Realized P&L
+$25
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved
52
Trades
11,390
lifetime
Volume
$158.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$29
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-22 05:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Sports
67% 64% +$42
Other
27% 36% $-116
Politics
6% 100% +$99
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +11 $9 86¢ $10 +$1 06-25 20:32
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +19 $5 26¢ $5 +$0 07-13 19:51
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $3 62¢ $4 +$0 07-12 21:26
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +11 $3 32¢ $4 +$0 07-15 18:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 $-0 06-01 14:55
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes +5 $4 38¢ $2 $-2 06-30 14:56
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-20 14:40
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $4 12¢ $1 $-3 06-30 15:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 14¢ $1 $-1 06-02 14:27
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +3 $2 $0 $-2 06-19 22:53