Lively-Masonry-Purity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

Trades

174

lifetime

Volume

$274

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 08-11 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 57% +$3

Sports

9% — —

Politics

8% — —

Other

8% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	12	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	05-30 10:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	3	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-25 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$7	6	4	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-30 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 05:55
btc updown 15m 1783624500	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	07-09 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$6	5	3	+2	Up	+$2	05-07 05:39
btc updown 5m 1785918900	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	08-05 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 16:34
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	07-09 19:08
btc updown 15m 1784718900	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	07-22 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$5	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-30 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:16
btc updown 15m 1785919500	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	08-05 08:58
btc updown 5m 1786441800	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	08-11 09:52
btc updown 15m 1786442400	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	08-11 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$4	7	2	+5	open	—	06-02 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 21:25
world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	3	$3	4	1	+3	open	—	07-07 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-07 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	05-28 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 10:06:00	btc updown 15m 1786442400	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x98af3a…
08-11 10:02:40	btc updown 15m 1786442400	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd6babb…
08-11 09:52:21	btc updown 5m 1786441800	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x593829…
08-11 09:51:28	btc updown 5m 1786441800	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x04c074…
08-11 09:46:42	btc updown 15m 1786441500	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x156dba…
08-11 09:45:24	btc updown 15m 1786441500	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x526a96…
08-11 09:41:01	btc updown 5m 1786441200	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7ed99e…
08-10 13:27:54	bitcoin up or down august 10 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x3c34bf…
08-10 10:56:33	will lionel messi attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630254	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xa3c369…
08-10 10:56:06	will drake attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630272	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5f3d9b…
08-08 07:55:37	will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x440615…
08-08 07:55:19	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc111dc…
08-05 13:25:59	btc updown 5m 1785936300	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd39eb2…
08-05 12:51:26	btc updown 5m 1785934200	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x710958…
08-05 12:50:27	btc updown 5m 1785934200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb7edfb…
08-05 12:46:12	btc updown 5m 1785933900	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8b3496…
08-05 08:58:23	btc updown 15m 1785919500	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x8423e3…
08-05 08:49:12	btc updown 15m 1785919500	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1a444b…
08-05 08:45:47	btc updown 15m 1785919500	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb444b5…
08-05 08:45:39	btc updown 15m 1785919500	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x748c5e…
08-05 08:38:36	btc updown 5m 1785918900	Up	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x6579ef…
08-05 08:37:15	btc updown 5m 1785918900	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1bc416…
07-22 11:21:30	btc updown 15m 1784718900	Up	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0x87eda8…
07-22 11:20:57	btc updown 15m 1784718900	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x829275…
07-22 11:07:36	btc updown 5m 1784718300	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x39f035…
07-20 06:17:49	ufc tho4 val7 2026 07 25	Thomas Petersen	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1e799f…
07-19 15:02:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first corner	Argentina	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9f78e5…
07-19 15:02:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners second half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc9ea7c…
07-19 15:02:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners first half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1b82cd…
07-19 15:02:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x952b6b…
07-10 04:44:02	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners odd even	Even	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaf25d9…
07-10 04:43:23	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xecb8ba…
07-10 04:42:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf31338…
07-09 19:26:28	btc updown 15m 1783624500	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x168171…
07-09 19:17:16	btc updown 15m 1783624500	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x178842…
07-09 19:16:13	btc updown 15m 1783624500	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x465616…
07-09 19:12:52	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 assists ousmane dembele gte2	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfb8490…
07-09 19:12:23	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6109d8…
07-09 19:11:58	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 shots ousmane dembele gte4	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x9faff2…
07-09 19:08:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdde27c…
07-08 09:03:08	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xeb5a42…
07-07 03:55:46	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Mbappe	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72d575…
07-06 13:58:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc8e695…
06-24 07:01:19	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd890bd…
06-23 17:22:43	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb68e55…
06-23 17:21:28	will bukayo saka score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdc0951…
06-21 16:45:56	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Yamal	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa00aef…
06-21 16:44:25	will raphinha score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x502fae…
06-21 16:43:52	will mohamed salah score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa407f8…
06-18 12:22:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x54e10e…
06-11 16:52:33	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x52af78…
06-07 15:22:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x457d54…
06-04 16:43:46	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Mbappe	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xece58b…
06-04 16:42:16	will trump say maduro this week	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4b9fbd…
06-04 16:39:12	will trump say coal 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800070	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcdc895…
06-04 16:39:10	will trump say job 10 times during coal announcement 20260604130800069	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x58c488…
06-02 07:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x47eefc…
06-02 07:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0d8d8c…
06-02 07:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6af8f2…
06-02 07:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf8af5f…
06-02 07:27:34	Will Trump say "Muscle" in June?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x71769b…
05-31 14:08:17	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4fa93c…
05-31 14:07:59	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd61d5c…
05-31 14:05:16	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x561aad…
05-31 14:04:47	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc6f83e…
05-30 11:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe9b99d…
05-30 11:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7243a1…
05-30 10:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x603317…
05-30 10:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7d27e3…
05-30 10:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x39fcd3…
05-30 10:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa37ad3…
05-30 10:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x5e2c4b…
05-30 10:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3ead79…
05-30 10:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xf20378…
05-30 10:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc9c080…
05-30 10:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5f2ad6…
05-30 10:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x56564d…
05-30 10:47:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x026632…
05-30 10:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1c9383…
05-30 10:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x588dda…
05-30 10:45:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaee7b9…
05-30 10:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x9089ab…
05-30 10:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x036975…
05-30 10:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xa7cc1e…
05-30 10:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xba0ad7…
05-30 10:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xd28c53…
05-30 10:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x69c165…
05-28 07:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a60a1…
05-28 07:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xbe5d6c…
05-28 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3c562c…
05-28 05:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x7621b8…
05-28 05:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf4e17c…
05-28 05:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6d218f…
05-28 05:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcb1bbb…
05-28 05:26:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x73b3af…
05-28 05:25:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd1b53c…
05-28 05:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xcc6c5e…
05-28 05:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x991634…
05-26 10:20:01	Will "Basketball" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa0b0da…
05-26 10:17:35	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcb9ebe…