Illustrious-Canoe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,161

lifetime

Volume

$161.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 06-19 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

78% 25% $-1,396

Other

22% 67% +$146

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$15.3K	8,700	8,700	+0	open	—	06-01 09:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	46	$13.3K	8,950	9,300	-350	open	—	05-18 01:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	22	$12.9K	7,256	6,256	+1,000	open	—	04-30 08:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	25	$12.7K	7,080	7,080	-0	No	+$1,339	05-04 01:06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	40	$8.9K	5,369	5,369	+0	open	—	04-30 00:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	38	$7.8K	4,969	4,969	+0	open	—	05-13 00:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	29	$7.5K	5,564	5,600	-37	open	—	05-15 13:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	31	$6.9K	555	12,844	-12,289	open	—	06-19 10:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	8	$6.5K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	06-19 09:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	9	$5.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-13 00:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	10	$4.4K	1,000	5,000	-4,000	open	—	06-14 02:53
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	23	$3.9K	2,562	2,665	-103	open	—	04-26 17:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	419	$3.9K	2,776	2,776	+0	open	—	05-04 00:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	20	$3.7K	2,200	1,872	+329	open	—	05-10 01:28
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	8	$3.5K	500	3,500	-3,000	open	—	06-12 07:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	7	$3.4K	2,000	1,754	+246	open	—	06-15 02:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	24	$3.2K	5,000	4,550	+450	open	—	05-18 18:44
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	8	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-15 14:04
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	21	$2.6K	2,099	2,099	+0	open	—	04-22 00:02
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$2.6K	4,147	0	+4,147	open	—	06-12 07:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	6	$2.4K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-27 20:43
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	22	$2.4K	1,222	1,222	+0	open	—	05-01 06:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	16	$2.3K	1,593	1,593	+0	open	—	04-29 03:50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	29	$2.0K	7,684	0	+7,684	open	—	06-12 07:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	15	$2.0K	135	7,035	-6,900	open	—	06-19 10:01
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	13	$1.8K	5,176	0	+5,176	Yes	$-1,844	04-28 08:53
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	7	$1.7K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	05-15 14:07
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	20	$1.5K	1,312	1,312	+0	open	—	04-21 11:06
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	18	$1.4K	1,966	2,000	-34	open	—	05-15 14:23
will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	7	$1.2K	1,625	0	+1,625	open	—	06-14 10:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 22:12:29	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$40	0x150731…
06-19 10:03:44	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xb37150…
06-19 10:01:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,130	43¢	$1,332	0x859ae2…
06-19 10:01:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	4,000	21¢	$840	0x6a222b…
06-19 10:00:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x12899d…
06-19 09:59:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	1,440	82¢	$1,183	0xe1582a…
06-19 08:30:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	220	50¢	$110	0xf8c29a…
06-19 08:29:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,643	0x3fc2fb…
06-19 08:27:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	51¢	$1,020	0x1a9419…
06-19 08:26:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	700	84¢	$585	0x06a955…
06-19 08:25:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	460	85¢	$391	0x748f62…
06-19 08:24:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	400	85¢	$341	0x61784c…
06-19 08:23:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	600	52¢	$311	0xa7b777…
06-16 23:35:17	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,795	6¢	$100	0xefd509…
06-15 02:02:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	1,700	99¢	$1,683	0x7c5fd2…
06-15 00:30:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	54	99¢	$54	0x7db510…
06-14 10:51:58	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	581	52¢	$302	0x90d0cd…
06-14 10:51:22	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	116	76¢	$88	0x0b4776…
06-14 10:50:58	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	177	74¢	$131	0xfffd72…
06-14 10:50:43	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x5e2ddf…
06-14 10:50:16	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	353	74¢	$261	0xef1512…
06-14 10:50:07	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	162	73¢	$118	0x4eab19…
06-14 10:50:03	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	240	73¢	$175	0x35495c…
06-14 10:49:54	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	564	71¢	$401	0xc952a3…
06-14 02:53:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x42440f…
06-12 07:56:04	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xfc48f9…
06-12 07:55:00	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x4b1645…
06-12 07:50:55	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0xc726c3…
06-12 07:50:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0x5d8eee…
06-12 07:50:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	88	48¢	$42	0xe711ff…
06-12 07:48:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	4,412	47¢	$2,073	0x78847e…
06-12 07:48:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	1,000	81¢	$814	0xc0a3ae…
06-12 07:48:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	100	81¢	$82	0xe16fcc…
06-12 07:47:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x77d0b6…
06-12 07:47:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	650	81¢	$528	0xd97744…
06-12 07:46:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	BUY	241	81¢	$195	0x18cd0a…
06-12 07:45:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	691	47¢	$325	0xd254f5…
06-12 07:45:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,584	46¢	$729	0x653dc0…
06-12 07:45:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	3,546	63¢	$2,234	0x52f592…
06-12 07:45:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	601	62¢	$372	0x923e19…
06-12 07:44:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0xcf8b45…
06-12 07:43:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	500	89¢	$446	0x636dcb…
06-12 07:42:28	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	210	14¢	$29	0x5954e0…
06-12 07:41:49	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	215	19¢	$41	0x288bc2…
06-12 07:41:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x479751…
06-12 07:41:42	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	505	18¢	$91	0x8ca3fd…
06-08 10:43:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x438c95…
06-08 10:39:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	32¢	$320	0x1faa08…
06-08 10:38:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	85¢	$425	0xac3e31…
06-08 10:37:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	500	95¢	$475	0xc75658…
06-08 10:36:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	69¢	$345	0x922ad6…
06-08 10:35:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	69¢	$345	0xf53e68…
06-07 21:26:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	65¢	$34	0x90a515…
06-07 21:09:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	448	67¢	$300	0x4bcb70…
06-07 15:17:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xcf8c87…
06-07 15:17:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	750	16¢	$120	0xf01f3d…
06-07 15:16:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	499	24¢	$120	0x3e47cc…
06-07 13:59:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0xdb7e58…
06-07 07:21:28	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x5df661…
06-06 23:09:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0x490d9e…
06-06 23:08:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	22¢	$7	0x98a9b5…
06-06 11:06:01	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$30	0xa9a498…
06-06 11:04:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	80¢	$400	0x532fb3…
06-06 11:03:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	64¢	$320	0x1a2b12…
06-06 11:02:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	500	38¢	$190	0x7fcfdd…
06-06 11:01:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	64¢	$320	0xefa1f8…
06-06 06:44:37	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	62¢	$310	0x406d85…
06-06 06:43:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	77¢	$385	0xe81639…
06-06 06:42:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	250	92¢	$230	0x2e74b7…
06-05 23:47:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	798	25¢	$199	0xbe6ed7…
06-05 23:46:57	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x8636be…
06-05 23:46:51	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	73	24¢	$18	0x4eab79…
06-05 07:08:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	114	25¢	$29	0x540902…
06-05 07:08:15	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$2	0x240da7…
06-05 02:26:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x03f826…
06-04 23:38:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	29	40¢	$11	0xbddfd4…
06-04 22:46:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	75¢	$375	0xa7d6d9…
06-04 22:45:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	227	40¢	$91	0xf1fd05…
06-04 22:45:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	250	86¢	$215	0xfa2382…
06-04 22:45:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	267	56¢	$149	0xfa0e65…
06-04 22:44:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	33	56¢	$19	0x30e653…
06-04 22:39:30	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	332	17¢	$56	0x1fe18d…
06-04 22:39:19	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	44	16¢	$7	0x258f17…
06-04 22:39:16	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	181	16¢	$29	0x6c0052…
06-04 22:38:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x4c7bb7…
06-04 22:38:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x389c49…
06-04 22:38:21	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	318	25¢	$79	0x53e3c5…
06-04 22:38:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	954	24¢	$229	0xf4dc52…
06-04 22:36:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	209	39¢	$82	0xe75b70…
06-04 22:35:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	No	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0x6aeb3b…
06-04 22:35:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0xf2dc79…
06-04 00:33:03	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0xa589a9…
06-04 00:32:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0xe62340…
06-03 23:23:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	400	27¢	$108	0xa4b264…
06-03 23:17:18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	300	28¢	$84	0x2e0b08…
06-03 23:17:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x0f5664…
06-03 22:28:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	65	28¢	$18	0x1abf3b…
06-03 22:23:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	385	27¢	$104	0xe02862…
06-03 22:22:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	337	17¢	$57	0x273b48…
06-03 05:10:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0x52d4f8…