Writhing-Collectivization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

2,164

Trades

2,242

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 217 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% -$2

Sports

16% 100% +$4

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-15 12:45
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Ursa	+$0	03-15 14:49
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:21
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:24
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:29
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:09
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	100 Thieves	+$0	03-15 12:45
mls nyc mia 2026 03 22 nyc	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-22 19:07
googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	3	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 23:37
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-04 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:47
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	4	$20	10	10	+0	Team Vitality	+$0	03-17 03:24
Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	07-27 07:32
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-31 04:00
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7dc20c…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d7daa…
10-24 13:22:44	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x60c64d…
10-24 13:22:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc67e14…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6be1f…
10-23 06:10:03	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1db705…
10-21 17:12:36	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39814b…
10-20 18:47:45	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x232623…
10-20 18:40:29	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2f3f2…
10-18 03:35:36	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47880e…
10-15 20:32:38	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdaf473…
10-15 19:37:40	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42ec79…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe09d12…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2eb3f…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f8b62…
10-13 14:15:20	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a43b3…
10-13 06:19:43	Wuhan Tennis Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3577c5…
10-13 01:32:59	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdc9d22…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfeefa4…
10-12 09:05:09	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b3286…
10-11 20:16:10	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb882fa…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf5d05a…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc31741…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd226a9…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x83a608…
10-09 02:09:57	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8b6672…
10-07 14:42:13	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb92822…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5456cc…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x372a59…
10-06 20:46:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x248701…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c87c8…
10-04 23:23:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f7e9a…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8eb52e…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d733b…
10-03 14:50:23	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4fbd3f…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x225381…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84c640…
10-02 18:11:17	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1c20d4…
10-02 14:15:35	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8002e5…
10-02 14:13:27	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e0104…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe91e1d…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x229e6d…
10-01 14:40:00	China Open: Alexander Bublik vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7edd0…
10-01 14:12:20	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeef402…
10-01 12:04:56	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfdaeb0…
10-01 05:13:29	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7fad94…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9b1e2…
09-30 23:54:42	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9fb777…
09-30 02:03:00	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1fd4b6…
09-29 13:59:02	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d4c2b…
09-29 13:18:54	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5e6a5b…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47f129…
09-29 06:34:59	wta ribera you 2026 09 28	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a2829…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9fc55e…
09-27 20:35:44	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xde417e…
09-27 14:05:50	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6d8834…
09-27 13:30:39	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2ee56…
09-27 12:12:00	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb774fb…
09-27 01:58:20	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d59b5…
09-27 00:30:42	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf16829…
09-26 23:23:48	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d9f6e…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcffb00…
09-26 19:53:26	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacbf33…
09-26 19:42:24	Wake Forest vs. Louisville	Wake Forest	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54c1f6…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63019d…
09-25 23:33:47	Army vs. Temple	Army	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46591d…
09-25 22:56:30	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x33a326…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x848cce…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x444362…
09-24 20:45:15	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7654f…
09-24 09:44:06	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b2e67…
09-23 22:37:43	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf704ed…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ae167…
09-23 04:45:07	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x026fd5…
09-21 18:44:37	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x269a34…
09-21 08:37:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c3018…
09-21 04:47:03	itf ishii1 suzuki2 2026 09 21	Sayaka Ishii	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ced02…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d6200…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7268b5…
09-20 21:48:07	Will Panaitolikos Agrinio win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f68ef…
09-20 16:16:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ce561…
09-20 13:50:31	atp izquier monteir 2026 09 20	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc64ca7…
09-20 13:50:03	atp izquier monteir 2026 09 20	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe979cb…
09-20 13:46:22	atp izquier monteir 2026 09 20	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x359d86…
09-20 09:13:45	val flfe genggc 2026 09 20 game1	Gen.G GC	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c9f9f…
09-20 03:28:09	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49e948…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe24b23…
09-20 01:26:37	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91ee86…
09-19 22:05:42	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69e3b1…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x44d899…
09-19 03:59:34	Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90b9c5…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x397067…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd0497…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5ee7a8…
09-17 20:00:09	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe7f43f…
09-17 20:00:09	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95dc7f…
09-17 17:27:43	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb37bf3…
09-17 14:00:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c4252…
09-16 06:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb74d02…
09-16 01:32:15	Tiburon: Michael Zheng vs Evan Zhu	Michael Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e2be4…