Inferior-Castle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,259

Trades

2,320

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 10-25 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% +$4

Sports

16% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 97% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	3	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-06 21:03
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$10	5	5	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
cs2 bca inf6 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	Betclic Apogee Esports	+$0	03-06 16:23
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$10	5	5	+0	Ursa	+$0	03-06 09:47
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
cs2 all wb1 2026 02 26 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	WHITEBIRD	+$0	03-06 12:12
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-05 08:55
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-23 13:53
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$10	5	5	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:36
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	3	$10	5	5	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:37
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-13 15:45
Will Mikes Evans play for San Francisco 49ers in 2026-27?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-10 06:09
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$10	5	5	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa16aea…
10-24 13:22:18	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd0d7ff…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe88b9…
10-23 07:09:50	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6abf0e…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26dadf…
10-22 20:42:45	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ca61b…
10-20 18:47:41	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2423a0…
10-20 18:35:32	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee395b…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe31f96…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf5a248…
10-15 15:13:04	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ann Li vs Janice Tjen	Ann Li	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53dfc0…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeee46b…
10-14 11:41:29	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x60651f…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a9650…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8ff5b…
10-12 16:35:44	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x40559c…
10-12 09:06:04	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d7a31…
10-11 20:16:07	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3bc260…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8b7d8…
10-09 02:09:54	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x398a27…
10-07 10:16:26	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xacb5e5…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d62bc…
10-06 16:07:33	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafe0be…
10-04 23:23:16	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0200b6…
10-04 20:22:59	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4cff4e…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9261c…
10-03 14:50:30	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b354e…
10-03 02:53:00	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8ab9b…
10-02 14:12:29	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbc215…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x76f269…
10-01 12:11:08	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x30439e…
10-01 12:09:12	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd871f7…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8c422f…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec7a45…
09-30 01:58:18	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6463f8…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3174fa…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe97881…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x958eb6…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbcd0b2…
09-27 20:24:48	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8bf64…
09-27 13:31:17	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde6c29…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x124442…
09-27 01:57:30	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58034f…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe3f535…
09-26 19:43:18	Wake Forest vs. Louisville	Wake Forest	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39a9a2…
09-26 16:51:09	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1eb972…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeab627…
09-24 20:45:14	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf34185…
09-23 22:37:46	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0a2c0c…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8f75bb…
09-21 13:01:32	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x00518d…
09-21 08:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c3018…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x32dcf8…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x893f42…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc0c278…
09-20 02:59:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b27c6…
09-20 01:33:33	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf465db…
09-20 00:02:52	Southeastern Louisiana vs. Louisiana-Monroe	Southeastern Louisiana	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33f82c…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x226186…
09-19 01:39:46	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x927396…
09-18 19:32:16	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x521091…
09-17 20:00:07	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f0a9c…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d9e1c…
09-17 16:02:36	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x559d78…
09-17 14:00:57	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd86ef0…
09-17 00:30:51	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xabc667…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcecdca…
09-16 02:35:51	Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1e420…
09-16 01:20:06	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeafdfe…
09-16 00:09:52	Set 1 Winner: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns	Peyton Stearns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe40eb…
09-15 17:50:24	will wti reach 105 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa599ff…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x73c061…
09-15 09:42:03	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ffc1d…
09-14 19:09:09	Will Al-Shamal vs. Al-Ittihad Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72c42e…
09-14 14:28:54	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7cc53e…
09-14 10:07:30	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cbff0…
09-14 01:22:54	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2c7a2…
09-13 22:59:31	Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x29f73d…
09-13 20:07:22	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xacdd5c…
09-13 14:59:07	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb6d79e…
09-13 02:51:27	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec952a…
09-12 21:50:03	Spain vs. USA	USA	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87b8a4…
09-12 21:45:18	cs2 saw2 6666 2026 09 12	6666	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x322484…
09-12 17:08:07	European T20 Premier League: Dublin Guardians vs Glasgow Cosmic	Glasgow Cosmic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c92c1…
09-12 14:19:52	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x698889…
09-12 09:57:42	Orix Buffaloes vs. Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles	Orix Buffaloes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c87a3…
09-12 09:32:25	Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing	Max Basing	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2cff9a…
09-12 03:12:31	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd4f8eb…
09-11 21:06:36	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x49a29c…
09-11 20:32:57	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f2a79…
09-11 19:25:46	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47bfbb…
09-11 15:23:24	Tulln: Zdenek Kolar vs Alex Barrena	Alex Barrena	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc95140…
09-11 10:52:42	Cassis: Ugo Blanchet vs Daniel Masur	Daniel Masur	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x235974…
09-11 02:58:31	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ad672…
09-10 18:48:22	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d8620…
09-10 18:37:37	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9beb11…
09-10 17:31:49	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x932e32…
09-10 01:18:24	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ba3ac…
09-09 22:45:55	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ba307…
09-09 18:51:12	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xffa317…