(anonymous) 0x6fcfc5…76af56
hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$2.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$592
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
33
Trades
1,259
lifetime
Volume
$77.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$62
Open exposure
$67.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 11:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
42% 100% +$0
Politics
33% — —
Sports
25% 75% +$2,181
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10,802 $10,408 97¢ $10.5K +$54 10-29 09:02
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +7,096 $6,751 93¢ $6.6K -$173 10-19 20:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +6,385 $6,216 98¢ $6.2K +$16 10-19 15:41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5,822 $5,698 98¢ $5.7K +$4 10-28 14:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No +5,764 $5,536 96¢ $5.5K -$14 10-18 22:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,777 $4,682 98¢ $4.7K +$7 10-29 09:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,478 $4,125 92¢ $4.1K +$17 10-14 19:13
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +3,793 $2,934 94¢ $3.6K +$632 09-17 10:23
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,947 $2,850 94¢ $2.8K -$79 09-25 07:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +2,854 $2,546 88¢ $2.5K -$49 10-19 14:11
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,723 $1,654 96¢ $1.6K -$4 10-28 12:16
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,726 $1,632 96¢ $1.6K +$16 10-18 11:15
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,592 $1,554 98¢ $1.6K -$2 10-27 21:14
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,445 $1,404 98¢ $1.4K +$11 09-17 11:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,202 $1,553 56¢ $1.2K -$331 09-16 17:55
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,202 $641 44¢ $980 +$339 09-18 07:18
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,092 $972 90¢ $978 +$5 10-27 19:15
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,004 $783 82¢ $828 +$45 10-22 03:45
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +862 $838 96¢ $824 -$14 09-28 02:07
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +751 $706 94¢ $706 +$0 10-27 00:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +670 $623 94¢ $633 +$10 09-25 16:16
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +792 $595 68¢ $535 -$60 09-16 21:38
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +7,096 $393 7¢ $518 +$125 10-18 23:45
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,854 $320 12¢ $357 +$36 10-19 04:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +11,098 $414 3¢ $350 -$65 10-29 10:28
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +4,478 $353 8¢ $336 -$17 10-19 16:04
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +278 $269 98¢ $271 +$2 10-12 18:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +792 $191 32¢ $257 +$66 09-18 10:40
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +5,764 $228 4¢ $242 +$14 10-19 10:03
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +253 $232 92¢ $234 +$1 10-22 06:37