Realized P&L (30d)
+$3.56K
Unrealized P&L
+$750
Hit rate
99.1%
Resolved (30d)
9
Trades (30d)
1,391
4,180 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$191.7K
$544.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$121.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 12:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Crypto
55%
69%
+$9,728
Politics
34%
38%
+$3,566
Other
7%
0%
-$54
Tech
5%
67%
+$2,133
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 166 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | +12,266 | $8,560 | 97¢ | $11.9K | +$3,320 | 10-12 12:56 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +11,670 | $8,146 | 86¢ | $10.0K | +$1,891 | 10-03 08:01 | |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | +10,740 | $7,167 | 88¢ | $9.4K | +$2,231 | 09-27 17:56 | |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | +12,698 | $6,137 | 72¢ | $9.2K | +$3,069 | 09-28 13:40 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | +16,529 | $6,336 | 56¢ | $9.2K | +$2,838 | 10-11 21:13 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +16,784 | $13,615 | 44¢ | $7.5K | -$6,146 | 10-31 05:33 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | Yes | +9,833 | $5,581 | 74¢ | $7.3K | +$1,744 | 11-01 06:14 | |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +10,286 | $5,486 | 70¢ | $7.3K | +$1,766 | 08-20 17:17 | |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +10,872 | $5,029 | 56¢ | $6.1K | +$1,114 | 10-27 03:54 | |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +4,925 | $3,896 | 85¢ | $4.2K | +$291 | 10-03 01:16 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +4,300 | $3,480 | 94¢ | $4.0K | +$541 | 10-30 09:19 | |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +31,365 | $8,827 | 12¢ | $3.9K | -$4,906 | 10-10 00:00 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | +3,923 | $2,607 | 99¢ | $3.9K | +$1,261 | 08-31 17:13 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +4,636 | $3,243 | 72¢ | $3.3K | +$74 | 10-11 21:11 | |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | +11,732 | $7,456 | 28¢ | $3.2K | -$4,230 | 09-28 07:46 | |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | +10,286 | $3,896 | 30¢ | $3.0K | -$862 | 08-22 11:19 | |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -2,673 | -$746 | 98¢ | $-2608 | -$1,862 | 07-15 11:27 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | No | +9,833 | $1,982 | 26¢ | $2.5K | +$526 | 11-01 12:07 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | +2,961 | $2,063 | 81¢ | $2.4K | +$336 | 10-06 08:56 | |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +1,981 | $1,755 | 95¢ | $1.9K | +$132 | 10-28 10:09 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | +1,741 | $1,312 | 86¢ | $1.5K | +$194 | 10-08 07:43 | |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | +1,433 | $1,136 | 98¢ | $1.4K | +$268 | 10-06 19:40 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | +4,636 | $1,320 | 28¢ | $1.3K | -$1 | 10-09 05:15 | |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | +841 | $415 | 98¢ | $820 | +$406 | 10-06 19:40 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -754 | -$321 | 94¢ | $-705 | -$384 | 09-19 12:50 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | +10,244 | $1,529 | 6¢ | $666 | -$863 | 10-30 09:19 | |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | +1,274 | $558 | 44¢ | $554 | -$4 | 10-07 01:42 | |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -492 | -$434 | 97¢ | $-476 | -$42 | 05-05 07:57 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | +6,982 | $2,624 | 6¢ | $447 | -$2,177 | 10-16 08:36 | |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | +517 | $164 | 76¢ | $390 | +$226 | 09-04 03:13 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | 26 | $105.7K | 70,005 | 70,005 | +0 | open | — | 11-01 03:57 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 352 | $41.6K | 70,727 | 26,972 | +43,755 | No | -$538 | 03-31 15:09 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | 128 | $37.2K | 79,881 | 60,215 | +19,666 | open | — | 11-01 12:07 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | 93 | $34.3K | 39,289 | 14,757 | +24,532 | open | — | 10-12 12:56 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 196 | $30.2K | 44,241 | 10,928 | +33,313 | open | — | 10-31 05:33 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 205 | $27.6K | 84,923 | 44,900 | +40,023 | Yes | +$3,228 | 10-26 02:05 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | 62 | $26.6K | 25,153 | 5,990 | +19,164 | Yes | +$2,995 | 06-12 13:59 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 193 | $19.6K | 46,565 | 4,460 | +42,105 | open | — | 10-10 00:00 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 143 | $15.7K | 27,679 | 3,249 | +24,430 | open | — | 09-28 13:40 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 260 | $14.6K | 23,575 | 17,347 | +6,228 | open | — | 10-16 08:36 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 144 | $12.6K | 20,764 | 6,219 | +14,545 | open | — | 10-30 09:19 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 54 | $12.2K | 23,009 | 2,438 | +20,571 | open | — | 08-22 11:19 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182 | 13 | $10.7K | 11,094 | 0 | +11,094 | No | +$440 | 04-30 09:14 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 103 | $10.6K | 10,084 | 9,919 | +165 | No | +$337 | 10-25 11:00 |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 164 | $10.3K | 14,081 | 6,438 | +7,643 | No | +$222 | 03-30 08:53 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 86 | $9.5K | 13,410 | 1,352 | +12,059 | open | — | 11-01 13:38 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 29 | $9.1K | 13,769 | 418 | +13,352 | No | +$3,736 | 04-29 14:20 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 48 | $7.6K | 11,351 | 2,079 | +9,272 | open | — | 10-11 21:11 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | 42 | $7.0K | 9,051 | 2,672 | +6,379 | No | +$869 | 03-12 16:31 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 30 | $6.9K | 5,846 | 3,782 | +2,064 | Yes | +$310 | 04-21 13:20 |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 49 | $6.2K | 12,207 | 1,984 | +10,223 | No | +$921 | 01-30 17:14 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 65 | $6.0K | 16,652 | 2,477 | +14,174 | Yes | -$165 | 04-27 12:33 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 33 | $5.6K | 12,146 | 0 | +12,146 | open | — | 10-27 03:54 |
| infinex fdv above 300m one day after launch 311 | 58 | $5.5K | 9,395 | 9,129 | +265 | No | -$643 | 01-30 19:11 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 39 | $5.1K | 7,161 | 3,393 | +3,767 | No | +$75 | 03-21 04:45 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 29 | $4.2K | 6,453 | 400 | +6,053 | open | — | 10-12 18:36 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | 29 | $3.7K | 3,769 | 2,735 | +1,034 | open | — | 09-04 15:13 |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 20 | $3.7K | 3,801 | 1,633 | +2,168 | No | +$328 | 03-13 14:00 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 22 | $3.1K | 5,542 | 1,425 | +4,117 | Yes | +$2,044 | 04-17 03:19 |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 46 | $3.1K | 4,655 | 693 | +3,961 | open | — | 10-28 10:09 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||