Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
59.0%
Resolved
67
Trades
225
lifetime
Volume
$635
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$5
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 11-02 20:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 35 days
Categories
Other
52% 67% -$5
Crypto
33% 63% +$9
Sports
12% 0% -$19
Politics
2% 80% -$1
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$1
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 05-01 15:01
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $2 +$1 07-07 22:14
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 08-21 15:50