Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

121 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$740

$13.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-28 06:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 67 days

Categories

Other

47% 4% -$3

Crypto

43% 92% +$13

Politics

8% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-22 15:16
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$251	126	126	+0	No	$0	04-23 14:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$251	126	126	+0	No	$0	04-17 04:49
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	2	$251	126	126	+0	No	$0	03-27 12:41
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$251	126	126	+0	No	$0	05-21 06:44
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$251	126	126	+0	No	$0	05-27 11:13
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$251	126	126	+0	No	$0	04-29 07:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$250	126	126	+0	No	$0	03-26 08:19
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$250	126	126	+0	open	—	05-14 06:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$248	126	126	+0	No	$0	03-30 08:46
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	$0	07-07 08:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	$0	09-08 10:13
Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	$0	07-02 03:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$247	124	124	+0	No	$0	09-28 06:56
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$246	123	123	+0	No	$0	06-23 02:37
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-07 12:44
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-02 12:03
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-23 05:51
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 80 99	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-18 10:46
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-31 07:21
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-23 12:27
elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-12 13:14
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-16 05:29
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 480 499	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-17 15:44
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-02 10:18
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 400 419	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-10 14:09
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-21 12:48
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-09 10:02
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-20 05:06
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-04 13:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 06:56:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xf9c91c…
09-28 06:56:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$123	0xcef30e…
09-28 06:55:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x969a24…
09-08 10:14:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 8?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xf28bb4…
09-08 10:13:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$123	0xcd2dfa…
09-08 10:13:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x8752ee…
07-07 08:07:52	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x5245b9…
07-07 08:07:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$123	0x52fa76…
07-07 08:06:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0xdb5e4e…
07-02 03:04:23	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xbef89a…
07-02 03:03:32	Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	No	SELL	124	100¢	$123	0x4df8cd…
07-02 03:03:22	Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x02874e…
06-23 02:42:19	bitcoin above 60k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x510065…
06-23 02:37:28	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x48dd1c…
06-23 02:37:08	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xf6e045…
05-27 11:41:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x2e65ba…
05-27 11:40:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x93c4e5…
05-27 11:13:18	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0xde4a9f…
05-27 11:13:11	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x963982…
05-21 06:45:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x564c20…
05-21 06:44:30	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0x474ed8…
05-21 06:44:21	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x981820…
05-14 06:33:02	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x5a49fc…
05-14 06:30:27	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0xe387ab…
05-14 06:29:27	Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x951a66…
04-29 07:06:18	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x96d164…
04-29 07:05:52	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0x767c0c…
04-29 07:05:46	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x840001…
04-25 09:26:18	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xefa28a…
04-23 14:01:14	bitcoin above 74k on april 23	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x02bf2c…
04-23 14:00:40	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0xd59b35…
04-23 14:00:34	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x24c75d…
04-21 05:47:56	will bitcoin reach 82k on april 21	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xbaab9b…
04-17 04:50:28	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x6a49e4…
04-17 04:49:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0xf17356…
04-17 04:49:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xd36514…
04-07 09:52:11	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xcfd34b…
04-02 08:56:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 2	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xf5464c…
03-30 08:48:06	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x3a134c…
03-30 08:46:54	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	126	99¢	$124	0x8e02c3…
03-30 08:46:42	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	126	99¢	$124	0x6094df…
03-27 12:42:13	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x754b15…
03-27 12:41:25	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0xb2407b…
03-27 12:41:13	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x18d3e4…
03-26 08:19:43	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 26	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xa58d11…
03-26 08:19:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0x51c195…
03-26 08:18:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xc8fa44…
03-23 12:30:47	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6c6fbf…
03-23 12:27:27	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7aad0e…
03-23 12:27:09	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 500 519	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8fdea1…
03-21 12:49:03	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf48516…
03-21 12:48:27	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb96a0e…
03-21 12:47:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa11c59…
03-20 05:07:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xef8beb…
03-20 05:06:59	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x86541c…
03-20 05:06:31	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11b84e…
03-17 15:45:47	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x933a80…
03-17 15:45:05	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0xf2a989…
03-17 15:44:01	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 480 499	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0c6bd9…
03-17 15:43:45	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 480 499	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x097a0c…
03-16 05:29:49	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbed2ac…
03-16 05:29:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0fc169…
03-16 05:28:53	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x913948…
03-12 13:15:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 12	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xff4e6b…
03-12 13:14:57	elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe83992…
03-12 13:14:45	elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x169730…
03-10 15:18:25	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2e80fd…
03-10 15:14:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x690c0b…
03-07 12:44:57	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa8f4d4…
03-07 12:44:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa32263…
03-07 12:44:19	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x790f85…
03-04 09:15:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcf9f9b…
03-04 09:15:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0f1034…
03-04 09:14:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8a3c38…
03-01 08:51:51	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xce7010…
03-01 08:49:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xed941d…
03-01 08:49:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0b43a9…
02-09 10:03:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfdd8e7…
02-09 10:02:57	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6ddd97…
02-09 10:02:45	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5edf32…
02-04 13:03:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x861ff9…
02-04 13:03:02	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2028f0…
02-04 13:02:50	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 460 479	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x92fcf9…
02-02 10:19:20	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf51f96…
02-02 10:18:46	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1d48b2…
02-02 10:18:32	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6592f0…
01-31 07:34:40	bitcoin above 88k on january 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x29f7a0…
01-31 07:29:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x321a62…
01-31 07:21:16	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x23e374…
01-31 07:20:38	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbc50cf…
01-31 07:14:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x32812f…
01-27 07:26:01	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7068ba…
01-23 05:51:38	bitcoin above 96k on january 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe61433…
01-23 05:51:10	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe58f81…
01-23 05:50:40	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2dfbd6…
01-22 15:17:12	bitcoin above 94k on january 22	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfbc60a…
01-22 15:16:36	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5807a2…
01-22 15:16:06	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5d67ad…
01-21 11:02:40	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbc70ab…
01-21 11:02:18	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe2216b…