Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 9?
No won
Total volume
$1,211
$791 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$1,248
Latest YES mid
23¢
Latest NO mid
77¢
End date
2026-11-09
First seen
2026-11-08
last 11-09 00:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.3¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $339
vs crowd: 1% YES on $787)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $8 | $371 | $363 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $274 | $274 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $0 | $124 | $124 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | $7 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $0 | $339 | $339 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $0 | $306 | $306 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Below median | 3 | $1 | $124 | $123 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $0 | $4 | $4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +213 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-09 00:01 |
| Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 3 | 11-09 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa175…82f1 | No | +122 | $121 | $121 | 1 | 11-09 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +59 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 11-09 00:02 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-09 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f88…ac84 | No | +32 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 11-09 00:02 |
| Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-09 00:01 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 11-09 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x45ad…0bae | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-08 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x389f…480a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-08 19:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c1d…da77 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-09 00:01 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-09 00:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe5a2…2e0d | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-09 00:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-09 00:02:49 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52457d… |
| 11-09 00:02:49 | Bogus-Bather 0x9e14…5ada | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x52457d… |
| 11-09 00:02:49 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52457d… |
| 11-09 00:02:49 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x52457d… |
| 11-09 00:02:49 | (anonymous) 0x3f88…ac84 | No | BUY | 32 | 100¢ | $32 | 0x52457d… |
| 11-09 00:02:42 | (anonymous) 0xe5a2…2e0d | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0xebaa22… |
| 11-09 00:02:42 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xebaa22… |
| 11-09 00:02:37 | Bogus-Bather 0x9e14…5ada | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x791b2d… |
| 11-09 00:02:37 | (anonymous) 0xd12f…f334 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x791b2d… |
| 11-09 00:02:31 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x074bfc… |
| 11-09 00:02:31 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | No | SELL | 41 | 100¢ | $41 | 0x074bfc… |
| 11-09 00:02:31 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x8e569e… |
| 11-09 00:02:31 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x8e569e… |
| 11-09 00:02:31 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x074bfc… |
| 11-09 00:02:28 | Bright-Jasmine 0x2277…6604 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xc08bdf… |
| 11-09 00:02:28 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc08bdf… |
| 11-09 00:01:18 | (anonymous) 0xa175…82f1 | No | BUY | 122 | 99¢ | $121 | 0x6d9e04… |
| 11-09 00:01:18 | Equal-Burial 0xf762…e14f | No | SELL | 263 | 99¢ | $260 | 0x6d9e04… |
| 11-09 00:01:18 | Meaty-Pseudoscience 0xe8d0…5542 | No | BUY | 141 | 99¢ | $140 | 0x6d9e04… |
| 11-09 00:01:16 | Equal-Burial 0xf762…e14f | No | BUY | 263 | 97¢ | $255 | 0xf2319c… |
| 11-09 00:01:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 213 | 3¢ | $6 | 0xf2319c… |
| 11-09 00:01:16 | Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf2319c… |
| 11-09 00:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x3c1d…da77 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf2319c… |
| 11-09 00:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf2319c… |
| 11-09 00:01:15 | Bubbly-Vegetarianism 0x831d…3893 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2063cc… |
| 11-09 00:01:15 | (anonymous) 0xd12f…f334 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x2063cc… |
| 11-08 19:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x6c05…c1b8 | No | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xdaab17… |
| 11-08 19:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x389f…480a | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xdaab17… |
| 11-08 19:27:12 | (anonymous) 0x45ad…0bae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x9f81f7… |
| 11-08 19:27:12 | (anonymous) 0x6c05…c1b8 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x9f81f7… |