(anonymous) 0x700873…db2fdd
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
+$45
Hit rate
92.7%
Resolved
234
Trades
737
lifetime
Volume
$2.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$103
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-13
last 10-29 17:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Other
67% 85% +$22
Politics
31% 85% -$1
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 98 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT? Yes +10 $10 97¢ $10 $0 10-28 06:53
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +13 -$30 56¢ $7 +$37 10-29 17:50
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 10-20 15:13
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-26 10:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 10-26 10:51
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +5 $3 98¢ $5 +$2 10-16 09:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 09-26 07:22
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 10-27 07:39
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +6 $5 82¢ $5 $0 09-14 15:23
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 70¢ $3 -$1 10-25 07:01
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 10-16 09:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 10-09 14:04
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +6 $2 48¢ $3 +$1 10-18 13:45
saudi houthi ceasefire agreement announced by october 31 No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$1 09-29 16:11
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +4 $1 57¢ $2 +$1 09-28 10:51
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-28 06:35
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-16 08:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-16 09:02
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 81¢ $2 +$0 10-16 08:59
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +3 $2 85¢ $2 +$0 10-25 07:00
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-26 10:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-23 13:52
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 83¢ $2 +$0 10-25 06:17
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 10-02 08:59
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 09-19 13:39
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3 $2 68¢ $2 +$0 09-23 13:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-25 06:16
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 10-26 10:54
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 10-25 06:13
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 09-26 07:54