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Realized P&L
+$145
Unrealized P&L
-$71
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
209
Trades
671
lifetime
Volume
$8.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$171
29 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 11-06 14:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
47% 56% +$107
Politics
41% 44% +$28
Tech
7% 50% +$30
Sports
3% 51% +$2
Pop-Culture
1% 57% -$11
Crypto
0% 0% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +47 $28 70¢ $33 +$4 10-16 22:25
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +45 $27 60¢ $27 +$0 11-06 16:10
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +23 $19 87¢ $20 +$1 11-04 16:45
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +26 $10 65¢ $17 +$7 11-04 06:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +19 $13 80¢ $15 +$2 10-27 23:06
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week? Yes +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 11-06 14:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +37 $10 19¢ $7 -$3 07-27 21:48
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +68 $7 8¢ $6 -$2 11-03 20:42
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 11-04 13:46
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 11-06 09:11
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 11-06 11:00
Will Kirsten Gillibrand vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 11-06 10:48
Will "Clayface" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m? Yes +9 $5 49¢ $5 $0 11-05 23:40
Will "Ramayana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? Yes +16 $3 22¢ $3 +$0 11-06 16:27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +8 $5 38¢ $3 -$2 10-25 21:55
Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? Yes +8 $5 34¢ $3 -$2 11-03 22:30
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 28m? Yes +19 $6 6¢ $1 -$5 11-02 22:43
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027? Yes +42 $14 0¢ $0 -$14 10-23 20:40
US imports Russian diesel by November 15? Yes +3 $5 7¢ $0 -$5 10-28 12:37
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? No +11 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 11-01 21:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +36 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-20 01:49
Will "Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA" be the #2 US song this week? No +10 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-02 18:12
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? No +8 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-05 20:23
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 +$0 10-22 00:13
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? Yes +0 $32 8¢ $0 -$32 10-14 22:25
Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? Yes +0 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 11-03 20:42
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +0 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 09-04 04:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-21 19:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +0 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 10-29 22:53