Low-Factor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.7%

Resolved

422

Trades

2,603

lifetime

Volume

$5.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-12 13:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 58% +$111

Other

37% 38% $-75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 389 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	2	$35	83	80	+4	open	—	04-25 20:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	10	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$5	05-12 00:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	2	$24	29	28	+1	open	—	04-25 20:50
highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 78 79f	2	$22	53	51	+3	open	—	04-23 23:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$22	45	0	+45	Down	+$23	05-04 20:14
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	12	$22	7,455	0	+7,455	Yes	$-22	05-06 22:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	9	$22	45	0	+45	Down	$-17	05-09 02:16
BNB Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	10	$21	35	5	+30	open	—	04-28 10:29
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	8	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 17:46
BNB Up or Down - April 28, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	8	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	04-29 00:16
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	8	$20	20	20	+0	Up	$-2	05-06 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	10	$20	41	0	+41	Up	+$1	05-05 10:32
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	9	$20	25	15	+10	open	—	04-29 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	8	$19	40	0	+40	Down	$-14	05-09 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	8	$19	40	0	+40	Up	+$6	05-06 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	8	$19	40	0	+40	Up	+$16	05-09 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 26?	2	$18	30	29	+1	open	—	04-26 16:15
BNB Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	7	$18	20	15	+5	open	—	04-29 16:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	9	$18	35	0	+35	Down	+$2	05-11 23:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	7	$18	35	0	+35	Down	$-3	05-12 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	7	$17	35	0	+35	Up	$-7	05-12 00:43
highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	2	$17	31	29	+1	open	—	04-23 10:07
highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 18c	9	$17	36	35	+2	open	—	04-18 10:05
highest temperature in seattle on april 21 2026 56 57f	5	$17	24	22	+1	open	—	04-20 07:14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 25?	4	$17	18	18	+0	open	—	04-25 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	7	$16	35	0	+35	Down	$-12	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	8	$16	35	0	+35	Down	$-6	05-09 03:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	7	$16	35	0	+35	Up	+$14	05-05 01:47
highest temperature in munich on april 20 2026 13c	4	$16	29	28	+1	open	—	04-19 10:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	7	$16	33	0	+33	Up	+$12	05-05 01:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd34709…
05-12 13:00:33	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x366f72…
05-12 12:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x8ca3ca…
05-12 12:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfbe670…
05-12 12:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9c1980…
05-12 12:42:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x029ffa…
05-12 12:40:13	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa33cce…
05-12 12:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xee5ed2…
05-12 12:38:42	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd798ce…
05-12 12:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa3bea3…
05-12 12:28:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf10497…
05-12 12:28:01	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbdd087…
05-12 12:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x73f7fe…
05-12 12:24:40	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdfb3fb…
05-12 12:24:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3bf441…
05-12 12:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa1345e…
05-12 12:20:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x64023e…
05-12 12:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x08f3c9…
05-12 11:59:46	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf62c2a…
05-12 11:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8b1cc4…
05-12 11:49:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd2d054…
05-12 11:40:17	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd0063b…
05-12 11:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9ee624…
05-12 11:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x704a03…
05-12 11:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3ac883…
05-12 11:02:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2372dd…
05-12 10:38:39	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x395f3b…
05-12 10:38:37	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7b4941…
05-12 10:32:58	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x8e6b4e…
05-12 10:32:58	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x89adf1…
05-12 10:15:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x02792c…
05-12 10:15:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd415e5…
05-12 10:14:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8f4b31…
05-12 10:00:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe9a93f…
05-12 10:00:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xd02a93…
05-12 09:55:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x794910…
05-12 09:49:20	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xa9d9d0…
05-12 09:49:18	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6d9ebd…
05-12 09:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x692f9c…
05-12 09:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xeb664a…
05-12 09:16:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x741f12…
05-12 09:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0fc30e…
05-12 09:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa35220…
05-12 08:30:49	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa07dfb…
05-12 08:00:46	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe73fde…
05-12 07:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x49201f…
05-12 07:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x15f28d…
05-12 07:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2ffcbe…
05-12 07:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf3b342…
05-12 07:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x4ec46d…
05-12 07:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x0e63f5…
05-12 07:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x143934…
05-12 07:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5d5d2a…
05-12 07:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x84202d…
05-12 07:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x56cf12…
05-12 06:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1d31e3…
05-12 06:32:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf1829e…
05-12 06:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x06ef24…
05-12 06:26:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4d5756…
05-12 06:22:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6a9a80…
05-12 06:19:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xa55695…
05-12 06:19:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6fc3f7…
05-12 06:16:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x957f1a…
05-12 06:16:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x391458…
05-12 06:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc9af60…
05-12 06:09:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x89a199…
05-12 06:06:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x655610…
05-12 06:03:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x073a13…
05-12 05:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x76423d…
05-12 05:44:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x72cfa1…
05-12 05:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf9bb7b…
05-12 05:35:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3fe656…
05-12 05:30:30	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x039ab2…
05-12 05:29:32	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x29b1bf…
05-12 05:26:50	BNB Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x860252…
05-12 03:15:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x326322…
05-12 03:14:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x27df05…
05-12 03:13:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdb33b6…
05-12 01:35:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4dfa9b…
05-12 00:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xac3b65…
05-12 00:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x67d4b4…
05-12 00:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x617c97…
05-12 00:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa39a87…
05-12 00:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4f52c4…
05-12 00:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfa70c9…
05-12 00:38:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb8f02e…
05-12 00:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7aef29…
05-12 00:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1bc434…
05-12 00:35:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x186478…
05-12 00:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7c48d1…
05-12 00:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa55f31…
05-12 00:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9ce146…
05-12 00:24:27	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0xe9f9e0…
05-12 00:24:22	BNB Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd201a3…
05-12 00:16:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x366b81…
05-12 00:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf02d44…
05-12 00:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2d66f8…
05-12 00:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd1f6a1…
05-12 00:14:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa22866…
05-12 00:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc038eb…