Writhing-Collectivization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,447

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-09 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$0

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 03:31:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points jalen brunson 25pt5	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x494af7…
06-08 21:37:09	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0a68b…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5aa94e…
06-07 23:59:18	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12d53b…
06-07 23:15:36	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 07	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88b369…
06-07 19:26:45	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c9243…
06-07 19:09:07	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07 set handicap away 1pt5	Cobolli	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3745b7…
06-07 18:51:39	Will Pierre Gasly finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x842808…
06-07 18:51:39	Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a7583…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99cfd0…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc9476d…
06-07 11:41:46	r6siege edg oc1 2026 06 07	EDward Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c707e…
06-06 23:09:43	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf10e52…
06-06 14:19:18	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7ab6ed…
06-06 12:05:58	wttmen gauzy jha 2026 06 06	Jha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb7d754…
06-06 11:32:33	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1e408…
06-06 11:32:28	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbe1212…
06-05 16:16:55	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set totals 3pt5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41d5a5…
06-05 15:45:15	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcdb486…
06-05 01:24:01	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x896e55…
06-04 20:40:42	bkbsl bes bah 2026 06 04	Bahcesehir Koleji	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84ca2a…
06-04 14:19:12	atp mcdonal hijikat 2026 06 03 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x883029…
06-04 13:47:01	atp doubles brooste kirkpee 2026 06 02	Kirkov/Peers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f9053…
06-04 04:48:07	crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	Mali	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe6a856…
06-03 20:20:31	mlb mia wsh 2026 06 03 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcbeb1d…
06-03 16:36:00	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ab099…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5b15d…
06-03 04:48:39	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1fa60…
06-03 02:00:44	Spread: Kansas City Royals (-3.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x223263…
06-02 22:56:05	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa97775…
06-02 15:24:58	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd84415…
06-02 14:02:11	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd426b8…
06-01 18:15:03	Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86f2e9…
06-01 01:16:34	Will Luis Suárez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfdaeb…
05-31 20:50:01	Ruud vs. Fonseca: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e9040…
05-31 19:50:14	Switzerland vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce39a0…
05-31 15:17:50	Rafael Jodar vs. Pablo Carreno Busta: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e7dbb…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55c9be…
05-30 22:09:41	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5111d3…
05-30 18:37:32	LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner	BOMBA Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x634c40…
05-30 15:55:11	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	NIP	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c9982…
05-30 15:50:59	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Bangladesh	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6d733…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc93a25…
05-30 04:47:55	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x83091a…
05-30 04:47:55	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1a78ad…
05-30 00:17:11	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9aff48…
05-29 21:58:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb23441…
05-29 21:06:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a2f8…
05-29 21:01:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf2f6d…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1aeb86…
05-29 13:38:16	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa7d16f…
05-28 16:52:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec8b51…
05-28 12:33:00	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x043dc6…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x735498…
05-28 01:55:49	Club Olimpia vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x105d3b…
05-27 18:03:23	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Anadolu Efes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee0c90…
05-27 16:00:34	Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x242d08…
05-27 14:43:44	Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccc614…
05-27 07:24:59	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe1ee7…
05-27 02:14:32	Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e9bca…
05-26 20:01:34	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9115f…
05-26 16:59:23	World Championships: Sweden vs. Slovakia	Sweden	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf66f72…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8ebf4…
05-26 13:17:57	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x63f38d…
05-26 03:57:38	Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4396f…
05-25 19:22:03	Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x777b67…
05-25 19:18:26	Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e9c9a…
05-25 08:09:11	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f4c89…
05-25 04:48:24	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb2a4c…
05-24 22:57:05	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x08b6a9…
05-24 20:49:39	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf95c07…
05-24 20:34:00	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Luka Pavlovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf477db…
05-24 19:25:18	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4e0b7…
05-24 17:21:54	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xccf799…
05-24 16:02:17	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb06f44…
05-24 16:02:15	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x594af7…
05-24 15:29:51	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e638d…
05-24 04:36:17	mlb oak sd 2026 05 23 spread home 3pt5	Athletics	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd927d…
05-23 23:09:35	Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac6cc2…
05-23 22:55:07	Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30affb…
05-23 16:16:05	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x68f0a6…
05-23 16:00:20	CSKA Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Kuban	CSKA Moscow	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x210a81…
05-23 02:23:59	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b9962…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6b9a7…
05-22 20:37:19	Spread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd36add…
05-22 17:12:39	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x238ae6…
05-22 11:51:14	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9e4d4…
05-21 20:07:43	Nexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21ce7f…
05-21 14:24:56	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8d67e…
05-21 11:20:11	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d41f9…
05-20 21:41:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d5b66…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5479df…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4bd40…
05-20 19:29:25	Lokomotiv Kuban vs. CSKA Moscow	CSKA Moscow	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc43a11…
05-20 19:13:54	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3eb89c…
05-20 16:58:18	World Championships: Czechia vs. Italy	Czechia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a6827…
05-20 11:43:32	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0b952…
05-20 09:47:39	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb5bbd5…
05-20 08:53:26	ITF Wuning: Yuhan Chen vs Yingqun Sun	Yingqun Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x720aa7…
05-20 04:04:50	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5211a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Bubbly-Tortoise 0x783c…2752	743	$3.79K	761	06-09 03:31
Foolish-Badge 0x6cc7…70fe	728	$7.45K	760	06-08 21:37
Skeletal-Attempt 0xabc3…c3a5	726	$3.71K	744	06-08 21:37
Quarterly-Car 0x6ee8…285f	724	$3.71K	745	06-08 21:37
Musty-Archrival 0x268a…f4dc	718	$7.33K	743	06-08 21:37
Unaware-Monopoly 0x615f…265c	718	$7.33K	743	06-08 21:37
Impractical-Comedy 0xcf79…4b69	711	$7.27K	734	06-09 03:31
Short-Router 0x7f37…ffbe	707	$3.62K	730	06-08 21:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
cs2 rbls ursa 2026 02 25 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 14:49
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 12:45
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:21
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
cs2 aim1 100t 2026 02 25 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 12:45
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:47
mls nyc mia 2026 03 22 nyc	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-22 19:07
val vit ucam 2026 02 25 game1	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-17 03:24
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:31
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:47
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-23 13:58
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:11
elc lei swa 2026 04 11 swa	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-11 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 18:01
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:11
kor uls seo 2026 03 07 btts	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-15 19:33
highest temperature in seattle on april 24 2026 54 55f	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-24 22:58
spl ett qad 2026 04 05 spread away 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-05 20:05
atp zhou kotov 2026 04 12	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-14 09:23
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Medvedev	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 21:02
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05