Realized P&L (30d)
+$398
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
61.9%
Resolved (30d)
87
Trades (30d)
111
7,733 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$7.84K
$577.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$155
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 10-28 06:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 51% -$18,041
Sports
18% 47% +$808
Other
17% 34% -$1,099
Politics
1% 35% -$308
Tech
0% 0% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +31 $24 88¢ $27 +$3 09-29 17:16
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +28 $25 90¢ $26 +$1 09-18 02:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +41 $23 60¢ $25 +$2 10-12 02:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +29 $24 82¢ $23 $0 10-27 15:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +29 $25 78¢ $22 -$2 10-19 02:03
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -20 -$19 95¢ $-19 +$0 09-24 00:36
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +12 $10 97¢ $12 +$2 08-19 03:08
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes +45 $9 2¢ $1 -$8 06-12 19:39