Realized P&L
+$18.0K
Unrealized P&L
-$9.51K
Hit rate
73.1%
Resolved
78
Trades
4,349
lifetime
Volume
$544.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$125
Open exposure
$102.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-07 13:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Crypto
55%
69%
+$9,728
Politics
34%
18%
+$6,204
Other
7%
0%
-$54
Tech
5%
67%
+$2,133
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 166 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | +12,266 | $8,560 | 98¢ | $12.0K | +$3,455 | 10-12 12:56 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | +16,529 | $6,336 | 56¢ | $9.3K | +$3,003 | 10-11 21:13 | |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | +10,740 | $7,167 | 86¢ | $9.3K | +$2,123 | 09-27 17:56 | |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | +12,698 | $6,137 | 72¢ | $9.1K | +$2,942 | 09-28 13:40 | |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +10,286 | $5,486 | 72¢ | $7.4K | +$1,920 | 08-20 17:17 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +16,784 | $13,615 | 44¢ | $7.3K | -$6,314 | 10-31 05:33 | |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +10,872 | $5,029 | 63¢ | $6.8K | +$1,821 | 10-27 03:54 | |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +4,925 | $3,896 | 88¢ | $4.4K | +$463 | 10-03 01:16 | |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +30,365 | $8,687 | 14¢ | $4.1K | -$4,588 | 11-03 03:05 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +4,300 | $3,480 | 95¢ | $4.1K | +$617 | 10-30 09:19 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | +3,923 | $2,607 | 98¢ | $3.9K | +$1,249 | 08-31 17:13 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +4,636 | $3,243 | 75¢ | $3.5K | +$243 | 10-11 21:11 | |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | +11,732 | $7,456 | 29¢ | $3.3K | -$4,112 | 09-28 07:46 | |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | +10,286 | $3,896 | 28¢ | $2.9K | -$1,016 | 08-22 11:19 | |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | -2,673 | -$746 | 97¢ | $-2604 | -$1,858 | 07-15 11:27 | |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +1,981 | $1,755 | 95¢ | $1.9K | +$120 | 10-28 10:09 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +11,670 | $8,146 | 16¢ | $1.9K | -$6,278 | 10-03 08:01 | |
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | +1,433 | $1,136 | 98¢ | $1.4K | +$273 | 10-06 19:40 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | +4,636 | $1,320 | 25¢ | $1.1K | -$170 | 10-09 05:15 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | +977 | $153 | 84¢ | $826 | +$672 | 11-05 21:09 | |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | +841 | $415 | 96¢ | $811 | +$397 | 10-06 19:40 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | -754 | -$321 | 94¢ | $-711 | -$390 | 09-19 12:50 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | +757 | $161 | 88¢ | $666 | +$506 | 10-30 00:17 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | +10,244 | $1,529 | 5¢ | $487 | -$1,042 | 10-30 09:19 | |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | -492 | -$434 | 98¢ | $-480 | -$46 | 05-05 07:57 | |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | +1,274 | $558 | 37¢ | $471 | -$87 | 10-07 01:42 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | +6,982 | $2,624 | 6¢ | $394 | -$2,229 | 10-16 08:36 | |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Yes | +517 | $164 | 70¢ | $365 | +$201 | 09-04 03:13 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | +2,961 | $2,063 | 12¢ | $355 | -$1,707 | 10-06 08:56 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | +389 | $1 | 84¢ | $327 | +$325 | 11-01 13:38 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | 30 | $105.7K | 70,015 | 70,015 | +0 | open | — | 11-04 05:48 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 352 | $41.6K | 70,727 | 26,972 | +43,755 | No | -$538 | 03-31 15:09 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | 150 | $37.3K | 79,927 | 60,260 | +19,667 | No | +$2,271 | 11-02 16:45 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | 93 | $34.3K | 39,289 | 14,757 | +24,532 | open | — | 10-12 12:56 |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 196 | $30.2K | 44,241 | 10,928 | +33,313 | open | — | 10-31 05:33 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 205 | $27.6K | 84,923 | 44,900 | +40,023 | Yes | +$3,228 | 10-26 02:05 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | 62 | $26.6K | 25,153 | 5,990 | +19,164 | Yes | +$2,995 | 06-12 13:59 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 194 | $19.7K | 46,565 | 5,460 | +41,105 | open | — | 11-03 03:05 |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | 143 | $15.7K | 27,679 | 3,249 | +24,430 | open | — | 09-28 13:40 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 260 | $14.6K | 23,575 | 17,347 | +6,228 | open | — | 10-16 08:36 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 144 | $12.6K | 20,764 | 6,219 | +14,545 | open | — | 10-30 09:19 |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 54 | $12.2K | 23,009 | 2,438 | +20,571 | open | — | 08-22 11:19 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182 | 13 | $10.7K | 11,094 | 0 | +11,094 | No | +$440 | 04-30 09:14 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | 103 | $10.6K | 10,084 | 9,919 | +165 | No | +$337 | 10-25 11:00 |
| Based FDV above $200M one day after launch? | 164 | $10.3K | 14,081 | 6,438 | +7,643 | No | +$222 | 03-30 08:53 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 86 | $9.5K | 13,410 | 1,352 | +12,059 | open | — | 11-01 13:38 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 29 | $9.1K | 13,769 | 418 | +13,352 | No | +$3,736 | 04-29 14:20 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 48 | $7.6K | 11,351 | 2,079 | +9,272 | open | — | 10-11 21:11 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | 42 | $7.0K | 9,051 | 2,672 | +6,379 | No | +$869 | 03-12 16:31 |
| USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 30 | $6.9K | 5,846 | 3,782 | +2,064 | Yes | +$310 | 04-21 13:20 |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 49 | $6.2K | 12,207 | 1,984 | +10,223 | No | +$921 | 01-30 17:14 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 65 | $6.0K | 16,652 | 2,477 | +14,174 | Yes | -$165 | 04-27 12:33 |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 33 | $5.6K | 12,146 | 0 | +12,146 | open | — | 10-27 03:54 |
| infinex fdv above 300m one day after launch 311 | 58 | $5.5K | 9,395 | 9,129 | +265 | No | -$643 | 01-30 19:11 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 39 | $5.1K | 7,161 | 3,393 | +3,767 | No | +$75 | 03-21 04:45 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 29 | $4.2K | 6,453 | 400 | +6,053 | open | — | 10-12 18:36 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | 29 | $3.7K | 3,769 | 2,735 | +1,034 | open | — | 09-04 15:13 |
| Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 20 | $3.7K | 3,801 | 1,633 | +2,168 | No | +$328 | 03-13 14:00 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 22 | $3.1K | 5,542 | 1,425 | +4,117 | Yes | +$2,044 | 04-17 03:19 |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | 46 | $3.1K | 4,655 | 693 | +3,961 | open | — | 10-28 10:09 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||