Realized P&L (90d)
-$94
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
27.9%
Resolved (90d)
5
Trades (90d)
0
784 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$0
$72.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$92
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 05-13 18:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
62%
76%
+$755
Politics
37%
82%
-$18
Crypto
1%
67%
-$9
Sports
0%
100%
+$0
Tech
0%
0%
$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 38 | $11.7K | 7,425 | 4,909 | +2,517 | No | +$435 | 04-30 23:32 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 5 | $6.4K | 1,489 | 5,312 | -3,823 | No | -$173 | 05-13 18:16 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 24 | $4.1K | 2,268 | 1,920 | +348 | No | +$61 | 04-02 19:43 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 24 | $3.9K | 2,137 | 2,137 | +0 | No | +$376 | 04-01 00:00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 6 | $3.1K | 1,363 | 1,763 | -400 | No | +$9 | 05-13 18:16 |
| nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026 | 8 | $2.8K | 1,403 | 1,403 | +0 | No | +$2 | 01-08 22:00 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 30 | $2.7K | 1,920 | 838 | +1,082 | No | +$16 | 03-04 01:22 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | 12 | $2.5K | 1,389 | 1,671 | -282 | Yes | -$80 | 05-13 18:16 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 13 | $2.4K | 1,778 | 708 | +1,070 | Yes | +$9 | 04-08 21:03 |
| will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282 | 19 | $2.3K | 1,204 | 1,204 | +0 | No | +$59 | 03-16 22:05 |
| will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 26 | $2.2K | 1,894 | 376 | +1,517 | No | +$76 | 02-01 18:52 |
| will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election | 15 | $2.1K | 1,084 | 1,084 | +0 | No | +$5 | 03-03 06:39 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 18 | $1.8K | 940 | 940 | +0 | Yes | +$93 | 03-13 02:20 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 17 | $1.6K | 806 | 806 | +0 | Yes | +$28 | 03-14 02:21 |
| ilhan omar town hall attack staged | 16 | $1.5K | 764 | 717 | +47 | No | +$12 | 02-27 03:52 |
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 19 | $1.5K | 1,460 | 0 | +1,460 | No | +$4 | 01-03 21:16 |
| will khamenei leave iran by friday | 21 | $1.3K | 1,312 | 0 | +1,312 | No | +$19 | 01-09 08:19 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 10 | $1.0K | 506 | 506 | +0 | No | +$8 | 02-28 17:57 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 10 | $983 | 934 | 61 | +873 | Yes | +$12 | 01-28 20:35 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 13 | $978 | 502 | 502 | +0 | No | +$19 | 01-31 22:38 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | 9 | $927 | 557 | 557 | +0 | No | -$138 | 04-07 23:58 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | 7 | $792 | 824 | 1 | +823 | No | +$34 | 04-28 20:27 |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | 5 | $684 | 352 | 352 | +0 | No | +$4 | 05-13 18:28 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | 2 | $621 | 314 | 314 | +0 | No | +$1 | 04-20 04:21 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | 8 | $600 | 320 | 320 | +0 | No | +$0 | 05-13 18:28 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 8 | $569 | 361 | 234 | +127 | Yes | -$5 | 03-03 06:42 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | 28 | $553 | 409 | 409 | +0 | No | -$177 | 03-25 17:49 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | 10 | $504 | 299 | 299 | +0 | No | -$54 | 05-13 18:28 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 6 | $483 | 248 | 248 | +0 | No | +$1 | 05-10 23:48 |
| us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026 | 30 | $480 | 483 | 0 | +483 | Yes | +$3 | 01-03 11:58 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||