Realized P&L (90d)
-$2.04K
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
33.9%
Resolved (90d)
130
Trades (90d)
133
770 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.05K
$15.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$502
10 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 10-26 12:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
96% 43% -$2,842
Tech
3% — —
Politics
1% 33% -$72
Crypto
1% 100% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +400 $328 98¢ $393 +$65 07-20 20:56
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +321 $80 12¢ $39 -$42 07-20 20:53
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +800 $38 4¢ $28 -$10 07-27 17:14
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +37 $20 44¢ $16 -$4 06-26 14:28
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +410 $10 2¢ $10 +$0 07-27 17:33
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10 $8 81¢ $8 +$0 06-26 08:29
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes +100 $3 4¢ $4 +$1 10-06 00:18
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +50 $5 3¢ $2 -$3 07-20 20:48
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes +57 $3 2¢ $1 -$1 07-20 20:52
Ostium FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +42 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 06-26 14:28