Traumatic-Muscatel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

386

lifetime

Volume

$14.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-19 21:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

49% 67% +$53

Politics

18% 0% $-60

Sports

14% 100% +$22

Tech

10% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	8	$1.4K	727	727	+0	open	—	03-24 12:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-28 12:58
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	5	$851	440	440	+0	open	—	03-29 18:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$606	400	400	+0	open	—	03-16 23:47
us strikes iraq by february 28	7	$574	386	386	+0	open	—	03-03 23:29
US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	5	$438	256	256	+0	open	—	04-07 16:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$420	300	300	+0	open	—	03-30 11:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$401	398	398	+0	open	—	03-02 22:11
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$332	219	219	+0	open	—	02-12 16:47
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$312	200	200	+0	open	—	03-30 00:55
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	3	$261	164	164	+0	open	—	02-01 07:16
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	2	$258	272	0	+272	open	—	03-17 00:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$244	0	582	-582	open	—	06-04 23:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	6	$240	150	150	+0	open	—	04-12 12:28
btc updown 15m 1770502500	4	$229	127	127	+0	open	—	02-07 22:31
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	03-11 21:31
atp alcaraz dimitro 2026 03 06	1	$189	200	0	+200	open	—	03-07 23:27
ufc dan6 ben8 2026 01 31	3	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	02-01 04:02
sea laz par 2026 04 04 laz	4	$154	100	99	+1	open	—	04-04 21:46
lal val cel 2026 04 05 btts	1	$150	250	0	+250	open	—	04-05 14:56
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	6	$148	200	0	+200	open	—	07-19 18:13
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	13	$146	374	0	+374	open	—	03-29 08:46
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 bay	4	$140	103	103	+0	open	—	03-14 15:55
nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29 total 5pt5	8	$130	1,198	144	+1,054	open	—	03-29 19:27
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$125	0	125	-125	open	—	02-28 20:34
btc updown 5m 1770917400	3	$121	62	62	+0	open	—	02-12 17:36
uel mid1 not 2026 03 19 draw	4	$112	99	99	+0	open	—	03-19 20:43
cbb stbon fordm 2026 02 07	3	$107	71	71	+0	open	—	02-07 21:44
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5	3	$105	150	0	+150	open	—	05-27 19:47
por ton ben 2026 02 01 total 1pt5	2	$100	60	60	+0	open	—	02-01 22:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:30:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	298	33¢	$98	0x4fd972…
07-19 18:13:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xe6214a…
07-19 18:12:22	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x552b7a…
07-19 18:11:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	37	74¢	$27	0x9caa5a…
07-19 18:06:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	104	74¢	$77	0x30a30b…
07-19 18:05:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xc57813…
07-19 18:04:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 1pt5	Under	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x548ae4…
07-18 21:46:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xbeade3…
07-18 21:46:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9a0f36…
07-18 21:46:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	SELL	138	22¢	$30	0x9372b9…
07-18 21:46:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	SELL	47	22¢	$10	0x5ffdf7…
07-18 21:22:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 btts	No	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x7ac3dc…
06-04 23:29:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	582	42¢	$244	0xf766e3…
05-30 16:17:11	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	173	29¢	$50	0x811bda…
05-27 19:47:41	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xfa20ec…
05-27 19:47:22	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2dddf0…
05-27 19:46:12	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x432300…
05-24 16:49:07	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf221e7…
05-16 13:58:16	FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xd13314…
05-10 15:38:25	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x20037f…
05-10 01:18:07	UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)	King Green	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xca6198…
05-09 16:36:42	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Brentford FC	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x257bd7…
05-05 19:11:42	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x009b96…
05-02 20:13:06	Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5	No	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0x7e0e4e…
05-02 20:01:08	Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	SELL	50	36¢	$18	0x701296…
05-02 20:00:48	Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x40fa13…
05-02 17:43:48	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	42	64¢	$27	0xe621b2…
05-02 17:43:42	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0xe64eb0…
05-02 17:43:04	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x36cd9e…
05-02 17:42:36	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x3bf947…
05-02 17:42:12	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x10e8d9…
05-02 15:48:00	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0x26b4d7…
05-02 15:45:38	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5f189c…
05-01 19:00:16	Pisa SC vs. US Lecce: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x1fb7d5…
04-29 17:14:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	92	47¢	$43	0xbdcd37…
04-29 17:13:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4fdb32…
04-29 17:12:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x998791…
04-29 15:51:02	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xbdb568…
04-28 20:17:06	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0xe839b7…
04-27 08:32:36	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	110	30¢	$33	0xd3de2c…
04-27 08:32:32	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd9a62f…
04-27 08:32:32	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xc3055f…
04-27 08:32:32	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0x25a84d…
04-27 03:26:06	Will Zachary Shrewsbury be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xafdd3b…
04-26 17:45:32	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?	No	BUY	35	75¢	$26	0xd6591b…
04-25 15:16:38	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	49	87¢	$43	0xad0ad8…
04-25 15:11:26	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x6b1486…
04-25 13:50:38	1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0xcdca91…
04-25 13:50:10	1. FC Köln vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	16	79¢	$13	0xcdd656…
04-24 02:01:30	nhl car ott 2026 04 23 spread away 1pt5	Hurricanes	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x65a9c8…
04-24 02:01:30	nhl car ott 2026 04 23 spread away 1pt5	Hurricanes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x3e8608…
04-24 01:59:18	nhl car ott 2026 04 23 spread away 1pt5	Hurricanes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xaf37fc…
04-22 20:16:42	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 btts	Yes	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x7da3dc…
04-22 20:16:02	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 btts	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xdd29ee…
04-22 20:15:42	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 btts	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x6462da…
04-22 20:15:34	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 btts	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb43379…
04-22 20:15:20	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 btts	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4ddc2c…
04-22 20:15:18	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 btts	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe73ab8…
04-22 20:15:18	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 btts	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x257e43…
04-22 02:33:28	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Canadiens	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x9de0d7…
04-21 23:37:50	Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets	Minnesota Twins	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0x11c530…
04-19 16:28:08	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 mac	No	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0xe56841…
04-18 14:51:44	bun hof dor 2026 04 18 btts	Yes	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x5f90ab…
04-18 14:51:40	bun hof dor 2026 04 18 btts	Yes	BUY	59	53¢	$31	0xe3806e…
04-18 14:51:04	bun hof dor 2026 04 18 btts	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x3f715c…
04-13 10:56:31	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	93	43¢	$40	0x5151ae…
04-12 12:28:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	150	88¢	$132	0xa0edbc…
04-10 19:49:39	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	93	36¢	$34	0x7c7aa9…
04-07 17:32:55	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	99	21¢	$21	0x2d8fce…
04-07 17:17:13	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	101	21¢	$21	0x5b3e78…
04-07 17:09:29	sud cbc vas 2026 04 07 vas	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xabe962…
04-07 16:14:23	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	256	87¢	$223	0x4c6974…
04-06 20:26:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xc8e001…
04-06 19:57:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0xb41d4c…
04-06 19:45:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc38914…
04-06 19:38:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x776e75…
04-06 19:34:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	61	72¢	$44	0x59a7bc…
04-06 19:17:13	sea nap mil 2026 04 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	45	52¢	$24	0x1f6500…
04-06 19:16:37	sea nap mil 2026 04 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x722ec8…
04-06 19:12:43	sea nap mil 2026 04 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0xda4242…
04-05 20:21:57	fl1 asm olm 2026 04 05 btts	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xa22712…
04-05 14:56:29	lal val cel 2026 04 05 btts	Yes	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x0fbbbd…
04-05 14:31:09	sea int rom 2026 04 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	86	49¢	$42	0xc393f8…
04-05 14:09:39	fl1 ang lyo 2026 04 05 draw	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x376fad…
04-05 14:08:47	sea int rom 2026 04 05 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x3aa551…
04-04 21:46:13	sea laz par 2026 04 04 laz	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xeb0d76…
04-04 20:30:43	efa sot ars 2026 04 04 ars	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xdc5ce0…
04-04 20:22:49	efa sot ars 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	BUY	81	65¢	$53	0x171fb7…
04-04 20:22:37	efa sot ars 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x822be4…
04-04 20:21:19	efa sot ars 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x5b643d…
04-04 20:21:13	efa sot ars 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x61de35…
04-04 20:19:59	efa sot ars 2026 04 04 btts	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5ff50d…
04-04 19:39:49	sea laz par 2026 04 04 laz	No	SELL	99	81¢	$80	0x09dfe4…
04-04 19:04:59	sea laz par 2026 04 04 laz	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x157398…
04-04 19:03:57	sea laz par 2026 04 04 laz	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x5ad419…
04-04 12:54:55	lal rso lev 2026 04 04 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x7afc72…
04-03 19:12:21	highest temperature in miami on april 3 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x20e4cd…
04-02 20:06:33	nba min det 2026 04 02	Pistons	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xec20cf…
03-31 18:03:49	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	95	85¢	$81	0xd5d129…
03-31 17:44:37	US x Cuba economic deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xee42d3…