Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
52
Trades
11,161
lifetime
Volume
$157.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$20
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-01 09:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
67% 64% +$42
Other
27% 36% $-116
Politics
6% 100% +$99
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +11 $9 90¢ $10 +$1 06-25 20:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +3 $2 91¢ $3 +$0 06-01 14:55
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $4 28¢ $2 $-2 06-30 15:08
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes +5 $4 46¢ $2 $-2 06-30 14:56
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-20 14:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 $-1 06-02 14:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +52 $4 $0 $-4 06-20 14:29
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +6 $1 $0 $-1 06-25 15:58
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +3 $2 $0 $-2 06-19 22:53