Attached-Tectonics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$189

Unrealized P&L

-$493

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$60.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$272

Open exposure

$2.51K

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 07-01 10:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% — —

Politics

23% 50% +$189

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+2,400	$2,151	82¢	$2.0K	$-171	06-25 14:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$570	30¢	$295	$-275	06-16 02:21
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	+500	$280	46¢	$232	$-47	07-01 10:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	13	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-20 07:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	25	$6.6K	3,327	3,327	+0	open	—	04-29 02:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	13	$6.2K	3,800	3,800	+0	open	—	06-25 14:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	3	$4.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$195	05-11 15:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$4.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-24 02:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	17	$3.7K	3,000	825	+2,175	open	—	05-12 13:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	5	$3.6K	2,000	1,984	+16	open	—	04-30 05:13
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	16	$3.1K	0	3,546	-3,546	open	—	06-21 04:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	2	$2.8K	800	2,300	-1,500	open	—	06-15 08:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$2.7K	1,500	1,370	+130	open	—	05-27 11:08
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	8	$2.2K	1,372	1,372	+0	open	—	05-15 01:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	3	$2.2K	2,400	0	+2,400	open	—	06-25 14:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-10 12:38
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	33	$1.8K	2,158	2,158	+0	open	—	05-19 11:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	32	$1.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-25 14:06
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	06-15 05:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$850	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-18 13:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	3	$570	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-16 02:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$450	253	253	+0	open	—	06-22 09:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$361	200	200	+0	open	—	05-14 04:45
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$297	0	300	-300	open	—	06-02 10:21
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	1	$295	0	308	-308	open	—	06-22 09:06
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$280	500	0	+500	open	—	07-01 10:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$232	254	0	+254	open	—	05-27 10:46
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$212	0	250	-250	open	—	06-12 01:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	5	$161	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-22 13:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	5	$136	200	0	+200	open	—	05-27 03:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$120	0	500	-500	open	—	06-01 12:55
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$56	80	0	+80	open	—	04-22 15:11
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	04-18 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 10:45:38	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0xe12dab…
06-25 14:10:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,000	84¢	$1,682	0xe6edf8…
06-25 14:08:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0xd9f708…
06-25 14:06:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	785	30¢	$235	0xfc7e5b…
06-25 14:05:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x20f604…
06-25 14:05:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x03f5f5…
06-25 14:05:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x223786…
06-25 14:04:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x30a404…
06-25 14:03:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	75	31¢	$23	0xdd214d…
06-25 14:03:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x7a0854…
06-25 14:03:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	57	31¢	$18	0x16eaf8…
06-25 13:53:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0xf71146…
06-25 13:53:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xf073b0…
06-25 13:53:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xd40ff1…
06-25 13:53:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x46c40c…
06-25 13:53:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	980	30¢	$296	0x2f2dd3…
06-23 05:35:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x65bbfe…
06-22 13:14:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0xedc154…
06-22 13:13:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xc34a73…
06-22 13:09:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x809c6a…
06-22 13:04:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfa5531…
06-22 13:03:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x5bfa61…
06-22 13:03:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xfb3a2f…
06-22 13:01:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x564931…
06-22 13:01:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	109	54¢	$59	0x7d4b8a…
06-22 12:59:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x87d05b…
06-22 12:58:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd1eef5…
06-22 12:58:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x36eef5…
06-22 12:55:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x223fb6…
06-22 12:54:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x988c37…
06-22 12:53:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xd179d8…
06-22 12:53:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x003052…
06-22 12:52:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1ae0df…
06-22 12:52:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xc91a92…
06-22 12:52:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,019	54¢	$550	0x9f2036…
06-22 11:01:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	500	57¢	$285	0x3145dc…
06-22 09:06:47	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	308	96¢	$295	0x71893b…
06-22 09:06:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	253	99¢	$250	0xad31cb…
06-21 04:09:04	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,546	98¢	$1,515	0x2be688…
06-21 03:42:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,706	93¢	$1,586	0x439bba…
06-21 03:42:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8ed485…
06-21 03:41:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x01dce5…
06-21 03:38:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x4140e8…
06-21 03:36:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x47ab52…
06-21 03:34:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0xdf02e0…
06-21 03:33:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	94	93¢	$87	0x9d1b51…
06-18 01:06:49	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0x14933a…
06-16 02:23:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa17b94…
06-16 02:21:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	535	57¢	$305	0xbc3645…
06-16 02:21:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	454	57¢	$259	0xb8d3d6…
06-16 02:21:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x2cbdd9…
06-15 12:35:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	600	72¢	$432	0xaf1e95…
06-15 08:29:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,300	98¢	$2,254	0xf05189…
06-15 05:38:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	600	100¢	$598	0x0d93a6…
06-14 21:36:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	600	65¢	$390	0x1d1e0e…
06-13 13:05:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,200	77¢	$924	0x9676a9…
06-12 01:47:37	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	125	83¢	$104	0x416cc3…
06-11 13:26:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	68¢	$544	0x3b0758…
06-11 11:14:57	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	77¢	$108	0x2be337…
06-11 11:12:48	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	399	77¢	$307	0x3d4bfd…
06-09 16:44:54	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xfda711…
06-09 16:41:46	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x4a55b9…
06-09 16:41:09	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xbabf75…
06-09 16:41:09	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x8e7152…
06-09 16:41:01	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xf2ce75…
06-09 16:41:01	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	77¢	$99	0xc70094…
06-09 16:41:01	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0x6472b2…
06-09 16:41:00	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xb9138d…
06-09 16:41:00	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x12203c…
06-09 16:40:58	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	258	77¢	$198	0x1a57cc…
06-09 16:40:33	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0x8049a1…
06-09 12:21:52	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x22975b…
06-05 19:05:39	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	125	87¢	$108	0x37f187…
06-03 12:08:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	No	BUY	600	97¢	$580	0x0d179b…
06-02 10:23:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0xaa4e0a…
06-02 10:21:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0xc43887…
06-01 13:09:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	700	76¢	$532	0x4b46e0…
06-01 12:55:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	24¢	$120	0x571255…
05-28 13:34:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0x82880e…
05-27 11:08:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	316	98¢	$311	0xdc9a54…
05-27 11:08:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc62937…
05-27 11:03:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	246	98¢	$242	0xeab39f…
05-27 10:50:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x06292f…
05-27 10:46:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	802	98¢	$789	0x6fb1a7…
05-27 10:46:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x48e515…
05-27 10:46:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2f23b9…
05-27 10:33:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	215	91¢	$196	0xa3dbfa…
05-27 03:10:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	137	68¢	$93	0xb865a3…
05-27 03:08:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x5b3fb6…
05-27 03:04:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xaf1b18…
05-27 03:00:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xce27b1…
05-27 02:59:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	68¢	$19	0xb54190…
05-24 05:09:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	457	90¢	$412	0xf36842…
05-24 03:30:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xb5e540…
05-24 03:30:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x039235…
05-24 02:19:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	37¢	$184	0x938418…
05-22 22:02:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0xd14d67…
05-22 13:22:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	627	9¢	$54	0x10da75…
05-22 13:21:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	73	9¢	$6	0x90b167…
05-22 13:21:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	9¢	$26	0x0ac31a…