Attached-Tectonics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$189

Unrealized P&L

+$229

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$43.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$269

Open exposure

$1.86K

5 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 06-09 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% — —

Politics

23% 50% +$189

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	+1,200	$927	90¢	$1.1K	+$159	06-02 10:23
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-461	$-355	76¢	$-348	+$7	06-09 16:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	+253	$200	90¢	$229	+$29	05-28 13:34
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	-125	$-108	86¢	$-107	+$1	06-05 19:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-500	$-120	18¢	$-88	+$32	06-01 12:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	13	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-20 07:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	25	$6.6K	3,327	3,327	+0	open	—	04-29 02:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	3	$4.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$195	05-11 15:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$4.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-24 02:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	17	$3.7K	3,000	825	+2,175	open	—	05-12 13:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	5	$3.6K	2,000	1,984	+16	open	—	04-30 05:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$2.7K	1,500	1,370	+130	open	—	05-27 11:08
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$2.2K	1,372	1,372	+0	open	—	05-15 01:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-10 12:38
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	33	$1.8K	2,158	2,158	+0	open	—	05-19 11:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$927	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-02 10:23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$850	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-18 13:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	1	$580	600	0	+600	open	—	06-03 12:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$361	200	200	+0	open	—	05-14 04:45
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	12	$355	0	461	-461	open	—	06-09 16:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$297	0	300	-300	open	—	06-02 10:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$232	254	0	+254	open	—	05-27 10:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	1	$200	253	0	+253	open	—	05-28 13:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	5	$161	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-22 13:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$136	200	0	+200	open	—	05-27 03:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$120	0	500	-500	open	—	06-01 12:55
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	1	$108	0	125	-125	open	—	06-05 19:05
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$56	80	0	+80	open	—	04-22 15:11
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 13:39
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$6	200	0	+200	No	$-6	05-08 13:28
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$6	200	0	+200	open	—	05-18 13:27
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 14:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:44:54	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xfda711…
06-09 16:41:46	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x4a55b9…
06-09 16:41:09	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xbabf75…
06-09 16:41:09	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x8e7152…
06-09 16:41:01	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xf2ce75…
06-09 16:41:01	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	77¢	$99	0xc70094…
06-09 16:41:01	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x6472b2…
06-09 16:41:00	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xb9138d…
06-09 16:41:00	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x12203c…
06-09 16:40:58	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	258	77¢	$198	0x1a57cc…
06-09 16:40:33	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x8049a1…
06-09 12:21:52	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x22975b…
06-05 19:05:39	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	125	87¢	$108	0x37f187…
06-03 12:08:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	600	97¢	$580	0x0d179b…
06-02 10:23:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0xaa4e0a…
06-02 10:21:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0xc43887…
06-01 13:09:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	700	76¢	$532	0x4b46e0…
06-01 12:55:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	24¢	$120	0x571255…
05-28 13:34:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x82880e…
05-27 11:08:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	316	98¢	$311	0xdc9a54…
05-27 11:08:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc62937…
05-27 11:03:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	246	98¢	$242	0xeab39f…
05-27 10:50:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x06292f…
05-27 10:46:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	802	98¢	$789	0x6fb1a7…
05-27 10:46:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x48e515…
05-27 10:46:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2f23b9…
05-27 10:33:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	215	91¢	$196	0xa3dbfa…
05-27 03:10:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	137	68¢	$93	0xb865a3…
05-27 03:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x5b3fb6…
05-27 03:04:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xaf1b18…
05-27 03:00:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xce27b1…
05-27 02:59:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	68¢	$19	0xb54190…
05-24 05:09:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	457	90¢	$412	0xf36842…
05-24 03:30:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xb5e540…
05-24 03:30:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x039235…
05-24 02:19:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	37¢	$184	0x938418…
05-22 22:02:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0xd14d67…
05-22 13:22:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	627	9¢	$54	0x10da75…
05-22 13:21:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	9¢	$6	0x90b167…
05-22 13:21:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	9¢	$26	0x0ac31a…
05-20 15:36:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	832	8¢	$62	0x616413…
05-20 15:36:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	8¢	$13	0x11bc20…
05-20 15:34:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	82¢	$1,230	0x5c59c5…
05-20 15:18:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x00ba36…
05-19 11:42:56	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	653	2¢	$11	0x0c1acb…
05-18 13:32:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	946	85¢	$804	0x954c7a…
05-18 13:32:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	85¢	$46	0x0f163b…
05-18 13:27:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	195	3¢	$5	0xc95b85…
05-18 13:26:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5b33f1…
05-18 13:02:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	88¢	$2,200	0x647ff6…
05-15 01:32:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1,172	99¢	$1,161	0x27bddb…
05-14 12:54:15	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xbafe77…
05-14 12:40:50	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	25	45¢	$11	0x0d661b…
05-14 12:38:11	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xcf4394…
05-14 12:36:45	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xd54ccd…
05-14 12:22:41	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	200	44¢	$89	0x4202e7…
05-14 12:22:24	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	21	43¢	$9	0x67c209…
05-14 12:20:56	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	60	41¢	$24	0x40d429…
05-14 12:10:04	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	25	41¢	$10	0x989f63…
05-14 12:09:53	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0x62f412…
05-14 11:54:55	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	14	32¢	$4	0xbd3d5a…
05-14 11:51:50	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x21746d…
05-14 11:26:54	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	32	36¢	$12	0xae3c96…
05-14 11:26:38	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xf02451…
05-14 11:26:27	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x9ce7ca…
05-14 11:25:59	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x810cfb…
05-14 10:40:28	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	42	49¢	$21	0x360e1a…
05-14 10:37:27	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	158	51¢	$81	0xbc6341…
05-14 05:55:07	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	9¢	$90	0x62c2b9…
05-14 05:32:38	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	42¢	$419	0x2b55f8…
05-14 04:45:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	SELL	200	97¢	$195	0xd085ee…
05-12 13:01:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	825	97¢	$804	0x00e3e1…
05-12 10:22:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$27	0xf77e0b…
05-12 02:00:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$55	0x2c87d8…
05-12 01:41:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	500	73¢	$364	0x8bacde…
05-11 15:51:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xa0c879…
05-10 12:38:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	96¢	$963	0x279cac…
05-08 13:28:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xe5202c…
05-08 12:04:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2,483	92¢	$2,284	0x78fff5…
05-08 11:28:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0x6ba7c8…
05-08 05:45:07	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x7ecf95…
05-08 05:43:33	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	116	95¢	$109	0xe3c59a…
05-08 05:42:56	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	169	95¢	$160	0x60188f…
05-08 05:31:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x61c195…
05-07 21:00:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	1,500	96¢	$1,440	0x887dec…
05-07 12:05:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	131	90¢	$117	0x8c142c…
05-07 12:05:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	90¢	$358	0x9d4e28…
05-07 12:03:59	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0xf5dd13…
05-07 11:53:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb7a8ef…
05-07 11:53:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x49af4a…
05-07 11:52:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xed9907…
05-07 11:51:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb657a7…
05-07 11:49:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x997880…
05-07 11:47:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x29f03c…
05-07 11:46:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4b1d5c…
05-07 11:44:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9dc89d…
05-07 11:43:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xee807d…
05-07 11:41:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xde3593…
05-07 11:40:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x82d0dc…
05-07 11:38:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd5178d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	26	$16.1M	20,196	06-10 00:46
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	26	$367.4K	5,233	06-09 15:33
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	26	$54.3K	414	06-08 23:32
Wilted-Burden-Survivor 0xd8d5…8935	25	$277.4K	979	06-09 14:21
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	25	$124.5K	11,840	06-09 22:12
Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b	24	$521.2K	1,378	06-09 16:39
Active-Hypothermia 0xc3cd…816c	22	$363.3K	2,934	06-09 17:26
Radiant-Divide 0x7df6…ac3b	22	$47.0K	640	06-08 23:09