(anonymous) 0x700974…85390a Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$236
Unrealized P&L
-$141
Hit rate
57.6%
Resolved
347
Trades
1,436
lifetime
Volume
$4.60K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$508
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 07-18 06:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
65% 80% +$198
Other
31% 80% +$42
Sports
4% 97% -$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -100 -$78 91¢ $-91 -$14 07-05 15:49
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -64 -$6 100¢ $-64 -$59 05-28 12:38
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -130 -$65 44¢ $-58 +$7 06-30 04:19
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -42 -$12 100¢ $-42 -$29 07-03 19:08
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -100 -$42 32¢ $-32 +$11 06-04 14:47
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -67 -$23 38¢ $-25 -$3 06-22 18:53
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$25 21¢ $-21 +$4 07-12 19:21
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -30 -$24 70¢ $-21 +$3 07-10 17:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -70 -$6 26¢ $-19 -$12 07-16 20:42
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -100 -$1 16¢ $-16 -$15 06-04 15:50
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? Yes -30 -$11 50¢ $-15 -$4 07-10 21:42
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%? Yes -30 -$2 47¢ $-14 -$12 07-01 15:48
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -30 -$2 44¢ $-13 -$11 06-09 14:58
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -30 -$8 28¢ $-8 -$1 06-03 19:36
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -70 -$1 12¢ $-8 -$7 07-10 20:26
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40 -$4 17¢ $-7 -$3 05-26 16:48
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori? Yes -30 -$6 22¢ $-7 $0 07-10 21:42
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? Yes -28 -$4 24¢ $-7 -$2 07-09 21:25
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes -60 -$4 9¢ $-5 -$1 07-02 09:55
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40 -$10 12¢ $-5 +$5 05-30 22:35
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes -60 -$3 7¢ $-4 -$1 07-10 02:03
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -30 -$4 12¢ $-4 $0 06-05 18:23
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -30 -$5 12¢ $-3 +$2 06-08 21:34
Will J.D. Vance be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes -60 -$4 5¢ $-3 +$1 06-15 12:35
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? Yes -6 -$3 42¢ $-3 +$0 06-09 00:24
Will Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes -33 -$1 8¢ $-2 -$2 07-08 15:21
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -32 -$5 8¢ $-2 +$2 07-05 16:25
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -70 -$5 3¢ $-2 +$3 06-16 20:32
Will Brian Kemp be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes — -30 -$1 7¢ $-2 -$1 06-10 10:31
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -40 -$2 5¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 09:16