Orange-Danger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$30

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-18 05:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 57% +$3

Politics

24% 50% $-1

Sports

20% 50% +$3

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+3	$1	55¢	$2	+$1	06-18 04:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 02:14
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-09 07:28
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	1	$2	5	0	+5	Joshua Van	+$3	05-09 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-12 05:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-11 01:50
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$2	5	5	+0	Sean Strickland	$-0	05-09 07:32
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-11 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	1	$1	117	0	+117	Down	$-1	05-11 02:26
world cup total tournament goals ou 264pt5 20260608175819175	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	06-18 04:36
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	$-1	05-11 02:44
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-18 05:16
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-18 05:13
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-12 06:09
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-18 04:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-06 03:55
Will Trump say "Chair" this week?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-11 02:44
Will Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-11 02:44
Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-11 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-06 04:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$0	10	0	+10	Down	$-0	05-11 02:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 05:16:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x286d8c…
06-18 05:13:16	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf37ff3…
06-18 04:36:40	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc3101e…
06-18 04:36:02	world cup total tournament goals ou 264pt5 20260608175819175	Under	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdcec25…
05-12 06:09:05	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb5b05e…
05-12 05:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf2fb1d…
05-12 05:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4e3c6e…
05-11 02:47:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3b1cd4…
05-11 02:44:44	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa16d5c…
05-11 02:44:37	Will Trump say "Silicon Valley" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcd46ff…
05-11 02:44:00	Will Trump say "Chair" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x55b0f0…
05-11 02:43:44	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfef0d5…
05-11 02:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x090141…
05-11 02:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x343100…
05-11 02:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd602e9…
05-11 02:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd165e9…
05-11 01:50:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xee3029…
05-09 07:32:10	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xa43817…
05-09 07:28:00	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf28ad4…
05-09 06:52:49	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb156f0…
05-09 06:48:56	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x189ff0…
05-06 04:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0bb687…
05-06 03:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7b7e62…