Shrill-Android — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

2,533

Trades

7,733

lifetime

Volume

$577.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$155

8 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-28 06:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 182 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 51% -$18,041

Sports

18% 47% +$808

Other

17% 34% -$1,099

Politics

1% 35% -$308

Tech

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+31	$24	88¢	$27	+$3	09-29 17:16
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?	No	+28	$25	90¢	$26	+$1	09-18 02:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+41	$23	59¢	$24	+$1	10-12 02:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+29	$24	81¢	$23	-$1	10-27 15:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+29	$25	80¢	$23	-$2	10-19 02:03
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	-20	-$19	95¢	$-19	+$0	09-24 00:36
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	+12	$10	97¢	$12	+$2	08-19 03:08
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+45	$9	2¢	$1	-$8	06-12 19:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 19pt5	3	$3.9K	2,452	2,423	+30	Suns	+$966	04-23 04:14
mlb min kc 2026 04 02	2	$3.5K	1,958	1,945	+14	Minnesota Twins	+$448	04-02 21:28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$3.1K	8,218	8,218	+0	No	-$496	07-14 20:20
nba nop por 2026 04 02	2	$2.6K	1,596	1,578	+18	Trail Blazers	+$594	04-03 04:38
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$2.5K	8,976	1,390	+7,586	Yes	+$5,699	07-14 20:35
lal mal rea 2026 04 04 mal	4	$2.4K	1,581	1,558	+23	Yes	+$780	04-04 16:20
mlb bal tb 2026 08 14	2	$2.2K	1,295	1,295	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$209	08-15 02:06
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	3	$2.2K	2,305	1,667	+638	Knicks	+$1,165	06-11 03:48
76ers vs. Celtics	4	$2.1K	2,246	1,363	+883	76ers	+$611	05-03 02:08
bun hsv aug 2026 04 04 draw	2	$2.1K	1,270	1,270	+0	Yes	+$469	04-04 15:38
wnba por sea 2026 08 14	3	$2.0K	2,369	592	+1,777	Portland Fire	+$946	08-15 03:56
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 7am et	7	$1.9K	1,914	1,311	+603	Down	+$487	04-05 13:18
Pistons vs. Magic	3	$1.9K	1,440	1,021	+419	Magic	+$162	04-28 03:06
Pistons vs. Magic	4	$1.9K	1,200	1,184	+16	Magic	+$526	04-25 20:05
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	4	$1.7K	1,019	1,019	+0	Yes	+$317	04-28 01:44
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)	2	$1.7K	1,132	1,116	+16	Spurs	+$531	04-27 00:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 19:45 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,148	1,108	+40	Down	+$539	04-02 19:50
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$1.7K	1,163	1,163	+0	Yes	+$662	07-04 00:05
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$1.6K	845	844	+1	Texas Rangers	+$40	04-18 05:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 19:15 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,088	1,051	+36	Down	+$494	04-02 19:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 17:30 UTC	2	$1.6K	1,094	1,054	+40	Down	+$549	04-02 17:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 15:00 UTC	2	$1.6K	851	844	+7	Up	+$101	04-08 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9AM ET	40	$1.6K	1,737	1,319	+418	Down	+$363	04-29 15:25
mlb laa bal 2026 08 06	3	$1.5K	2,250	0	+2,250	Los Angeles Angels	-$406	08-06 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10PM ET	4	$1.5K	1,339	646	+693	Up	-$188	05-04 03:11
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 12pm et	2	$1.4K	939	907	+32	Down	+$438	04-06 17:06
mlb oak nyy 2026 04 09	3	$1.4K	1,061	1,039	+21	Athletics	+$708	04-09 20:17
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 7am et	3	$1.4K	870	848	+22	Down	+$283	04-06 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	13	$1.3K	1,419	978	+441	Down	+$458	05-01 17:05
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$1.3K	5,901	0	+5,901	No	-$1,326	05-31 02:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:38:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0xc6c310…
10-27 15:33:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0xab510f…
10-27 07:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	134	60¢	$80	0xc7d8fe…
10-27 03:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	126	63¢	$80	0x27e905…
10-27 02:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	153	59¢	$90	0x29f39b…
10-26 12:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	78	77¢	$60	0x8482e6…
10-25 12:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	108	65¢	$70	0xa46b32…
10-25 08:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0xb74751…
10-24 16:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	122	57¢	$70	0xee20c6…
10-24 12:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	106	52¢	$55	0x122f95…
10-24 11:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	129	62¢	$80	0x60632a…
10-24 02:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	74	62¢	$46	0xf6177b…
10-23 06:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	146	55¢	$80	0x92018f…
10-22 11:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	129	62¢	$80	0x4eb599…
10-22 10:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0xfa924d…
10-21 11:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	158	57¢	$90	0x18cc13…
10-20 06:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	130	62¢	$80	0xf18496…
10-20 02:48:41	Commanders vs. 49ers	Commanders	BUY	865	14¢	$120	0x08b80d…
10-19 16:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	217	35¢	$75	0x1ccc8a…
10-19 15:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xa042ce…
10-19 15:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x38b623…
10-19 15:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	341	53¢	$180	0x824262…
10-19 04:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	171	59¢	$100	0x343b69…
10-19 02:03:20	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x400691…
10-18 16:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	121	58¢	$70	0x8e601b…
10-18 16:08:27	Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0x27cbcc…
10-18 03:04:17	Notre Dame vs. BYU	Notre Dame	BUY	136	33¢	$45	0x57c6a7…
10-18 02:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	149	47¢	$70	0x093057…
10-17 17:04:50	bitcoin up or down october 17 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xadbead…
10-17 09:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	110	59¢	$65	0x5cf426…
10-17 08:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	132	60¢	$80	0x8bb328…
10-17 02:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	224	25¢	$55	0xee554f…
10-17 00:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	133	35¢	$46	0x42acf8…
10-16 18:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0xd5418c…
10-16 18:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	124	64¢	$80	0x54e1e8…
10-16 17:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0xd9bec5…
10-16 17:19:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x120c25…
10-16 17:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	82	91¢	$74	0xb94170…
10-16 17:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	482	62¢	$300	0x8221e7…
10-16 16:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	186	43¢	$80	0x9692a4…
10-16 06:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0xde5ede…
10-16 05:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	155	29¢	$45	0x6974f5…
10-12 02:02:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x53d920…
10-10 17:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	202	49¢	$100	0xf4ba89…
10-10 05:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	120	58¢	$70	0x464bc9…
10-09 19:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	159	44¢	$70	0x1f2084…
10-09 13:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	148	47¢	$70	0xd02c16…
10-09 12:26:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x244430…
10-09 12:22:36	bitcoin up or down october 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x519320…
10-09 12:05:34	bitcoin up or down october 9 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	255	47¢	$120	0x40e540…
10-09 11:50:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	316	8¢	$25	0x01dfeb…
10-09 11:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xd569cc…
10-09 10:50:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xbccb63…
10-09 10:50:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-09 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	69	40¢	$28	0x2ccdae…
10-09 03:42:33	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Chicago White Sox	BUY	530	5¢	$26	0xf0e3e9…
10-09 03:14:54	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	471	3¢	$15	0x59a676…
10-09 03:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	144	55¢	$80	0x34b924…
10-09 02:38:41	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Cowboys	BUY	253	15¢	$38	0xcc4f60…
10-09 02:11:23	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys	Buccaneers	BUY	708	65¢	$460	0xb87d85…
10-08 17:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0xcd1a2c…
10-08 16:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x9c0bc2…
10-08 16:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	185	38¢	$70	0x3eecf2…
10-08 15:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	154	52¢	$80	0xa12350…
10-08 13:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0xccf04b…
10-05 17:06:19	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	224	58¢	$130	0xff9e3b…
10-05 05:05:29	bitcoin up or down october 5 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	156	45¢	$70	0xa0d595…
10-04 07:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	70	64¢	$45	0xa7cfc8…
10-03 15:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0x6fdc12…
10-03 08:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	117	38¢	$45	0x688d64…
10-03 04:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	89	67¢	$60	0x7381c9…
10-02 16:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xe4abee…
10-02 16:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x449342…
10-02 16:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xccd7f3…
10-02 14:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0xcc8b52…
10-02 10:16:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	114	53¢	$60	0x907460…
10-02 07:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	140	57¢	$80	0xc1b4f8…
10-02 06:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x9118d9…
10-02 06:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0x1baf51…
10-02 05:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	138	58¢	$80	0xe8e7c9…
10-02 01:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0xf74496…
10-02 01:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	110	64¢	$70	0x1e05f5…
10-01 15:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x34fa0d…
10-01 15:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x4b3940…
10-01 08:08:08	bitcoin up or down october 1 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xc6822e…
10-01 04:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	137	51¢	$70	0xb33b1f…
10-01 02:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	64	90¢	$58	0x451b96…
10-01 02:16:11	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	164	37¢	$60	0xce3def…
09-30 17:03:20	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	158	57¢	$90	0x109072…
09-30 16:01:39	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	108	51¢	$55	0x6c333f…
09-30 15:05:21	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x03fd1e…
09-30 14:26:50	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0x7212cf…
09-30 14:01:09	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	224	58¢	$130	0x360182…
09-30 13:00:38	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	173	52¢	$90	0x9ba4ad…
09-30 04:46:51	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xf71449…
09-30 02:01:18	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	152	46¢	$70	0xdb8eff…
09-30 01:08:00	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0xce30de…
09-29 22:51:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-29 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x523d03…
09-29 17:16:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0x1dd1e8…
09-29 17:16:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x7308be…
09-29 17:01:45	bitcoin up or down september 29 2026 1pm et	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x18d44e…