Realized P&L
-$14.4K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
44.7%
Resolved
597
Trades
4,347
lifetime
Volume
$634.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$146
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-03 23:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
67%
40%
-$12,515
Other
27%
43%
-$1,098
Crypto
6%
30%
-$840
Sports
0%
33%
+$88
Tech
0%
100%
+$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 113 | $53.4K | 33,281 | 33,281 | +0 | Yes | -$391 | 03-18 21:19 |
| us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751 | 33 | $30.9K | 19,714 | 12,134 | +7,580 | No | +$57 | 02-10 00:16 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | 49 | $29.5K | 23,168 | 25,568 | -2,400 | Yes | +$253 | 02-28 06:58 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026? | 33 | $26.6K | 20,006 | 22,006 | -2,000 | Yes | +$399 | 02-28 04:31 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 48 | $22.0K | 27,374 | 27,461 | -87 | Yes | +$28 | 02-28 07:03 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026 | 3 | $15.9K | 8,090 | 8,090 | +0 | No | +$192 | 06-07 06:25 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 58 | $15.6K | 15,751 | 12,712 | +3,039 | Yes | -$1,058 | 02-28 06:28 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881 | 34 | $15.6K | 11,460 | 11,460 | +0 | No | +$298 | 03-18 18:09 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | 33 | $15.0K | 11,905 | 11,905 | +0 | Yes | -$110 | 03-15 18:39 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 7 | $14.7K | 16,161 | 16,161 | +0 | Yes | -$5,609 | 04-07 23:02 |
| will axiom be accused of insider trading | 67 | $12.9K | 8,389 | 9,276 | -887 | Yes | -$1,607 | 02-26 10:37 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397 | 28 | $12.7K | 10,136 | 10,136 | +0 | No | -$665 | 03-19 00:25 |
| israel closes its airspace by june 15 687 | 46 | $12.6K | 13,276 | 13,276 | +0 | No | -$1,450 | 06-08 13:57 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 8 | $11.8K | 7,797 | 7,797 | +0 | Yes | -$66 | 06-08 00:50 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | 40 | $10.4K | 20,229 | 18,229 | +2,000 | Yes | +$1,810 | 02-28 06:46 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 6 | $9.5K | 5,960 | 5,960 | -0 | Yes | -$323 | 06-08 00:50 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 9 | $8.7K | 5,273 | 13,710 | -8,437 | Yes | -$325 | 04-08 18:50 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 8 | $7.8K | 6,979 | 6,979 | +0 | Yes | -$115 | 04-05 03:52 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | 25 | $7.5K | 11,396 | 11,096 | +300 | No | -$170 | 01-30 21:52 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 7 | $7.4K | 5,515 | 5,515 | +0 | Yes | -$163 | 02-27 03:36 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 39 | $6.9K | 12,084 | 12,734 | -650 | No | -$721 | 03-16 09:34 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | 7 | $6.5K | 3,621 | 3,621 | +0 | Yes | -$218 | 03-19 02:40 |
| will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749 | 11 | $6.3K | 3,531 | 3,531 | +0 | No | +$81 | 03-16 01:31 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | 24 | $6.2K | 4,126 | 4,126 | +0 | Yes | -$119 | 02-28 06:48 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | 8 | $5.9K | 4,351 | 4,351 | +0 | Yes | +$855 | 02-28 06:24 |
| israel strikes iran by march 31 2026 | 27 | $5.6K | 5,659 | 5,659 | +0 | Yes | -$175 | 02-27 21:40 |
| will iran strike a gulf state on march 7 | 43 | $5.5K | 4,335 | 4,131 | +204 | Yes | -$1,555 | 03-07 12:11 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | 26 | $5.2K | 3,332 | 3,332 | +0 | Yes | -$133 | 02-28 06:50 |
| will uae strike iran by march 31 | 37 | $5.1K | 4,436 | 4,436 | +0 | No | +$1,123 | 03-18 12:42 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 6 | $5.0K | 2,812 | 2,812 | +0 | No | -$31 | 01-22 20:59 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||