Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.53K

Unrealized P&L

-$55

Hit rate

12.7%

Resolved (90d)

265

Trades (90d)

815

815 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$5.40K

$5.40K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$76

8 positions

First seen

2026-09-15

last 11-10 15:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Other

75% 13% -$2,145

Politics

21% 9% -$380

Sports

2% 0% -$1

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Applied Materials say "Bandwidth" during earnings call?	No	+57	$16	48¢	$28	+$12	11-07 15:05
Will Bring Your Love (Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter) be nominated for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	+100	$44	22¢	$22	-$22	11-10 14:30
highest temperature in denver on november 11 2026 64 65f	No	+20	$16	55¢	$11	-$5	11-09 10:29
Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	+100	$30	6¢	$6	-$24	11-10 12:40
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 25%-30%?	No	+20	$6	28¢	$6	-$1	11-10 15:08
will us gas price be less than 3pt96 on november 11 2026	No	+50	$10	4¢	$2	-$8	11-10 15:07
will trumps approval rating be at least 38pt0 on november 13 2026	No	+20	$6	6¢	$1	-$5	11-06 19:15
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+10	$2	6¢	$1	-$2	09-16 10:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Bibi" this week?	6	$323	1,550	900	+650	Yes	-$253	11-03 18:54
Will Sahra Dennehy / Tama Shimabukuro advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	2	$231	1,520	0	+1,520	Yes	-$231	11-05 22:11
Will Jack Sock advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	2	$231	1,520	0	+1,520	Yes	-$231	11-06 19:38
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 10°C on November 5?	4	$164	520	520	+0	No	+$2	11-05 13:02
Will Christian Alshon advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	4	$135	881	0	+881	Yes	-$135	11-06 18:30
Will Jorja Johnson / JW Johnson advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	2	$87	560	0	+560	Yes	-$87	11-07 21:56
Will CJ Klinger / Eric Oncins advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	2	$87	560	0	+560	Yes	-$87	11-06 22:26
will iran be in the headlines this week 20260927	2	$72	450	0	+450	Yes	-$72	09-18 22:53
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?	4	$66	43	43	+0	No	-$6	11-01 13:58
Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WA-05 House election?	4	$46	50	49	+1	open	—	11-04 02:29
Will Bring Your Love (Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter) be nominated for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	1	$44	100	0	+100	open	—	11-10 14:30
Will Trump say "Happy Halloween" this week?	2	$41	50	50	+0	Yes	+$11	10-31 19:02
Will Rell win the GMGN GGC Season 1 Grand Final?	3	$41	41	41	+0	open	—	11-07 02:03
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 7?	3	$40	80	80	+0	open	—	11-08 21:34
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 21?	2	$39	240	0	+240	Yes	-$39	10-22 09:45
Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of November 2?	2	$37	194	0	+194	Yes	-$37	11-03 18:00
Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of November 2?	2	$37	194	0	+194	Yes	-$37	11-03 18:00
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	3	$35	135	0	+135	Yes	-$35	11-05 20:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$34	107	107	+0	Yes	-$1	09-25 05:57
Will Airbnb say "Take Rate" during earnings call?	3	$34	128	0	+128	Yes	-$34	11-05 22:16
Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on November 7?	2	$34	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	11-07 10:17
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on November 6?	4	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$0	11-06 02:10
Will the lowest temperature in London be 4°C on November 8?	3	$34	20	19	+1	No	+$0	11-06 12:24
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on November 6?	4	$34	20	20	+0	No	+$0	11-06 22:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	5	$33	520	520	+0	open	—	09-23 07:45
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 4?	2	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$0	11-04 11:46
Will Trump say "Veto" this week?	4	$31	137	7	+130	Yes	-$27	11-04 05:35
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on November 10?	2	$31	20	20	+0	No	+$0	11-09 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 8?	3	$31	80	43	+37	Yes	-$9	11-08 08:31
Will "Car" or "Vehicle" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	2	$30	50	50	+0	No	+$0	11-05 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 15:08:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x25ad03…
11-10 15:07:28	will us gas price be less than 3pt96 on november 11 2026	No	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x6a586a…
11-10 14:30:48	Will Bring Your Love (Madonna & Sabrina Carpenter) be nominated for Best Pop Duo/Group Performance at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x30294a…
11-10 12:40:48	Will Man I Need (Olivia Dean) be nominated for Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xd369bc…
11-10 04:14:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-02 House election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xd6a8fd…
11-10 02:08:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-02 House election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x54cb6b…
11-09 23:24:22	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MT-02 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x0e5a22…
11-09 15:04:30	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 9?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x700d89…
11-09 14:21:09	Will Constellation Energy say "Auction" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xc3be40…
11-09 12:59:33	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on November 9?	No	BUY	110	15¢	$17	0x09db45…
11-09 12:59:33	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on November 9?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0415c5…
11-09 12:59:31	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on November 9?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe77fe4…
11-09 10:29:54	highest temperature in denver on november 11 2026 64 65f	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x1cd0e2…
11-09 10:08:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 9?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x8eb489…
11-09 10:08:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 9?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4ab59c…
11-09 10:00:46	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 12°C on November 9?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x99a2e5…
11-09 10:00:25	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on November 9?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x2d1f6a…
11-09 09:58:42	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on November 9?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9d4354…
11-09 09:00:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 15°C on November 10?	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x074490…
11-09 09:00:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 15°C on November 10?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x415008…
11-09 08:56:55	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on November 9?	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x995d6c…
11-09 08:56:34	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on November 9?	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x97c46a…
11-09 08:55:37	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on November 9?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xf75b97…
11-09 05:06:27	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 12°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x4c66ad…
11-09 04:07:54	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on November 10?	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xac5725…
11-09 04:07:21	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on November 10?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x29a6f2…
11-09 01:05:52	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 6°C on November 9?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x50fde8…
11-09 00:57:18	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 4°C on November 9?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x2b56fa…
11-09 00:53:43	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 4°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0xa53d06…
11-09 00:10:13	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 3°C on November 9?	No	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xe0ff45…
11-09 00:10:10	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 3°C on November 9?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x37b4b3…
11-09 00:06:00	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 6°C on November 9?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x6602eb…
11-08 23:41:16	Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-45 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xa64311…
11-08 21:34:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 7?	No	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xf1f859…
11-08 21:34:25	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 7?	No	SELL	79	25¢	$20	0xdf476a…
11-08 21:34:19	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on November 7?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xc6b40e…
11-08 20:55:34	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be -3°C on November 8?	No	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x6a59c0…
11-08 20:51:16	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be -3°C on November 8?	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x9e350a…
11-08 20:51:12	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be -3°C on November 8?	No	BUY	54	15¢	$8	0xe8f098…
11-08 20:51:10	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be -3°C on November 8?	No	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xcdd69f…
11-08 20:08:25	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on November 8?	No	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xf3df30…
11-08 19:27:54	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 8?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xfaa0dd…
11-08 19:27:48	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 8?	No	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x52b721…
11-08 19:27:27	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 9?	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xdaab17…
11-08 19:27:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 9?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9f81f7…
11-08 17:51:25	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 8?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x573952…
11-08 14:57:46	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 11°C on November 8?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x9f1411…
11-08 14:57:46	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 11°C on November 8?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x50a84b…
11-08 14:00:10	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on November 8?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xd99c1e…
11-08 13:55:36	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on November 8?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa3ec93…
11-08 13:24:03	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 62-63°F on November 8?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x9e387d…
11-08 09:54:15	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 44-45°F on November 8?	No	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0x2f10a0…
11-08 08:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 8?	No	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0xd033ce…
11-08 08:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 8?	No	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0x646c01…
11-08 08:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 8?	No	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xcf2c48…
11-08 02:54:09	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C on November 8?	No	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x9a7aed…
11-08 02:54:09	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C on November 8?	No	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x600a43…
11-08 02:53:31	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C on November 8?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x6f0353…
11-08 01:04:07	Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x28aac4…
11-08 00:58:54	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on November 8?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xdb9c6a…
11-08 00:46:06	Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-45 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x8598b3…
11-08 00:45:01	Will a Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CA-45 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x002afc…
11-08 00:25:10	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 14°C on November 8?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xff2760…
11-07 22:00:54	Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on November 8?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x314389…
11-07 21:56:42	Will Jorja Johnson / JW Johnson advance to the Final in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Opendoor Pickleball World Championships?	No	BUY	540	15¢	$81	0x07c412…
11-07 20:00:21	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on November 8?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xce9fd7…
11-07 20:00:15	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 58-59°F on November 8?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xdd0992…
11-07 18:31:12	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on November 7?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x825c5f…
11-07 15:51:00	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 16°C on November 7?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x4e0d6d…
11-07 15:23:27	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 16°C on November 7?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x0a2004…
11-07 15:05:12	Will Applied Materials say "Bandwidth" during earnings call?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2f630b…
11-07 15:05:10	Will Applied Materials say "Bandwidth" during earnings call?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x33f467…
11-07 14:30:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 7?	No	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xe3c820…
11-07 14:22:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 7?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x885b44…
11-07 13:58:34	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on November 7?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$3	0x86d43d…
11-07 13:58:34	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on November 7?	No	BUY	12	30¢	$3	0x293289…
11-07 13:55:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on November 7?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x918cce…
11-07 12:30:10	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on November 7?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xfa838e…
11-07 12:09:27	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on November 7?	No	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x3fc45c…
11-07 12:08:22	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on November 7?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xf471ef…
11-07 12:03:55	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on November 7?	No	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x7c5046…
11-07 12:03:55	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 34-35°F on November 7?	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x64e1a4…
11-07 11:47:22	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on November 7?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xa831c4…
11-07 11:43:24	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on November 8?	No	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x01757a…
11-07 11:43:19	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on November 8?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$8	0x7e13e6…
11-07 11:43:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C on November 8?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x47ece8…
11-07 10:55:28	Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on November 7?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x6366e8…
11-07 10:17:13	Will the lowest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on November 7?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xdf4440…
11-07 10:00:49	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be -5°C or below on November 9?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x272077…
11-07 10:00:15	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be -5°C or below on November 9?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x0e95f1…
11-07 09:57:37	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be -5°C or below on November 9?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xb00e17…
11-07 09:56:51	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be -5°C or below on November 9?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xaf7d30…
11-07 09:52:57	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on November 7?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf0473d…
11-07 09:52:57	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on November 7?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4c67a8…
11-07 09:51:40	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be -5°C or below on November 9?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xc567b0…
11-07 09:51:40	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be -5°C or below on November 9?	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x615753…
11-07 09:51:39	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be -5°C or below on November 9?	No	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0xce459d…
11-07 09:51:39	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be -5°C or below on November 9?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x74a0fa…
11-07 08:24:09	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.0500 on November 7?	No	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x7dff4e…
11-07 08:10:07	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on November 7?	No	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x5b9ca7…