Baggy-Salsa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$222

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

3,251

Trades

5,482

lifetime

Volume

$17.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-27 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 54% -$207

Politics

5% 54% -$17

Other

3% 44% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 493 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	14	$287	156	165	-8	No	-$6	05-23 23:10
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	5	$114	78	78	+0	Yes	-$3	05-22 12:55
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	6	$103	54	54	+0	No	+$3	05-19 22:42
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	2	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	06-11 16:05
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	5	$93	50	50	+0	No	$0	05-22 12:55
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	5	$82	72	52	+20	open	—	10-27 07:51
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	4	$81	62	62	+0	No	+$9	05-19 22:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$64	69	69	+0	No	-$5	05-23 13:47
Will Trump say "Space Force" during Coast Guard event?	10	$59	69	69	+0	Yes	+$3	05-20 16:41
next mythos class model released by august 31 2026	7	$58	60	60	+0	No	-$9	06-11 16:06
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	4	$54	40	40	+0	Yes	+$5	05-19 22:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 23:20 UTC	11	$53	50	25	+25	Up	-$3	07-12 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$49	29	29	+0	Down	+$9	05-26 03:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 19:00 UTC	7	$45	69	31	+39	Up	-$7	08-22 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	20	$43	85	0	+85	Down	+$7	07-12 23:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 23:05 UTC	19	$43	76	0	+76	Down	-$13	07-12 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:15 UTC	19	$42	82	0	+82	Down	+$8	07-13 01:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 01:25 UTC	20	$40	79	0	+79	Down	+$10	07-13 01:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$40	47	0	+47	No	+$7	05-19 23:51
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	7	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	10-24 11:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:25 UTC	17	$39	77	0	+77	Up	+$4	07-13 04:27
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	2	$38	65	0	+65	open	—	10-27 07:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	20	$38	25	25	+0	No	-$2	05-23 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	15	$36	70	0	+70	Down	-$1	07-13 01:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:00 UTC	13	$35	60	0	+60	Up	-$5	07-13 05:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	6	$35	43	11	+32	Down	-$2	05-26 03:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 20:55 UTC	14	$34	65	0	+65	Down	+$1	07-12 20:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:45 UTC	14	$34	65	0	+65	Down	+$1	07-12 21:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 21:15 UTC	13	$33	65	0	+65	Down	-$8	07-12 21:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:10 UTC	13	$30	60	0	+60	Up	-$1	07-13 02:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:57:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4dd57d…
10-27 09:56:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xaad796…
10-27 07:53:47	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0xafae8d…
10-27 07:51:36	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0x3b7b87…
10-27 06:43:11	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x9d7afd…
10-27 02:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x725c5a…
10-27 00:11:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x69ff42…
10-26 16:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d76af…
10-26 16:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xeabad9…
10-26 14:57:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3072cc…
10-26 14:41:24	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xbe5442…
10-26 14:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa2135b…
10-26 13:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdbaff6…
10-26 11:11:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x13a6de…
10-26 10:26:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf43118…
10-26 09:56:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x36cbb6…
10-26 06:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x38be11…
10-26 05:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x06c40b…
10-26 05:12:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd1db6e…
10-26 04:52:00	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x98502c…
10-26 04:40:50	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x832b10…
10-26 03:42:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd66b7b…
10-26 02:41:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1bd647…
10-26 02:26:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d45da…
10-26 01:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc8948c…
10-25 23:57:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x4018ff…
10-25 22:41:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x0f203b…
10-25 22:26:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd81c9b…
10-25 12:56:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x177f5b…
10-25 09:24:50	Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 20 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x83508e…
10-25 08:26:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf578b4…
10-24 17:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x34229e…
10-24 17:26:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xab5ce6…
10-24 15:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x588bac…
10-24 11:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x5e268a…
10-24 11:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	No	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x11de55…
10-24 11:41:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0xcce61f…
10-24 11:41:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x9fd849…
10-24 11:41:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xa02676…
10-24 11:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x680bad…
10-24 11:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xe1f706…
10-24 11:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x8f87d6…
10-24 10:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x8d785c…
10-24 10:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x7035d2…
10-24 10:09:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 26?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x097c5b…
10-24 10:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x02d6d8…
10-24 10:08:17	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xca2c69…
10-24 10:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb12c03…
10-24 10:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe41378…
10-24 10:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x6b2eab…
10-24 10:03:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 26?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xfb869b…
10-23 17:12:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x71f29e…
10-22 13:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x65218c…
10-15 12:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xba1b12…
10-15 02:37:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xec9f8c…
10-15 02:27:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x26be64…
10-12 04:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xedde4b…
10-10 05:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5c43ab…
10-09 14:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf2655a…
10-09 10:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x87814e…
10-09 06:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x78837b…
10-09 01:41:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x41ff5a…
10-08 20:57:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5523cb…
10-08 17:12:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xaa0f8f…
10-08 16:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea3c1b…
10-08 16:26:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x348bb6…
10-08 15:41:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x99bd3a…
10-06 13:22:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x334b4b…
10-06 13:08:48	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x50f793…
10-06 12:17:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xca1e43…
10-06 11:03:19	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9c85c7…
10-06 10:42:09	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6ab79e…
10-06 10:11:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb5ae7e…
10-06 10:11:13	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x527d89…
10-06 09:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc5f7ec…
10-06 09:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xc16349…
10-06 09:26:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x46381d…
10-06 09:26:15	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe43841…
10-06 09:21:09	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xab7753…
10-06 08:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x6326e1…
10-06 07:33:21	XRP Up or Down - October 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x874973…
10-06 06:01:03	Solana Up or Down - October 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x395a13…
10-06 01:01:55	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2ef632…
10-06 01:01:53	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x235ea1…
10-06 01:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xdfaf81…
10-06 00:26:43	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x3cb37c…
10-06 00:08:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0771c2…
10-05 23:02:04	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x4d18a1…
10-05 21:02:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x053df8…
10-05 19:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x3d74f5…
10-05 17:48:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x42082d…
10-05 16:03:32	Solana Up or Down - October 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x7f3747…
10-05 14:31:16	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x850f7b…
10-05 14:28:35	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5c4e12…
10-05 13:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd8b1ae…
10-05 11:58:19	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x27798d…
10-05 11:57:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfbbb53…
10-05 11:38:14	XRP Up or Down - October 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x79899f…
10-05 11:33:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf0e3ea…
10-05 10:37:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3db647…