Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
78.2%
Resolved
3
Trades
708
lifetime
Volume
$3.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$73
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 04-24 09:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
52%
Crypto
24% 0% $-5
Politics
22% 50% $-4
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -217 $-17 $-16 +$1 07-05 18:59
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -98 $-11 12¢ $-12 $-1 07-05 18:59
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -15 $-7 47¢ $-7 $-0 07-05 18:59
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -8 $-4 56¢ $-4 $-0 07-05 19:00
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka Afghanistan -20 $-0 22¢ $-4 $-4 07-05 19:00
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes -8 $-4 52¢ $-4 $-0 07-05 19:00
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes -18 $-4 20¢ $-4 $-0 07-05 19:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -29 $-3 12¢ $-3 +$0 07-05 19:00
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -11 $-3 24¢ $-3 +$0 07-05 19:00
Vanta IPO before 2027? Yes -20 $-2 12¢ $-2 $-0 07-05 19:00
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -17 $-2 14¢ $-2 $-0 07-05 19:00
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-2 32¢ $-2 $-1 07-05 19:00
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -22 $-2 $-2 $-0 07-05 19:01
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes -21 $-1 $-2 $-0 07-05 19:01
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-1 $-2 $-0 07-05 19:01
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -9 $-1 15¢ $-1 $-0 07-05 19:01
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-1 17¢ $-1 $-0 07-05 19:01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-05 19:01