Sinful-Fort — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

129

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$2.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-09 22:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$5

Other

38% 96% -$23

Politics

6% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 58k august 10 16 2026	2	$48	48	+48	No	+$0	08-15 13:06
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	2	$41	41	+41	No	+$0	05-04 22:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?	2	$37	38	+38	No	+$0	04-24 22:08
bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	08-11 13:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 10?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	11-09 22:17
Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	05-17 04:11
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	05-18 06:57
highest temperature in taipei on april 22 2026 35c	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	04-22 07:17
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 21?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	05-20 02:09
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-09 22:39
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 300 319	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	04-23 01:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	05-07 11:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	08-28 07:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$28	28	+28	No	+$0	04-27 02:11
ethereum above 2600 on april 14	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	04-14 09:19
Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$27	27	+27	No	+$0	04-27 11:47
will solana reach 90 april 6 12	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	04-12 21:04
will russia capture myropillia by july 31	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	07-28 12:12
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	05-11 15:07
will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	07-10 23:17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-01 01:41
bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	07-04 04:10
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 05:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 6?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	11-06 07:17
ethereum above 1800 on june 26 2026	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	06-25 14:03
ethereum above 1400 on june 23 2026	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	06-23 08:46
bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	07-23 06:07
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	10-11 13:49
ethereum above 2100 on april 21	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 22:06
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 22:17:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3b26cf…
11-07 11:44:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb53e6b…
11-06 07:17:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd096c2…
11-01 02:03:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa35454…
10-26 22:36:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd37877…
10-26 09:32:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6e7b6d…
10-21 00:47:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4c86e8…
10-20 17:05:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc5a0db…
10-19 14:01:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7566cd…
10-18 05:35:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6278c5…
10-11 13:49:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb3db89…
10-09 22:39:41	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x49f770…
10-06 14:11:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xdf8336…
10-03 09:38:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0567d9…
10-02 17:43:33	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x7ad01b…
10-02 03:27:23	bitcoin above 80k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc3df84…
09-28 03:29:14	Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x784eb4…
09-28 01:49:44	Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bd1b7…
09-22 18:44:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x518102…
09-21 08:42:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xaba69e…
09-20 20:07:43	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd8b995…
09-14 08:47:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x803f65…
09-07 20:47:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa92e17…
09-01 20:05:58	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4fa5a1…
08-28 07:33:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x43bcb0…
08-24 08:58:52	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3bc705…
08-21 12:07:21	bitcoin above 62k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x75fcda…
08-20 14:26:52	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xcb3b07…
08-15 13:06:51	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd714c9…
08-14 17:03:33	will bitcoin dip to 58k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa3302c…
08-12 10:39:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7c1267…
08-11 13:24:16	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x23d5e8…
08-08 03:14:46	will ethereum dip to 1700 august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc551e4…
07-29 01:58:44	Kash Patel out by July 31?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xee06b7…
07-28 12:12:08	will russia capture myropillia by july 31	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x27098a…
07-26 20:17:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xef06d9…
07-23 06:07:49	bitcoin above 70k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x95dd8a…
07-19 06:12:36	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9c2b7d…
07-17 21:45:57	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x461efa…
07-15 11:42:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7e124e…
07-13 09:47:47	bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x377c7b…
07-12 07:44:19	ethereum above 1700 on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xbec120…
07-10 23:17:04	will bitcoin dip to 58k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb2636a…
07-10 17:41:23	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x346a1f…
07-10 03:50:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa6bffa…
07-06 04:11:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 6?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa7061f…
07-05 21:00:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8c5007…
07-04 21:07:50	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x029885…
07-04 04:10:38	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfe6296…
07-03 16:41:55	will bitcoin dip to 50k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4ca715…
07-03 00:39:11	bitcoin above 56k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9a8ecc…
07-02 02:41:26	bitcoin above 54k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x44b350…
07-01 14:47:37	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x13427b…
06-30 11:45:04	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1885d3…
06-25 14:03:58	ethereum above 1800 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x688a71…
06-25 08:06:35	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622192122519	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x918698…
06-23 19:41:50	bitcoin above 66k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x9a46f4…
06-23 08:46:28	ethereum above 1400 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2293f8…
06-23 02:36:11	ethereum above 1600 on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x952f61…
06-22 06:04:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd4684…
06-01 19:07:03	Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa93e41…
06-01 15:55:53	Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdc10d6…
05-29 20:00:26	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaf1f1d…
05-29 04:58:13	Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x0d6720…
05-27 10:47:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x88173c…
05-25 23:16:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x88f227…
05-23 19:21:18	Will Jennifer Sundt be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbc2758…
05-22 21:26:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 23?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x4ec2d9…
05-22 06:50:30	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x846f84…
05-20 02:09:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xc5f068…
05-18 06:57:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1ae967…
05-17 04:11:45	Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x989b42…
05-16 15:32:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xadde4b…
05-16 05:03:49	Will Haotong Li win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7e86a…
05-14 12:43:05	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xb85005…
05-13 22:06:27	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1b0c31…
05-13 14:47:03	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x24c8f7…
05-12 14:12:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x954672…
05-12 00:02:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb261b7…
05-11 15:07:01	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x63fb02…
05-10 05:52:07	Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3ffe48…
05-09 11:03:55	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x97a557…
05-08 14:21:13	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4a0683…
05-08 08:51:38	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x3088bf…
05-08 00:13:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5a5f92…
05-07 11:17:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x2f2ce1…
05-06 08:31:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc41904…
05-06 05:14:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0b98f2…
05-06 01:33:20	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd6b16e…
05-04 22:10:56	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x297d0f…
05-04 14:42:58	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xba2771…
05-04 13:13:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf084ba…
05-03 10:16:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0xb54b22…
05-03 10:06:22	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5ce233…
05-02 06:14:44	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x5cb871…
05-01 05:41:06	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc4483a…
05-01 04:35:04	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xdbe02c…
05-01 01:41:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x602fc1…
04-27 11:47:22	Will DeepSeek have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x170ecb…
04-27 02:25:00	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb76b18…