Vapid-Liberty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$529

Unrealized P&L

+$34

Hit rate

55.7%

Resolved

889

Trades

7,357

lifetime

Volume

$51.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$105

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-28 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Other

33% 42% -$1,230

Crypto

32% 50% +$321

Politics

27% 50% -$6

Tech

8% 66% +$392

Sports

0% 38% -$15

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-28).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+230	$70	45¢	$103	+$34	06-05 00:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+6	$2	13¢	$1	-$1	06-19 21:01
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	+1	-$1	90¢	$1	+$2	06-26 16:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	39	$1.9K	953	1,211	-258	Yes	+$6	04-08 01:22
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	68	$1.3K	3,265	2,749	+516	No	-$132	03-12 14:32
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	21	$1.1K	739	616	+123	No	-$24	05-05 23:07
highest temperature in dallas on march 26 2026 88 89f	56	$1.1K	562	562	+0	No	+$30	03-27 04:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	12	$916	860	860	+0	Yes	+$271	05-09 04:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	54	$894	1,149	1,149	+0	Yes	+$94	06-13 16:56
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	14	$775	657	657	-0	No	-$26	04-25 04:26
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	32	$774	447	471	-24	No	+$22	04-30 20:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	11	$742	676	676	+0	Yes	+$70	06-15 03:31
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	62	$682	1,759	1,233	+526	No	-$130	03-13 12:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$561	653	502	+150	Yes	+$70	04-07 21:02
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	10	$526	362	362	+0	Yes	-$19	06-08 04:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	174	$452	1,027	855	+172	No	-$247	06-28 15:11
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	9	$431	340	237	+102	Yes	+$27	05-15 00:33
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 300 319	47	$423	5,423	891	+4,532	No	-$152	03-12 14:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	18	$415	381	313	+68	No	+$10	05-24 13:40
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	35	$391	461	203	+258	Yes	+$127	05-04 04:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	46	$358	241	212	+30	No	+$5	04-19 00:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	25	$352	428	450	-22	No	-$22	05-24 13:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6	3	$334	184	184	+0	No	+$33	03-13 06:47
deepseek v4 released by april 24	12	$333	377	0	+377	Yes	+$43	04-24 04:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	3	$331	223	223	+0	No	-$71	04-21 16:16
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 23:45 UTC	60	$320	517	0	+517	Down	-$52	03-13 23:49
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	20	$308	360	203	+157	Yes	-$80	05-11 14:01
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?	8	$303	189	189	+0	Yes	+$30	06-22 18:05
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	6	$295	516	413	+103	Yes	-$113	06-17 20:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	10	$278	2,034	1,134	+900	No	+$77	04-15 01:20
will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 34m and 37m	16	$269	231	219	+12	Yes	-$63	04-20 16:58
highest temperature in dallas on march 26 2026 86 87f	25	$263	297	297	+0	No	-$127	03-26 22:03
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	15	$262	241	218	+24	Yes	-$22	05-19 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 15:11:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x8479e9…
06-28 14:56:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x681f70…
06-28 14:55:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x82b944…
06-28 14:53:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x131ad2…
06-28 14:41:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb70608…
06-28 14:39:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x128db1…
06-28 14:36:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x06cba1…
06-28 14:27:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x229832…
06-28 14:21:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x44ae89…
06-28 14:09:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	27	12¢	$3	0x861dd1…
06-28 13:40:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x4a2391…
06-28 13:38:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0x5e1768…
06-28 13:30:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5d1930…
06-28 13:05:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x046508…
06-28 12:56:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x39e975…
06-28 12:54:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5a0c9a…
06-28 12:54:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x4ebd32…
06-28 12:54:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc8093f…
06-28 12:54:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc583d0…
06-28 12:53:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x040eb0…
06-28 12:53:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x73bd45…
06-28 12:53:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5fa7b9…
06-28 12:53:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x24e8d3…
06-28 12:53:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb382a9…
06-28 12:53:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x46f33e…
06-28 12:53:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xe0d5af…
06-28 12:53:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xf46bf0…
06-28 12:53:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x48610b…
06-28 12:53:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xf52638…
06-28 12:53:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x34787c…
06-28 12:53:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb68fd0…
06-28 12:53:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc737b0…
06-28 12:53:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xf832e5…
06-28 12:53:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x857dea…
06-28 12:53:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x13bdb2…
06-28 12:53:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x06779b…
06-28 12:53:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xfc64b5…
06-28 12:53:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb6ca6d…
06-28 12:53:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa6d2b5…
06-28 12:53:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xead8ea…
06-28 12:52:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x9b6ddb…
06-28 12:52:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x4dd35a…
06-28 12:52:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xf50a8b…
06-28 12:52:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xf38444…
06-28 12:52:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x6d70b9…
06-28 12:52:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5ac93c…
06-28 12:52:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x6d6177…
06-28 12:52:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5826e3…
06-28 12:52:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x4bb6ca…
06-28 12:52:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x21963d…
06-28 12:52:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xcf43e9…
06-28 12:52:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x50b20e…
06-28 12:52:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x3ad8f5…
06-28 12:52:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5a7277…
06-28 12:52:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xe2beb2…
06-28 12:52:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb9e88a…
06-28 12:52:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x86167c…
06-28 12:52:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xe4e223…
06-28 12:52:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x552fc9…
06-28 12:52:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x8326ea…
06-28 12:51:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xdaf93c…
06-28 12:51:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x4f3ae3…
06-28 12:51:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x838ed5…
06-28 12:51:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x05fe47…
06-28 12:51:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xed4b0f…
06-28 12:51:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xab9ea8…
06-28 12:51:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x4770a7…
06-28 12:51:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x9a1701…
06-28 12:51:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x6a922b…
06-28 12:51:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x398291…
06-28 12:51:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5a7642…
06-28 12:51:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xd8a229…
06-28 12:51:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xcb3e75…
06-28 12:51:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x4dbf0d…
06-28 12:51:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x181d57…
06-28 12:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x2d488e…
06-28 12:51:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x22c45e…
06-28 12:51:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x63167c…
06-28 12:51:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xa0ed76…
06-28 12:51:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x903c96…
06-28 12:50:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x9aeacb…
06-28 12:50:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xe5ca46…
06-28 12:50:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x6fb495…
06-28 12:50:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x1ad1aa…
06-28 12:50:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc091bd…
06-28 12:50:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x7483a8…
06-28 12:50:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x08c0e7…
06-28 12:50:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xc9719b…
06-28 12:50:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x8644a4…
06-28 12:50:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xebdb2f…
06-28 12:50:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x65bbbe…
06-28 12:50:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x239be3…
06-28 12:50:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb88017…
06-28 12:50:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xe49469…
06-28 12:50:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xe11f6c…
06-28 12:50:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xcef95e…
06-28 12:50:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xb359cd…
06-28 12:50:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x1b1a64…
06-28 12:50:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x721cb9…
06-28 12:50:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x2e75b1…