Low-Factor — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

38 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$89

$89 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 60% +$20

Other

16% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down		+5	$2	1¢	$0	$-2	05-05 22:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	3	$7	15	0	+15	Up	+$8	05-05 03:27
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-05 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 20:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-05 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 02:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	2	$4	10	0	+10	Up	+$6	05-05 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 14:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 12:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 16:17
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 19:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 05:35
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 01:20
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-05 05:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 03:35
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 16:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 08:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 12:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 12:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 10:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 22:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-05 01:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 22:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x41441a…
05-05 20:30:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6c31dd…
05-05 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8acf7d…
05-05 20:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x425900…
05-05 19:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x22324b…
05-05 19:07:54	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2c99e7…
05-05 16:57:22	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe54b39…
05-05 16:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe63e22…
05-05 14:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7dc170…
05-05 12:50:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb6c7d1…
05-05 12:36:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8d5dc8…
05-05 12:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6dc8f3…
05-05 12:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x50a39c…
05-05 11:41:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcfd861…
05-05 11:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4d5859…
05-05 11:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x831c0c…
05-05 10:40:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x137dfe…
05-05 10:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4de109…
05-05 09:35:20	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x39fbd9…
05-05 09:35:18	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb66eaf…
05-05 08:30:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x87959b…
05-05 05:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb95e1e…
05-05 05:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa0db52…
05-05 05:25:40	BNB Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc40986…
05-05 04:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xb69812…
05-05 03:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6a13ad…
05-05 03:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x23ff8c…
05-05 03:24:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x363c2a…
05-05 03:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3121e8…
05-05 03:22:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x73a0a4…
05-05 02:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x684e25…
05-05 02:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xadabaa…
05-05 01:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd02a83…
05-05 01:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc58253…
05-05 01:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2b2c41…
05-05 01:20:06	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc33563…
05-04 20:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe3f3e6…
05-04 20:04:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x17bc4b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	24	$4.64K	147	05-05 22:45
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	19	$3.39K	154	05-05 22:50
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	17	$3.74K	99	05-05 22:45
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	12	$724	74	05-05 20:25
Funny-Keyboarding 0xa665…01e3	11	$575	23	05-05 19:45
Barren-Strand 0x4d4e…1867	10	$751	52	05-05 20:19
Noisy-Colonisation 0xb945…db68	9	$743	47	05-05 14:22
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	6	$703	13	05-05 14:27