Lively-Masonry-Purity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$211

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-08 09:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 57% +$3

Politics

11% — —

Sports

9% — —

Other

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+3	$1	54¢	$2	+$1	05-31 14:04
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+3	$1	36¢	$1	+$0	05-31 14:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	12	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	05-30 10:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	3	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-25 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$7	6	4	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$6	8	8	+0	open	—	05-30 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$6	5	3	+2	Up	+$2	05-07 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$5	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-30 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	4	$4	7	2	+5	open	—	06-02 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-08 21:25
world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	3	$3	4	1	+3	open	—	07-07 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	05-28 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-07 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-24 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	05-28 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 19:03
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	0	3	-3	open	—	06-11 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-28 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 09:03:08	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xeb5a42…
07-07 03:55:46	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Mbappe	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72d575…
07-06 13:58:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc8e695…
06-24 07:01:19	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd890bd…
06-23 17:22:43	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb68e55…
06-23 17:21:28	will bukayo saka score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdc0951…
06-21 16:45:56	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Yamal	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa00aef…
06-21 16:44:25	will raphinha score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x502fae…
06-21 16:43:52	will mohamed salah score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa407f8…
06-18 12:22:50	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x54e10e…
06-11 16:52:33	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x52af78…
06-07 15:22:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x457d54…
06-04 16:43:46	world cup goals h2h yamal vspt mbappe 20260604014012402	Mbappe	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xece58b…
06-04 16:42:16	will trump say maduro this week	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4b9fbd…
06-04 16:39:12	will trump say coal 5 times during coal announcement 20260604130800070	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcdc895…
06-04 16:39:10	will trump say job 10 times during coal announcement 20260604130800069	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x58c488…
06-02 07:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x47eefc…
06-02 07:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0d8d8c…
06-02 07:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6af8f2…
06-02 07:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf8af5f…
06-02 07:27:34	Will Trump say "Muscle" in June?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x71769b…
05-31 14:08:17	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4fa93c…
05-31 14:07:59	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd61d5c…
05-31 14:05:16	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x561aad…
05-31 14:04:47	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc6f83e…
05-30 11:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe9b99d…
05-30 11:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7243a1…
05-30 10:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x603317…
05-30 10:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7d27e3…
05-30 10:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x39fcd3…
05-30 10:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa37ad3…
05-30 10:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x5e2c4b…
05-30 10:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3ead79…
05-30 10:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xf20378…
05-30 10:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc9c080…
05-30 10:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5f2ad6…
05-30 10:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x56564d…
05-30 10:47:11	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x026632…
05-30 10:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1c9383…
05-30 10:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x588dda…
05-30 10:45:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaee7b9…
05-30 10:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x9089ab…
05-30 10:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x036975…
05-30 10:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xa7cc1e…
05-30 10:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xba0ad7…
05-30 10:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xd28c53…
05-30 10:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x69c165…
05-28 07:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a60a1…
05-28 07:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xbe5d6c…
05-28 07:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3c562c…
05-28 05:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x7621b8…
05-28 05:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf4e17c…
05-28 05:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6d218f…
05-28 05:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcb1bbb…
05-28 05:26:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x73b3af…
05-28 05:25:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd1b53c…
05-28 05:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xcc6c5e…
05-28 05:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x991634…
05-26 10:20:01	Will "Basketball" be said on the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa0b0da…
05-26 10:17:35	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xcb9ebe…
05-25 13:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x631043…
05-25 13:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1d341b…
05-25 07:15:08	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x866296…
05-25 07:14:44	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x338a9f…
05-25 04:16:43	Will 3+ weightlifting world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0fae6a…
05-25 04:09:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xfd0b6a…
05-25 04:08:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xe91d9e…
05-24 14:19:49	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x3c1461…
05-24 11:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x8b0a70…
05-24 11:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa3ba31…
05-18 06:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x50a34b…
05-18 05:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x1434f1…
05-18 05:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfd7412…
05-18 05:34:20	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff5a59…
05-15 06:49:57	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe390ad…
05-15 06:49:50	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7787f8…
05-12 17:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x4613e6…
05-12 17:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb5e77b…
05-12 10:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9ea365…
05-11 04:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa6f848…
05-11 04:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xed4177…
05-10 04:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x413180…
05-10 04:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc2498b…
05-10 04:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x574e78…
05-10 04:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x578160…
05-09 16:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x87819a…
05-09 06:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x4fe01b…
05-09 06:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcdd131…
05-09 06:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd7c80b…
05-09 06:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xfa4313…
05-09 06:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6afb0b…
05-08 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xb7e486…
05-08 21:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3680b2…
05-08 21:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0x16e8ab…
05-08 21:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x96e75c…
05-08 21:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc573ac…
05-08 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa381bf…
05-08 21:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x4f2322…
05-08 21:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	84¢	$3	0x4855c2…
05-08 21:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb28220…