Cruel-Doe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

190

Trades

306

lifetime

Volume

$2.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 06-24 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

69% 94% -$1

Sports

25% 97% -$7

Politics

5% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% 50% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	6	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	05-09 23:59
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 80 99	6	$60	50	10	+40	No	+$0	02-07 19:05
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	6	$59	30	30	+0	No	-$1	05-13 22:52
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 40 59	5	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	03-01 06:30
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	5	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	06-07 20:39
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	4	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-26 11:14
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 0 19	4	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-18 01:28
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$40	30	10	+20	No	+$0	05-01 00:06
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 60 79	4	$40	30	10	+20	No	+$0	02-10 04:25
Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	4	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	04-27 08:25
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$40	30	10	+20	No	+$0	05-13 22:34
donald trump of truth social posts march 17 march 24 20 39	4	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-18 01:29
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 60 79	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-03 03:11
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-30 04:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-01 02:57
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-26 05:47
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	4	$30	20	10	+10	No	+$0	03-04 03:39
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 20 39	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-28 01:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	4	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-27 23:21
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-02 19:56
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$30	20	10	+10	No	+$0	05-14 05:26
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-01 06:21
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-25 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-14 07:50
nba okc lal 2026 02 09 rebounds deandre ayton 8pt5	3	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	02-10 05:18
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-15 00:44
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	05-12 21:08
nba sac sas 2026 02 21	2	$20	72	72	+0	Spurs	+$1	02-22 02:44
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-25 09:34
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-12 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 06:16:32	Will White House post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb9f888…
06-24 06:16:32	Will White House post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x60f0bb…
06-24 06:16:02	Will White House post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9424a…
06-24 06:15:13	Will White House post 0-19 posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x418c0d…
06-22 14:15:43	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x85194a…
06-22 06:08:59	Will White House post 60-79 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x263c12…
06-16 16:00:13	Will White House post 20-39 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9748ea…
06-14 08:30:12	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa9ae1…
06-14 07:50:46	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x14167c…
06-13 20:54:34	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x313da0…
06-13 20:43:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6fa79c…
06-13 16:13:09	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21ada2…
06-08 04:36:06	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bf2f1…
06-08 01:42:25	Will White House post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf85c48…
06-07 20:39:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf4377…
06-07 16:47:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8822d…
06-07 14:01:21	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf1bd0d…
06-07 14:01:18	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x779ac2…
06-05 05:05:39	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18bf00…
06-04 03:39:39	Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bf53f…
05-26 11:22:29	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x87d265…
05-26 11:14:52	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10ddca…
05-26 10:40:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1e003f…
05-26 10:39:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c9ce3…
05-26 05:47:11	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69b3d2…
05-26 01:15:37	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c61ad…
05-26 01:13:57	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeabe40…
05-19 12:41:35	Will White House post 60-79 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a6871…
05-17 08:39:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec8249…
05-15 05:26:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8df2d3…
05-15 05:26:18	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3b8970…
05-15 05:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c6466…
05-15 00:44:40	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf5c7d3…
05-14 23:51:42	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ab295…
05-14 23:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd31b97…
05-14 23:45:27	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1eda2…
05-14 11:11:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc797b8…
05-14 09:00:50	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8bc6de…
05-14 05:26:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf3a780…
05-13 22:52:23	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x02ae9c…
05-13 22:34:02	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd75c6b…
05-13 22:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x42828b…
05-13 22:18:57	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3838f6…
05-13 04:42:27	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xee2546…
05-13 04:41:12	Will White House post 60-79 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8896f…
05-13 04:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc89454…
05-12 21:08:34	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfdcb43…
05-12 21:07:22	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x5e7690…
05-11 16:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x710ff9…
05-11 16:05:18	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe85f5f…
05-11 15:23:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6737e5…
05-11 08:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf65db…
05-10 19:03:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x10bfda…
05-10 18:02:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd933f…
05-09 23:59:03	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc59a72…
05-09 15:10:36	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93c6a7…
05-09 12:14:11	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x518025…
05-08 01:35:27	Will White House post 80-99 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd6f57b…
05-06 01:11:12	Will White House post 40-59 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ea5d3…
05-05 10:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd4bbcb…
05-05 06:24:10	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x724c63…
05-05 06:24:00	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57f915…
05-05 06:23:34	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdad4a9…
05-05 06:20:50	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf10223…
05-05 06:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa1c3f0…
05-02 21:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77e9e5…
05-02 20:46:54	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1fe11…
05-02 19:56:32	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x139d5a…
05-02 16:10:52	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3cf358…
05-02 14:50:32	Will White House post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee30e4…
05-01 05:13:58	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb9c74a…
05-01 02:57:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x636c66…
05-01 02:57:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0bc004…
05-01 02:57:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7442fc…
05-01 00:06:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a5934…
04-30 04:44:08	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x990269…
04-30 04:33:54	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x784d13…
04-30 04:31:00	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a0ce0…
04-30 00:34:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x186eaa…
04-30 00:27:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xeda7e2…
04-30 00:27:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf46a2…
04-27 23:21:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc8b37…
04-27 08:25:58	Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a6293…
04-26 04:25:38	Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe914c2…
04-26 02:03:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe04a25…
04-26 02:03:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd04aa2…
04-25 23:21:02	Will White House post 80-99 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc07d7…
04-25 20:29:06	Will White House post 60-79 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c2b93…
04-25 17:39:44	Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x913b69…
04-25 17:14:10	Will White House post 40-59 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x854c49…
04-25 16:17:30	Will White House post 0-19 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb14a63…
04-25 08:39:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x069b70…
04-24 14:55:22	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2271b…
04-06 09:23:21	ted cruz of tweets march 31 april 7 2026 40 59	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x1ca0c4…
04-06 03:14:33	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 60 79	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x37f4de…
04-04 11:44:09	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 20 39	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d7e71…
04-04 07:17:09	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 0 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a41e7…
04-04 06:12:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 0 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x920f20…
04-03 06:23:41	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 60 79	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2b091a…
04-03 03:11:09	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 60 79	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca2d5d…