Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$240

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,076

1,152 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.13K

$8.32K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-31 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Politics

59% 61% -$193

Other

39% 44% -$47

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% 67% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-4	-$2	38¢	$-2	+$0	10-28 09:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$16	58¢	$0	+$16	10-28 09:52
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	-$1	40¢	$0	+$1	10-28 09:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	91	$862	2,542	2,542	+0	open	—	10-28 09:55
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	84	$838	1,470	1,470	+0	Yes	+$4	09-04 01:00
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	63	$630	1,612	1,612	+0	open	—	10-28 09:38
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	24	$249	262	262	+0	open	—	08-20 07:56
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	22	$225	191	191	+0	open	—	08-27 20:39
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	32	$208	578	578	+0	Yes	-$108	09-09 11:47
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	18	$169	418	418	+0	No	-$11	08-17 19:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	19	$163	677	677	+0	No	-$21	10-20 13:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	16	$163	149	149	+0	No	+$4	08-27 19:14
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	20	$159	900	890	+10	No	-$40	09-04 16:46
Iran leadership change by December 31?	16	$153	568	568	+0	open	—	09-09 23:17
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	14	$152	114	114	+0	open	—	08-19 13:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	14	$136	104	104	+0	open	—	10-28 09:45
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	12	$108	125	125	+0	No	-$11	09-09 23:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	12	$106	217	217	+0	open	—	10-28 09:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?	10	$103	90	90	+0	open	—	09-07 21:10
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	20	$95	560	557	+3	No	-$51	08-13 06:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	10	$89	54	54	+0	open	—	10-28 09:46
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	8	$87	56	56	+0	Yes	+$7	08-16 02:44
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	10	$80	380	380	+0	Yes	-$19	08-13 06:24
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	6	$69	48	48	+0	No	+$8	09-07 15:00
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	2	$67	53	53	+0	Yes	+$32	10-28 09:34
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	6	$60	36	36	+0	open	—	08-13 06:35
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	6	$56	80	80	+0	open	—	10-28 09:41
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$41	30	30	+0	open	—	10-28 09:35
israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	4	$40	132	132	+0	Yes	+$0	09-04 23:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	4	$35	44	44	+0	No	-$5	08-13 06:23
Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	3	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	10-28 10:04
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?	2	$34	30	30	+0	open	—	10-28 09:34
Will Demon1 play for Cloud9 in 2027?	2	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	10-28 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:40:22	Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x80c567…
10-31 17:20:22	Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x01ddb7…
10-31 17:00:22	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%?	Yes	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x0fb073…
10-30 17:10:24	Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfc0a7a…
10-30 17:00:24	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xe32673…
10-30 17:00:24	Will Hims & Hers (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd55ec7…
10-30 17:00:24	Will voter turnout be between 76% and 78% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xceb787…
10-30 17:00:24	Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc79c65…
10-30 17:00:24	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb104dd…
10-30 16:50:24	Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x76fec8…
10-30 16:50:22	Will Democrats win young men in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xa24a29…
10-30 16:50:22	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	No	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x8d7b63…
10-30 16:50:22	Will IShowSpeed win Streamer of the Year at the 2026 Streamer Awards?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x51cf3a…
10-30 16:50:22	Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	No	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x4830c0…
10-30 16:50:22	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x42ff9f…
10-30 16:40:22	Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1aa836…
10-28 17:00:23	Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xbe64cd…
10-28 17:00:23	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 89% to 90.5%?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xa53f72…
10-28 16:50:23	Will Haniff Hoosen be the next mayor of eThekwini?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x88dd39…
10-28 16:50:23	CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 90.5% to 92%?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x3c25e1…
10-28 16:40:22	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xed7039…
10-28 10:14:25	Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x47c23a…
10-28 10:14:19	Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	1	40¢	$1	0x200724…
10-28 10:09:17	Will Derke play for Team Vitality in 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x2a16e2…
10-28 10:05:53	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	SELL	1	38¢	$0	0xe9b098…
10-28 10:05:46	Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	No	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xf396cc…
10-28 10:05:40	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x9d1f18…
10-28 10:05:34	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x6412a4…
10-28 10:05:29	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x637ea9…
10-28 10:05:25	Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x71bdbe…
10-28 10:05:19	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xc7ee2f…
10-28 10:05:13	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x69d88c…
10-28 10:05:08	Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xe5cf71…
10-28 10:05:02	Will Russia enter Khatnie by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0xc10c1a…
10-28 10:04:58	Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 4.00 to 4.99 ft by November 30?	No	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x9e8cc9…
10-28 10:04:53	Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x5a16bc…
10-28 10:04:47	Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x072162…
10-28 10:04:41	Will zekken play for MIBR in 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x1df677…
10-28 10:04:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x510439…
10-28 10:04:31	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x96c855…
10-28 10:04:26	Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x18537b…
10-28 10:04:20	Will Derke play for Team Vitality in 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xa631a9…
10-28 10:04:14	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x4a13b4…
10-28 09:57:32	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x6b75d9…
10-28 09:57:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x800f90…
10-28 09:57:19	Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x8756f2…
10-28 09:57:13	Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x345f72…
10-28 09:57:07	Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x9d2d92…
10-28 09:57:02	Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?	No	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x585e17…
10-28 09:56:56	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x387cbc…
10-28 09:56:52	Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x8cc37b…
10-28 09:56:46	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0x037bb6…
10-28 09:56:40	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x2a8f58…
10-28 09:56:34	Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x26d152…
10-28 09:56:28	Will Bilibili Gaming Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x00fb64…
10-28 09:56:23	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xc4d4c5…
10-28 09:56:17	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xb62ee6…
10-28 09:56:11	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	Yes	SELL	16	10¢	$2	0x21222d…
10-28 09:56:07	Will there be at least 6000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	15	23¢	$3	0x49901a…
10-28 09:56:01	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x967d10…
10-28 09:55:55	Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026?	No	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x20555b…
10-28 09:55:50	Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x7c2d78…
10-28 09:55:44	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x9784e7…
10-28 09:55:38	Will LCK have the most teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x47edc2…
10-28 09:55:34	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	14¢	$2	0xf38755…
10-28 09:55:28	Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xbae4e7…
10-28 09:55:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x6a114a…
10-28 09:54:52	Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x560e23…
10-28 09:54:46	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xee7cdd…
10-28 09:54:41	Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0xc4d3f2…
10-28 09:54:35	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	17	10¢	$2	0x26bce0…
10-28 09:54:29	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xe3c451…
10-28 09:54:25	Will a Western team reach the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0xf68763…
10-28 09:54:19	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?	No	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0x1e59ba…
10-28 09:54:13	Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation be at least 3,500 but below 3,510 ft?	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x9a1670…
10-28 09:54:07	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xc48104…
10-28 09:54:02	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x5b0bd1…
10-28 09:53:56	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	No	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0xb25ee5…
10-28 09:53:52	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x80c597…
10-28 09:53:46	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x77c6b0…
10-28 09:53:40	Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x308e84…
10-28 09:53:35	Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	No	SELL	19	13¢	$2	0x10c802…
10-28 09:53:28	Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x27ba1a…
10-28 09:53:23	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x382697…
10-28 09:53:17	Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x38c36d…
10-28 09:53:11	Will Ella Langley win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x83bae0…
10-28 09:53:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x723cd4…
10-28 09:53:02	Will G2 Esports Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xcc71ca…
10-28 09:52:47	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x7830f2…
10-28 09:52:43	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x85329d…
10-28 09:52:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x0f35f6…
10-28 09:52:32	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x184a74…
10-28 09:52:31	Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?	No	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x6814d0…
10-28 09:52:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x6814c9…
10-28 09:52:20	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x2a9a89…
10-28 09:52:14	Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf553ff…
10-28 09:52:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x491d50…
10-28 09:52:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xebea72…
10-28 09:51:58	Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x00641b…
10-28 09:51:53	Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?	No	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x5d2840…