71	-34	open	—	06-15 18:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 11:56:28	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	SELL	33	68¢	$22	0x7ce980…
07-22 10:05:45	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x5d1eba…
07-22 10:04:57	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0xb0ba3a…
07-22 09:22:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	170	79¢	$134	0xeec7fc…
07-22 09:21:52	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	SELL	192	70¢	$134	0x83e7b5…
07-22 07:33:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	582	80¢	$466	0x48c0e1…
07-22 07:20:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	170	80¢	$136	0x02e918…
07-22 07:19:25	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	SELL	192	71¢	$136	0x38d82d…
07-22 07:16:48	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	140	79¢	$111	0xd6cca3…
07-21 18:15:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xf66504…
07-21 08:43:21	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xcacdfd…
07-21 08:04:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	115	92¢	$106	0xd330e0…
07-20 10:29:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x55a92a…
07-19 21:59:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0xd82645…
07-19 21:32:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x775864…
07-19 21:31:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x1fb457…
07-18 09:14:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	592	78¢	$461	0x5c916c…
07-18 00:41:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x73449e…
07-16 22:59:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0xb54296…
07-16 22:59:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	SELL	71	2¢	$1	0x27d090…
07-16 22:51:05	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x4c532a…
07-16 21:24:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0x508fc0…
07-16 07:38:02	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x21b23a…
07-15 13:08:38	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x980106…
07-14 21:31:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x25a488…
07-14 20:25:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 17 20260713194332727	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0xd1ecd3…
07-14 19:41:07	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4cb994…
07-14 19:37:02	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x01f882…
07-14 16:16:26	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x173461…
07-14 16:14:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 16 20260713194149000	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcc225b…
07-14 09:23:07	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x89a249…
07-14 00:11:19	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x66f63e…
07-13 01:50:34	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xed0e6b…
07-12 07:01:46	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x3df941…
07-12 00:27:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xacc069…
07-12 00:27:08	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd45e62…
07-12 00:26:50	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x9324ae…
07-11 22:53:50	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x178265…
07-11 16:11:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xe6742a…
07-11 05:18:17	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x72b832…
07-10 23:50:19	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	37	53¢	$20	0xca18be…
07-10 23:44:04	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x2f0bb9…
07-10 19:37:59	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xda84db…
07-10 16:18:29	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xc07e6d…
07-10 09:37:17	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	44	66¢	$29	0xee6057…
07-10 09:36:13	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xc9abdb…
07-08 21:05:08	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	SELL	104	69¢	$72	0xf2c847…
07-08 13:30:43	Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xe9339d…
07-08 13:25:14	will kanye west say something antisemitic by august 31 20260706210945684	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9f8531…
07-08 13:19:16	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xc80e6f…
07-05 09:58:17	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x30b454…
07-02 19:30:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x87e184…
07-02 19:28:14	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xa00a17…
07-02 19:24:11	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0xe4a8ee…
06-30 21:56:19	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x6d04a7…
06-30 14:57:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	Yes	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x4053c1…
06-28 08:13:40	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xb8b54f…
06-26 22:06:13	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x594050…
06-25 23:12:29	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	27	79¢	$22	0xfc8776…
06-24 18:36:22	will trump say joe or biden 10 times during june 24 rally 20260616194255604	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7ea7ae…
06-24 09:30:13	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe6e37b…
06-23 13:45:35	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x9a35ae…
06-23 13:42:25	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xb5e60f…
06-16 09:45:00	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x452111…
06-16 09:44:43	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 31	No	SELL	56	37¢	$20	0x4b62d8…
06-15 18:05:19	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	36	76¢	$28	0x54a73f…
06-15 18:04:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	71	39¢	$28	0x40f9d4…
06-14 23:21:03	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	38	77¢	$29	0xc6256c…
06-14 11:24:52	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x83ad8b…
06-13 12:29:21	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xac9694…
06-12 11:58:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x41c0c7…
06-12 11:58:25	Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	173	4¢	$7	0x9ce0c2…
06-12 05:56:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	39¢	$7	0x645889…
06-12 05:56:16	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	13¢	$7	0x0410cd…
06-12 05:55:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2cd92a…
06-12 05:53:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	39¢	$11	0xedb967…
06-11 20:34:33	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd5049b…
06-11 15:17:43	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0x1872ff…
06-11 15:12:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x873ee8…
05-28 08:33:57	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	131	33¢	$43	0x7bcc28…
05-28 07:02:29	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	131	35¢	$46	0xb8ac0d…
05-28 07:01:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	11¢	$47	0x9a2bd6…
05-26 17:43:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	430	29¢	$125	0xbf8623…
05-24 12:46:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	420	67¢	$282	0xdbacaf…
05-24 12:46:18	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	640	44¢	$282	0x428182…
05-24 12:44:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	440	67¢	$295	0xfe2579…
05-24 12:43:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	SELL	640	46¢	$295	0x50e700…
05-24 10:19:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,059	49¢	$516	0xf4fcf5…
05-24 10:18:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xc29e10…
05-24 10:18:01	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	61	47¢	$29	0xe28080…
05-24 10:17:56	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x01fd7d…
05-24 10:17:37	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	286	31¢	$89	0xa9f590…
05-24 10:17:35	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0xa62a1e…
05-24 10:17:35	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0xa4fb5a…
05-24 10:17:35	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0x358958…
05-24 10:17:33	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	300	31¢	$93	0x807bb2…
05-24 10:17:33	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	305	31¢	$95	0x3cd45d…
05-24 10:16:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	Yes	BUY	138	48¢	$66	0x819509…
05-24 10:15:27	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xbfa271…
05-24 09:39:33	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	596	39¢	$231	0x8fd094…