Smart-Fog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,124

lifetime

Volume

$70.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% 0% $-1

Other

24% — —

Crypto

14% 50% $-2

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	13	$2.8K	2,244	1,113	+1,130	open	—	01-22 20:09
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	8	$2.8K	1,465	1,465	+0	open	—	01-26 03:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$2.7K	1,620	1,620	+0	open	—	01-22 19:54
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	2	$2.1K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	01-15 03:48
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	6	$2.0K	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	01-26 18:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	15	$2.0K	1,083	1,083	+0	open	—	03-24 20:13
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	5	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-10 03:28
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	8	$1.9K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	02-12 00:52
will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	13	$1.9K	11,218	1,218	+10,000	open	—	03-04 17:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$1.7K	949	949	+0	open	—	01-20 05:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	8	$1.4K	720	720	+0	open	—	03-04 15:14
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	12	$1.3K	1,434	1,081	+353	open	—	01-26 03:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	11	$1.2K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-14 03:22
us strikes iraq by february 28	7	$1.1K	902	902	+0	open	—	03-03 22:00
iran leadership change by march 31	8	$1.1K	613	613	+0	open	—	03-29 19:18
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	12	$1.1K	651	651	+0	open	—	02-19 02:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 4	4	$983	508	508	+0	open	—	03-04 16:34
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	50	$949	2,571	1,895	+677	open	—	01-30 04:05
will meta dip to 620 in february	5	$927	496	496	+0	open	—	02-27 17:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	14	$839	619	813	-194	open	—	06-15 17:42
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	9	$808	535	535	+0	open	—	01-26 17:52
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$793	430	430	+0	open	—	01-15 14:12
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	16	$784	495	495	+0	open	—	01-28 02:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	12	$783	480	479	+1	open	—	07-31 22:41
odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	5	$761	519	519	+0	open	—	01-20 06:13
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$701	480	480	+0	open	—	01-22 19:42
another gta vi trailer released by march 31	9	$659	357	357	+0	open	—	03-27 14:17
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	3	$611	630	0	+630	open	—	01-24 12:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	6	$571	304	304	+0	open	—	05-20 19:35
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	5	$567	305	305	+0	open	—	03-05 02:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:12:58	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by august 15 2026 20260807172431196	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xb5c937…
08-10 21:05:16	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0xb0161b…
08-09 20:56:22	foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0xfedf1d…
08-09 20:50:55	will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe6f654…
08-09 20:50:22	will clavicular wear a yarmulke in 2026 20260710172344899	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x66c5f7…
08-09 20:49:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xefd0cc…
08-09 20:42:27	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x0cf932…
08-07 21:38:10	will gpt 6 be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0xe535d3…
08-07 20:12:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0x33bc4a…
08-07 14:11:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa3df38…
08-07 14:05:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	32	90¢	$28	0xf1aa25…
08-06 22:22:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0x9fe101…
08-03 15:22:36	will gpt 6 be released by august 31 2026 778	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4d07a5…
08-03 15:20:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0x1c6548…
08-03 15:17:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa1e9e1…
08-03 15:14:56	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xc91cb6…
08-03 15:10:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x1a6b11…
08-03 15:08:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xe34fef…
08-03 14:53:42	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xb5ed59…
07-31 22:48:06	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x173f8d…
07-31 22:47:38	will spider man brand new day score at least 91 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175932158	Yes	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0x48ee61…
07-31 22:45:48	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x84761d…
07-31 22:41:33	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x7630c6…
07-31 13:47:26	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xd9459f…
07-31 13:46:18	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0xb7e50a…
07-31 13:45:29	will spider man brand new day score at least 92 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175943478	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x11308f…
07-31 13:45:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x58f4b4…
07-31 13:41:29	will spider man brand new day score at least 91 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260729175932158	Yes	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0xb75df6…
07-31 13:40:41	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	SELL	17	82¢	$14	0x9abc31…
07-31 13:39:35	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	Yes	BUY	67	83¢	$56	0x99c1ef…
07-31 13:25:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0xc97d06…
07-31 13:17:27	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x8e6c0d…
07-30 19:08:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 31 20260708212322956	No	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0x7e705b…
07-30 02:28:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	23	72¢	$17	0xa1dc58…
07-29 09:08:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x7301ac…
07-27 19:17:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	28	77¢	$21	0x3b9e5c…
07-27 00:19:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1ba9f4…
07-27 00:18:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x077075…
07-27 00:13:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x50b7e3…
07-27 00:06:01	eth updown 5m 1785110700	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfd3a81…
07-27 00:04:22	eth updown 5m 1785110400	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcf7f16…
07-27 00:03:36	eth updown 5m 1785110400	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x934d83…
07-27 00:02:18	eth updown 5m 1785110400	Up	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xde2a46…
07-27 00:01:43	eth updown 5m 1785110400	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x92e3ce…
07-27 00:01:43	eth updown 5m 1785110400	Up	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x8c8d7f…
07-26 23:59:19	eth updown 5m 1785110100	Up	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0xfcb90d…
07-26 23:58:03	eth updown 5m 1785110100	Up	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x0171b2…
07-26 23:57:09	eth updown 5m 1785110100	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xed66fc…
07-26 23:54:48	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	SELL	52	19¢	$10	0x4ebca6…
07-26 23:45:51	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	Yes	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0xa3c064…
07-26 23:45:00	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	No	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x660d92…
07-26 23:44:40	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0xfbdf51…
07-26 20:46:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	28	80¢	$22	0x9db985…
07-26 20:42:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0xa0697e…
07-26 20:41:54	iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbd9425…
07-26 20:41:39	iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa45267…
07-26 20:24:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	56	94¢	$53	0xa34cde…
07-22 16:49:28	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0xec43c5…
07-22 16:49:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x77bd07…
07-22 16:47:03	another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	No	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x3bdb52…
07-22 16:46:25	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	SELL	22	75¢	$16	0x24d1af…
07-19 22:05:09	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0xae5b9d…
07-19 21:58:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x892162…
07-19 20:01:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x0626a8…
07-19 20:01:07	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0x8ae6ed…
07-19 19:57:22	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0x2f50b4…
07-19 19:56:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	11	60¢	$7	0xc61f04…
07-19 19:49:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x8eac69…
07-19 19:49:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xf429b1…
07-18 22:56:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x821d8c…
07-18 22:54:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0xe6815d…
07-18 22:42:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	60	34¢	$21	0x423fc1…
07-18 22:04:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	76	91¢	$69	0xc3be9e…
07-18 21:25:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	60	29¢	$17	0xd2f1a2…
07-15 21:40:08	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x556003…
07-15 19:31:44	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	49	53¢	$26	0x65460e…
07-15 18:47:25	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x922eb1…
07-15 18:40:14	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	SELL	39	82¢	$32	0x14ca2e…
07-15 18:37:22	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0x7ca2b5…
07-15 18:36:17	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x0307d6…
07-15 18:35:52	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0xd2e84f…
07-15 18:34:07	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x2a1027…
07-13 20:59:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x870385…
07-13 20:49:47	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x22f972…
07-13 20:47:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xc621d7…
07-12 06:37:40	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	35	46¢	$16	0x0b84cf…
07-10 21:08:28	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	32	90¢	$29	0xd8458c…
07-10 21:06:29	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0xbe27bb…
07-10 21:05:13	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	76	16¢	$12	0x99e7eb…
07-07 19:35:56	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x2a40d8…
07-07 19:34:35	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x419ed9…
07-07 19:33:19	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x87e019…
07-07 18:20:40	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xb3494a…
07-07 18:20:11	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	28	39¢	$11	0x5cf12d…
07-04 13:20:46	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	Yes	BUY	39	89¢	$35	0xf18703…
07-01 17:33:49	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x3115f3…
07-01 17:10:26	Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	46	41¢	$19	0xf17186…
07-01 17:10:04	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	33	59¢	$19	0x7c22e4…
07-01 17:00:28	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	31	54¢	$17	0x0961f3…
07-01 01:49:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x580b29…