Spiteful-Chair — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.1%

Resolved

285

Trades

833

lifetime

Volume

$1.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.29K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-21 18:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Politics

64% 48% -$44,231

Other

31% 35% -$13,085

Sports

4% 14% -$1,463

Tech

1% 0% -$75

Crypto

0% 100% +$78

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$91.5K	52,271	52,271	+0	No	+$12,925	06-01 03:57
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	15	$89.8K	53,473	46,409	+7,064	No	+$4,135	03-01 02:47
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	68	$82.1K	44,848	44,848	+0	No	+$5,064	04-28 23:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$69.9K	56,844	56,844	+0	Yes	-$2,667	03-03 10:47
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	10	$67.1K	37,160	37,160	+0	Yes	-$1,014	04-09 08:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	16	$55.5K	79,583	3,564	+76,019	Yes	-$50,417	06-11 18:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	7	$45.3K	24,770	24,770	+0	No	+$3,209	01-27 14:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	12	$45.2K	26,269	26,269	+0	No	+$5,770	05-22 22:06
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	17	$39.4K	20,612	20,612	+0	Yes	+$213	01-27 11:38
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	6	$26.4K	5,208	21,762	-16,554	No	-$126	01-20 19:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	14	$24.9K	16,822	16,822	+0	open	—	05-06 11:01
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	5	$23.1K	12,054	12,054	+0	No	+$645	02-11 17:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$22.9K	19,227	19,227	+0	No	-$4,929	05-25 12:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$20.3K	22,343	22,343	+0	Yes	-$9,470	03-01 02:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	7	$19.8K	11,111	11,111	+0	open	—	05-10 15:05
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	8	$19.6K	22,410	22,410	+0	Yes	-$689	06-11 18:21
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$12.3K	7,554	7,554	+0	No	-$1,736	03-08 12:38
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$12.2K	10,508	10,508	+0	No	-$157	05-17 10:45
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	4	$10.6K	6,772	6,772	+0	Yes	-$2,186	01-13 16:08
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	3	$10.2K	5,112	5,112	+0	No	+$57	01-08 05:49
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$9.1K	4,562	4,562	+0	Yes	+$0	03-13 23:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$8.6K	30,641	0	+30,641	Yes	-$8,624	04-04 08:02
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	4	$8.5K	4,333	4,333	+0	No	+$83	01-27 11:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	7	$8.4K	4,503	4,503	+0	No	+$402	05-10 13:36
will silver si hit high 160 by end of february 597 366 984 937	12	$8.1K	5,030	3,061	+1,969	No	+$16	02-27 17:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$7.5K	0	20,267	-20,267	Yes	+$7,478	05-25 12:23
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	2	$7.1K	4,639	4,639	+0	No	+$2,176	10-14 20:59
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	6	$7.1K	5,562	5,562	+0	open	—	05-18 11:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$6.8K	6,286	6,286	+0	Yes	-$3,745	02-28 14:29
epl che new 2026 03 14 che	2	$6.7K	4,645	4,645	+0	No	+$2,597	03-14 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 18:50:42	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3fbcd6…
10-21 18:50:27	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	583	41¢	$239	0xd97fef…
10-14 20:59:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	SELL	4,639	100¢	$4,634	0x9cdef1…
10-14 10:39:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	4,639	53¢	$2,459	0x5e03ef…
08-26 20:43:30	Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Chicago Cubs	BUY	543	51¢	$277	0xbb39d4…
08-26 19:40:52	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	BUY	319	30¢	$96	0xe33c88…
08-26 19:18:40	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	No	BUY	477	23¢	$110	0x11881c…
08-23 13:43:12	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	5,954	62¢	$3,692	0x4d5640…
08-23 09:13:22	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	875	56¢	$490	0x608052…
08-22 13:34:40	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?	No	SELL	424	100¢	$424	0x26ccbd…
08-22 12:02:43	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	424	59¢	$250	0xdd44a3…
08-21 13:13:36	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?	No	BUY	919	54¢	$496	0xf5f86d…
08-20 11:44:46	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-20?	No	BUY	2,186	40¢	$882	0x72c9a6…
08-19 20:11:19	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?	No	BUY	421	47¢	$198	0x258569…
08-18 21:02:27	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?	No	SELL	651	100¢	$650	0x646667…
08-18 11:36:07	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?	No	BUY	651	52¢	$338	0xa022a4…
08-17 14:19:57	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?	No	BUY	347	57¢	$198	0xe6a2ef…
08-17 13:19:57	lol t1 dnf 2026 08 17	T1	BUY	105	20¢	$21	0xf12721…
08-17 13:19:16	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x744778…
08-17 13:18:40	Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x73c6ca…
08-17 13:18:21	lol t1 dnf 2026 08 17	T1	SELL	283	8¢	$24	0x668c5e…
08-17 07:58:34	lol t1 dnf 2026 08 17	T1	BUY	283	51¢	$144	0xf06be8…
08-16 15:38:01	Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16?	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0x1dde7f…
08-16 13:05:21	Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16?	No	BUY	148	62¢	$92	0xa00ecc…
08-16 13:04:51	cs2 mglz pain 2026 08 16	TheMongolz	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x7b3399…
08-16 11:02:49	cs2 mglz pain 2026 08 16	TheMongolz	BUY	94	61¢	$57	0x56462e…
08-14 16:26:06	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	4,831	25¢	$1,208	0xb9d75b…
08-13 09:37:43	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	SELL	1,086	82¢	$888	0x3c2d34…
08-12 17:25:48	Will Manchester United win on 2026-08-12?	No	BUY	413	49¢	$203	0x4424c3…
08-12 17:25:16	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506 211	No	SELL	250	83¢	$209	0x8d8e3a…
08-10 09:14:12	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	No	BUY	1,336	69¢	$922	0x200863…
08-10 08:34:57	lol hle1 gen 2026 08 10	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	444	100¢	$442	0x16f1ee…
08-10 07:59:57	lol hle1 gen 2026 08 10	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	444	45¢	$200	0xf6e024…
08-09 15:33:40	Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-09?	No	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x6d7a28…
08-09 15:32:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-09?	No	SELL	598	100¢	$598	0xdb1ef1…
08-09 02:08:55	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-09?	No	BUY	598	39¢	$233	0xef8ce8…
08-09 02:08:39	Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?	No	BUY	453	53¢	$240	0x034923…
08-08 10:48:33	Will Manchester United win on 2026-08-08?	No	BUY	486	55¢	$266	0xd8e896…
08-08 10:48:01	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-08?	No	BUY	525	53¢	$278	0xe18655…
08-07 14:19:21	Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-15?	No	SELL	906	66¢	$597	0xe416f8…
08-07 14:18:21	Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-15?	No	BUY	906	69¢	$622	0x234e4c…
08-07 14:11:15	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	SELL	632	100¢	$632	0x8bc975…
08-07 10:13:46	Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-07?	Yes	BUY	632	49¢	$310	0x0be314…
06-11 18:21:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	12,046	68¢	$8,177	0x5a0516…
06-11 18:21:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	19,454	42¢	$8,177	0xa52f6a…
06-11 17:29:03	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xaf89e6…
06-11 15:48:10	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	2,000	43¢	$860	0x1bd83d…
06-11 15:45:19	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	622	44¢	$274	0x599669…
06-09 13:41:24	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	326	46¢	$150	0xf820a4…
06-09 13:37:07	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	332	45¢	$149	0xc7c23d…
06-02 06:49:30	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	32,531	68¢	$22,218	0x1bcd6c…
06-01 05:32:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	7,812	64¢	$5,000	0xc31e92…
06-01 05:30:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	7,813	64¢	$5,000	0x12da6c…
06-01 05:29:08	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	15,816	63¢	$10,000	0x019944…
06-01 03:59:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	19,327	45¢	$8,726	0x5f166c…
06-01 03:59:35	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	2,756	46¢	$1,274	0x5b6d40…
06-01 03:57:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52,271	100¢	$52,218	0xfee224…
05-27 08:19:00	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	BUY	382	35¢	$134	0x565657…
05-27 08:18:32	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	BUY	1,029	35¢	$360	0xb31874…
05-25 12:23:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24,764	66¢	$16,443	0xe77702…
05-25 12:23:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	19,227	47¢	$8,965	0x1f4047…
05-25 12:23:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20,267	37¢	$7,478	0x4266f3…
05-22 22:06:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20,859	86¢	$17,939	0x8e77de…
05-22 22:06:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	16,755	97¢	$16,302	0x9010a4…
05-22 22:05:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	722	98¢	$705	0x023135…
05-22 22:04:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xdd2c5b…
05-22 22:04:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	855	98¢	$835	0x58824d…
05-20 03:23:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,414	74¢	$2,526	0xfaec31…
05-19 16:46:53	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	BUY	987	39¢	$385	0x21544f…
05-19 16:45:57	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x17e79a…
05-19 16:45:23	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	No	BUY	1,282	39¢	$500	0xf0f1d6…
05-19 16:44:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1,430	70¢	$1,003	0xc67578…
05-19 13:07:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,393	70¢	$975	0xf4ce8b…
05-19 13:06:38	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	3,735	27¢	$997	0x99481b…
05-19 12:08:59	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x434388…
05-19 12:08:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xbe77de…
05-19 12:08:15	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0x113166…
05-19 12:07:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0x923a54…
05-19 12:07:24	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	1,475	27¢	$397	0x3321f5…
05-19 12:07:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	580	70¢	$406	0x5a5a52…
05-19 12:00:24	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	1,253	27¢	$337	0xfe832f…
05-19 11:59:53	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	SELL	1,030	34¢	$353	0xbff09f…
05-18 19:13:43	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	224	14¢	$31	0x812eae…
05-18 19:13:20	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	SELL	120	27¢	$33	0xca9de4…
05-18 16:36:32	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0xdff598…
05-18 16:34:59	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-18?	No	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xe2fc4f…
05-18 16:34:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0x9116a9…
05-18 11:35:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6,659	72¢	$4,805	0x7f7032…
05-18 11:35:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5,000	96¢	$4,805	0x3c58ea…
05-18 11:33:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,790	72¢	$2,729	0xa0a8a8…
05-18 11:33:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,826	96¢	$2,719	0xba7cc3…
05-18 11:32:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xfaf132…
05-18 11:23:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,971	72¢	$2,859	0x4adf89…
05-18 11:22:51	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	4,602	63¢	$2,896	0xd30e27…
05-17 10:56:23	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	3,913	64¢	$2,504	0x397ea3…
05-17 10:51:04	Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	BUY	1,030	37¢	$380	0xb9bf87…
05-17 10:45:37	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	5,208	57¢	$2,969	0x1f177c…
05-15 16:59:39	Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,034	29¢	$300	0x2b611b…
05-15 16:59:19	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	480	63¢	$302	0x4d633b…
05-15 15:10:41	Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	1,036	27¢	$280	0xc5fd67…