Realized P&L
-$2.05K
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
2,991
Trades
11,951
lifetime
Volume
$163.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$25
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 08-12 22:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Sports
65% 50% -$935
Other
29% 54% -$1,996
Politics
6% 57% +$876
Tech
0% 60% +$4
Crypto
0% 80% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +11 $9 96¢ $11 +$2 06-25 20:32
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $3 92¢ $5 +$2 07-12 21:26
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +19 $5 14¢ $3 -$2 07-13 19:51
trump meets with putin by december 31 Yes +3 $1 82¢ $3 +$1 07-08 13:17
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $4 22¢ $2 -$2 06-30 15:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +11 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 07-15 18:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 06-02 14:27
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +4 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 07-30 07:44