Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

93.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 09-30 01:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

55% 75% +$2

Sports

18% 33% -$1

Politics

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

9% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	No		+51	$50	96¢	$49	-$1	08-04 16:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	4	$117	59	59	+0	No	+$0	05-29 16:53
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	5	$116	59	59	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 06:34
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$115	59	59	+0	No	+$0	05-19 12:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$113	59	59	+0	No	+$0	05-19 09:11
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$113	59	59	+0	No	+$2	05-29 09:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	3	$112	59	59	+0	No	+$0	05-18 12:37
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	7	$104	53	53	+0	open	—	07-04 19:45
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	5	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	08-31 11:35
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	2	$98	51	51	+0	No	+$0	09-30 01:34
Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?	3	$98	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-13 04:41
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	09-20 22:52
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	2	$97	49	49	+0	open	—	09-06 03:17
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	3	$97	50	50	+0	No	+$0	07-24 19:12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	6	$96	49	49	+0	open	—	06-24 13:31
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	3	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	07-27 05:41
will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	2	$96	49	49	+0	No	+$1	06-19 08:49
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$96	49	49	+0	open	—	07-03 03:19
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?	5	$74	78	0	+78	open	—	09-29 18:24
Tucker Carlson federally charged?	4	$71	36	36	+0	No	+$0	05-09 10:03
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	09-17 05:24
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	3	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	09-29 05:15
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	08-04 16:59
Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$44	22	22	+0	No	+$0	05-11 14:42
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	3	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	06-09 17:17
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	09-23 23:16
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?	2	$22	0	23	-23	No	-$1	05-10 09:26
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	1	$22	0	23	-23	Yes	-$1	05-09 06:45
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?	1	$22	0	22	-22	No	$0	05-08 08:02
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	1	$22	0	22	-22	No	$0	05-05 08:18
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	1	$21	22	0	+22	Yes	+$1	04-16 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 01:34:03	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x8b7aab…
09-29 18:24:54	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$19	0x6cf05c…
09-29 18:24:53	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xd3d3df…
09-29 18:24:53	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$19	0xcb5001…
09-29 18:24:51	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$19	0x37ffd2…
09-29 18:24:50	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x17fdd1…
09-29 05:15:15	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	Yes	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x823c54…
09-26 19:57:45	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xb2b1aa…
09-23 23:16:38	Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x303f37…
09-20 22:52:41	Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x91502c…
09-17 05:24:13	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0xd447ca…
09-14 14:38:37	Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xd571e4…
09-06 03:17:34	Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0xd2cc43…
09-04 11:36:25	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x742c92…
08-31 11:35:09	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x0be58e…
08-28 15:24:36	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x0a8723…
08-17 11:12:13	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x03c33e…
08-17 08:09:07	Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x25a864…
08-16 13:06:09	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x04a49b…
08-04 16:59:56	Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x8b51bd…
08-04 04:38:32	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xe7645b…
08-02 17:12:09	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x312891…
08-01 03:21:36	Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x1738b4…
07-27 05:41:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x2af795…
07-24 19:12:31	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x99dc1d…
07-06 07:18:05	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0x0491e1…
07-04 19:45:35	Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb243b8…
07-04 08:29:31	Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x359b1e…
07-04 01:52:20	Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xccaf1a…
07-04 01:24:50	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x9dcd95…
07-03 20:36:56	Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x1b2f37…
07-03 20:34:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xfae369…
07-03 20:33:35	Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x7295cc…
07-03 09:15:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x26b0c8…
07-03 03:19:43	Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa06e38…
07-03 02:47:13	Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xfd506f…
06-24 13:31:04	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0xcd2a3e…
06-23 03:50:17	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$43	0x92586a…
06-21 18:09:01	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x15b6c6…
06-20 19:54:04	Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xd1161d…
06-20 17:30:16	Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xac0b63…
06-19 08:49:05	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x2018b6…
06-16 11:57:46	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0xa8b26b…
06-16 07:46:22	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x47b196…
06-15 13:53:43	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x028ee1…
06-11 17:12:48	will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0xf6e074…
06-11 14:18:07	Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x02b960…
06-09 17:17:49	Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x12a5c6…
05-30 06:34:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0x82ac7e…
05-29 16:53:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0x11a14c…
05-29 10:24:04	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xb79021…
05-29 09:08:11	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x6379b4…
05-22 08:29:35	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x375b9f…
05-20 02:26:50	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	BUY	57	99¢	$57	0x071b97…
05-19 16:24:51	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0xd361ed…
05-19 12:03:42	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0xd00ee6…
05-19 10:55:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd3b1ec…
05-19 10:55:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0xf5076d…
05-19 10:55:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5b1087…
05-19 10:55:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x8cca09…
05-19 10:50:24	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x9231f3…
05-19 09:11:18	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x2d1d93…
05-18 12:37:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0x9861e5…
05-15 13:18:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x9122ea…
05-15 13:17:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	31	95¢	$29	0x1eeffc…
05-15 12:33:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0xf801e1…
05-15 11:51:19	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x594a32…
05-15 11:39:17	Will United Kingdom be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x283943…
05-13 04:41:24	Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xfde4d0…
05-11 14:42:09	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x78314e…
05-10 09:26:17	Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0xa768a4…
05-09 22:44:53	Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc5f35d…
05-09 14:11:08	Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe0b20e…
05-09 10:03:15	Tucker Carlson federally charged?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xedbd37…
05-09 06:45:30	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0x82a6ba…
05-09 06:12:50	Tucker Carlson federally charged?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x00ab8f…
05-09 05:31:13	Tucker Carlson federally charged?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf6f4d5…
05-08 08:02:28	Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xd7411d…
05-08 05:23:41	Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xbcabc4…
05-05 17:51:04	Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8d1b99…
05-05 16:09:48	Tucker Carlson federally charged?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x9d07e4…
05-05 08:18:36	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0xa7bbd5…
05-05 07:28:10	Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0xcc0c92…
04-16 14:58:34	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xb3be64…
04-16 14:36:10	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x30c8ca…
04-16 08:23:00	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x20811e…