Thick-Cookbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.97K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 08-06 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

95% 75% -$2,971

Politics

4% 43% -$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	13	$3.0K	5,407	18	+5,389	Manhattan Jaspers	-$2,958	02-13 15:54
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	17	$104	52,200	52,200	+0	No	$0	06-06 13:43
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	9	$22	10,840	10,840	+0	No	+$0	05-31 08:52
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$8	4,120	4,120	+0	No	+$0	05-27 17:17
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$8	9	0	+9	Yes	-$8	07-05 12:31
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$7	11	0	+11	No	-$7	07-11 12:56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	1	$4	7	0	+7	Yes	+$3	07-10 11:59
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 09:51
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-31 16:35
US military draft authorized in 2026?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 09:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$3	1	1	+0	open	—	08-06 09:51
ilhan omar town hall attack staged	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	02-13 14:08
will israel nuke iran by january 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-19 16:25
will 28 years later bone temple opening weekend box office be less than 16m	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-19 16:26
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-14 18:03
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-14 18:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	02-13 14:08
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	01-19 16:26
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	02-13 14:09
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$1	13	0	+13	Yes	-$1	01-19 16:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-14 18:02
will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	02-13 14:09
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-14 18:04
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	02-13 14:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-14 18:04
another us strike on venezuela by january 17	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-19 16:26
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 20 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-19 16:26
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-14 18:03
will the fate of ophelia by taylor swift be the billboard 1 song for the week of january 24	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-19 16:26
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-19 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 09:51:18	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf71a32…
08-06 09:51:14	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x099e22…
08-06 09:51:08	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe67365…
07-16 21:41:37	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x94054c…
07-16 21:41:11	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc1212…
07-16 21:40:11	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5ff126…
07-11 12:56:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xf7d25e…
07-10 11:59:04	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xbec265…
07-05 12:31:16	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	9	81¢	$8	0xebc444…
06-14 18:04:37	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x56c607…
06-14 18:04:09	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae5325…
06-14 18:03:54	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xce5b31…
06-14 18:03:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3b74c1…
06-14 18:03:15	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa6cc1…
06-14 18:02:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdbb037…
06-06 13:43:22	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,290	0¢	$7	0xac43f9…
06-06 12:15:37	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,290	0¢	$7	0xe7755d…
06-05 20:49:00	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,580	0¢	$8	0x4078c3…
06-05 19:58:39	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,580	0¢	$8	0x53c0d2…
06-04 19:31:27	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,880	0¢	$8	0x8fec29…
06-04 17:43:43	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7,880	0¢	$8	0xe6044d…
06-03 21:04:58	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8,190	0¢	$8	0xa3b543…
06-03 20:03:13	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,190	0¢	$8	0x990ce8…
06-03 13:34:52	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,881	0¢	$3	0x288403…
06-03 13:33:53	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5,629	0¢	$6	0x463fdd…
06-02 19:31:55	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,510	0¢	$9	0x0daf16…
06-01 17:46:14	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,463	0¢	$1	0xc6a323…
06-01 17:44:06	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	7,387	0¢	$7	0x31cb98…
05-31 19:23:10	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8,850	0¢	$9	0x73eb7d…
05-31 08:52:50	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,519	0¢	$2	0x61d067…
05-31 08:51:53	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,390	0¢	$1	0x2c2efa…
05-31 08:48:56	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,280	0¢	$2	0x5e625a…
05-31 08:47:35	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	151	0¢	$0	0x3d721a…
05-31 08:47:16	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	814	0¢	$1	0xc7dc89…
05-31 08:46:39	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,086	0¢	$3	0x0bf5ce…
05-29 17:13:25	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,340	0¢	$5	0xbff366…
05-29 17:13:10	Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,900	0¢	$4	0x793e86…
05-27 17:17:55	Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,809	0¢	$3	0xe4e3f8…
05-27 17:17:42	Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,311	0¢	$1	0x76d1f4…
05-27 17:03:20	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	84	0¢	$0	0xaca55e…
05-27 17:02:53	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,850	0¢	$5	0xf6d35d…
05-27 16:59:01	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	566	0¢	$1	0xcf9121…
05-26 18:48:14	Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4,120	0¢	$4	0x3d3de2…
05-26 18:42:00	Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,500	0¢	$6	0xe4a456…
03-31 16:35:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x95bcb5…
02-13 15:54:03	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0xa4fbb7…
02-13 15:38:55	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8f41d8…
02-13 15:34:19	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x92f7d3…
02-13 15:31:11	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	4,750	55¢	$2,613	0xe9b26a…
02-13 15:30:39	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa03384…
02-13 15:29:57	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	270	54¢	$146	0x5ff248…
02-13 15:29:39	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xb7847a…
02-13 15:29:25	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x607aad…
02-13 15:29:21	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xa3f663…
02-13 15:29:21	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x7f1cfd…
02-13 15:26:07	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	102	54¢	$55	0x54acef…
02-13 15:25:45	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x0ffd31…
02-13 15:25:31	cbb manh niagra 2026 02 13	Niagara Purple Eagles	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x5f56e9…
02-13 14:09:43	open above 2 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9eb8c…
02-13 14:09:19	will tarique rahman be the next prime minister of bangladesh after the parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7c87cd…
02-13 14:09:03	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4bbbb3…
02-13 14:08:49	ilhan omar town hall attack staged	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc623fb…
02-13 14:08:37	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x27152f…
02-13 14:08:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb04a9b…
01-19 16:27:16	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 480 499	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe3125b…
01-19 16:26:42	will the fate of ophelia by taylor swift be the billboard 1 song for the week of january 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11a1e0…
01-19 16:26:36	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1ce47a…
01-19 16:26:24	another us strike on venezuela by january 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb0ccaa…
01-19 16:26:10	will 28 years later bone temple opening weekend box office be less than 16m	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x48c68a…
01-19 16:26:06	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 20 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6984fa…
01-19 16:26:00	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5eb248…
01-19 16:25:12	will israel nuke iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x953a98…
01-19 16:24:54	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xdb6520…