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Realized P&L (90d)
-$23
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
48.5%
Resolved (90d)
21
Trades (90d)
7
11,902 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$42
$162.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$25
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 08-12 22:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 199 days
Categories
Sports
65% 50% -$935
Other
29% 54% -$1,996
Politics
6% 57% +$876
Tech
0% 60% +$4
Crypto
0% 80% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +11 $9 98¢ $11 +$2 06-25 20:32
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +6 $3 96¢ $6 +$2 07-12 21:26
trump meets with putin by december 31 Yes +3 $1 83¢ $3 +$1 07-08 13:17
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +19 $5 12¢ $2 -$3 07-13 19:51
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $4 18¢ $2 -$3 06-30 15:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +11 $3 12¢ $1 -$2 07-15 18:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 8¢ $0 -$2 06-02 14:27
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 07-30 07:44