Cheery-Fiesta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$994

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 06-06 21:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 50% $-11

Other

41% 50% +$1

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	5	$117	232	232	+0	open	—	05-05 21:39
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$78	79	79	+0	open	—	05-05 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$68	48	48	+0	open	—	05-22 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$42	39	39	+0	open	—	05-22 03:13
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	4	$37	38	38	+0	open	—	05-08 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$30	31	10	+20	open	—	05-22 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	4	$30	43	43	+0	Down	+$10	05-10 04:03
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$29	122	122	+0	open	—	05-07 13:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	Down	+$7	05-10 04:47
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$26	29	29	+0	Yes	+$3	05-07 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 04:39
btc updown 5m 1780779600	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	06-06 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	7	$21	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 04:23
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	05-05 21:39
btc updown 5m 1780780500	2	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 21:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	2	$19	125	125	+0	Yes	$-1	05-05 17:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	2	$19	143	143	+0	open	—	05-05 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$18	18	18	+0	Down	+$6	05-10 03:53
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	125	125	+0	open	—	05-06 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	5	$17	13	10	+3	open	—	05-22 03:18
btc updown 5m 1780778400	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	06-06 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	Up	$-15	05-10 04:49
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	3	$14	461	461	+0	open	—	05-05 21:41
Will the Rolex Index hit $13,150 (HIGH) by April 30?	6	$14	281	281	+0	open	—	04-27 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 04:31
btc updown 5m 1780778100	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	06-06 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-20 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-22 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-22 02:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 21:37:43	btc updown 5m 1780782000	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xd60809…
06-06 21:18:03	btc updown 5m 1780780500	Up	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x0eba3f…
06-06 21:15:30	btc updown 5m 1780780500	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x37c9de…
06-06 21:10:37	btc updown 5m 1780780200	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x736463…
06-06 21:06:30	btc updown 5m 1780779900	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x4bd782…
06-06 21:05:22	btc updown 5m 1780779600	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0x73620e…
06-06 21:02:10	btc updown 5m 1780779600	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x94ef2f…
06-06 20:56:18	btc updown 5m 1780779300	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd2c326…
06-06 20:50:49	btc updown 5m 1780779000	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb00d0d…
06-06 20:45:36	btc updown 5m 1780778700	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x60ab2f…
06-06 20:43:58	btc updown 5m 1780778400	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x277cdd…
06-06 20:40:28	btc updown 5m 1780778400	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7ffc5f…
06-06 20:38:18	btc updown 5m 1780778100	Down	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xf53f07…
06-06 20:35:36	btc updown 5m 1780778100	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc0d349…
06-06 20:25:51	btc updown 5m 1780777500	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xecf1f9…
06-06 20:23:19	btc updown 5m 1780777200	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x740934…
06-06 20:22:09	btc updown 5m 1780777200	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb014eb…
06-06 20:19:01	btc updown 5m 1780776900	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xf1ab89…
06-06 20:18:07	btc updown 5m 1780776900	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xfa1544…
05-22 03:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9ac627…
05-22 03:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x436343…
05-22 03:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x84a459…
05-22 03:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc193f8…
05-22 03:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x166708…
05-22 03:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9f4ed3…
05-22 03:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3fff95…
05-22 03:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xe7465c…
05-22 03:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xd564e0…
05-22 03:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	39	58¢	$22	0xb882f8…
05-22 03:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	50¢	$19	0xa22439…
05-22 02:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5abdfe…
05-22 02:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc57880…
05-22 02:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x021021…
05-22 02:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xe87ca3…
05-22 02:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x1ad9e8…
05-22 02:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf70d45…
05-22 02:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	28	67¢	$19	0x98e961…
05-22 02:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x881221…
05-21 03:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf4a55c…
05-21 03:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x068ce6…
05-21 03:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x35285d…
05-21 03:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x74bf90…
05-21 03:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xd7113e…
05-21 03:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5eb2f2…
05-21 03:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x38dc9c…
05-20 18:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa06165…
05-20 18:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xba846e…
05-20 18:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfe9062…
05-20 18:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x378bd1…
05-20 18:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc5ebac…
05-10 04:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x8cacd5…
05-10 04:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xf4aea1…
05-10 04:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x3da1ec…
05-10 04:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x447ba9…
05-10 04:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd236c7…
05-10 04:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xc7919c…
05-10 04:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x630216…
05-10 04:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x03b655…
05-10 04:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x5b94db…
05-10 04:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcb2b45…
05-10 04:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xdaedf9…
05-10 04:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x755b5e…
05-10 04:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x9f38c9…
05-10 04:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x6f6354…
05-10 04:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x43f1cb…
05-10 04:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0xc7d9fb…
05-10 04:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3d3b59…
05-10 04:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x4df012…
05-10 04:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf62150…
05-10 04:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2ac3e7…
05-10 04:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3c762e…
05-10 04:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	16	66¢	$10	0x1ff5ac…
05-10 04:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x06ca5e…
05-10 04:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	28	34¢	$9	0xe37d8a…
05-10 04:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x033264…
05-10 03:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1b4b2d…
05-10 03:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0c3d13…
05-10 03:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xec1ab1…
05-10 03:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x46e94e…
05-10 03:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x14efd9…
05-10 03:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6e4f0a…
05-10 03:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd07a6e…
05-10 03:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc3c39f…
05-10 03:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x123428…
05-10 03:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x79b9db…
05-10 03:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x7669e6…
05-10 03:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x070a25…
05-10 03:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb47b50…
05-10 03:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6e24ca…
05-10 03:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x87af5f…
05-08 12:43:12	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	SELL	38	55¢	$21	0x8e8cf5…
05-07 21:25:21	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5de2c0…
05-07 21:17:49	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	49¢	$14	0x7541d2…
05-07 14:17:42	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xbca61c…
05-07 14:16:31	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$1	0x205bca…
05-07 14:14:53	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xfd30e4…
05-07 14:09:43	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd84d21…
05-07 13:46:19	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	14¢	$18	0x1a3736…
05-06 22:46:32	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	6¢	$8	0x8efaca…
05-06 17:03:49	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdfbd84…