Impeccable-Earthworm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$41.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$136

Open exposure

$182

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-10 17:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

34% — —

Other

34% 100% +$3

Crypto

27% 100% +$1

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No		+184	$182	99¢	$182	+$1	06-10 17:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	15	$5.0K	2,588	2,588	-0	open	—	02-22 01:51
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	24	$3.0K	1,485	1,482	+3	open	—	01-09 11:49
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$2.5K	1,504	1,037	+467	open	—	01-24 01:36
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	5	$2.0K	1,009	1,009	+0	open	—	01-10 03:14
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$2.0K	985	985	+0	open	—	01-11 03:20
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	11	$1.9K	959	959	+0	open	—	02-14 20:35
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	6	$1.5K	1,018	509	+509	open	—	02-03 10:29
will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	7	$1.2K	610	630	-20	open	—	02-04 05:59
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	4	$1.1K	564	564	+0	open	—	01-03 06:53
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.0K	528	528	+0	open	—	02-12 20:12
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	open	—	02-18 02:48
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	open	—	02-19 02:07
will the us next strike iran on february 8 2026 et	2	$1.0K	509	509	+0	open	—	02-10 01:57
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	2	$1.0K	509	509	+0	open	—	02-08 10:28
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	2	$1.0K	513	513	+0	open	—	02-06 16:38
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	02-17 12:25
Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	6	$960	482	482	+0	Yes	+$3	05-05 02:28
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	6	$888	458	430	+29	open	—	01-04 03:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	5	$670	344	344	+0	open	—	05-24 10:41
us strikes yemen by december 31	3	$651	551	100	+451	open	—	01-04 03:51
will edgex launch a token in 2025	2	$567	284	284	+0	open	—	01-02 00:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	14	$557	283	283	+0	open	—	05-08 12:41
will the dhs shutdown last 5 days or more 837	1	$515	516	0	+516	open	—	02-18 02:49
will grok 4pt20 be released on february 15 2026	1	$511	512	0	+512	open	—	02-16 03:59
will president be said at the super bowl 277	4	$508	509	0	+509	open	—	02-11 20:39
will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	1	$507	508	0	+508	open	—	02-09 05:50
will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	24	$506	52	456	-403	open	—	01-14 08:34
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	02-15 05:24
Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	5	$356	316	140	+176	Yes	+$0	05-05 02:29
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	3	$336	170	170	+0	open	—	06-10 08:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 17:29:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	129	99¢	$128	0xe5adec…
06-10 16:48:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xed95ce…
06-10 08:38:39	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	170	99¢	$168	0x106c43…
06-06 16:41:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0xed384d…
06-06 16:20:03	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xd86cb7…
05-31 12:19:41	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x346cd6…
05-29 14:08:44	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x519bec…
05-29 13:42:57	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b7e43…
05-29 13:41:39	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x8d8fc3…
05-25 11:49:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01a1ac…
05-24 10:41:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x402a55…
05-24 10:41:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	253	99¢	$250	0x222108…
05-23 21:14:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	253	96¢	$242	0xf7eea8…
05-23 00:16:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0xd4892e…
05-22 11:06:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xb187c9…
05-22 11:01:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x661411…
05-22 08:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	No	BUY	91	97¢	$88	0xf8ecc8…
05-16 11:42:39	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xec45cd…
05-08 12:41:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x08f212…
05-08 12:18:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xadf5cc…
05-08 12:18:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6034c9…
05-08 12:18:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x3fc9a8…
05-08 12:18:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x3b1d71…
05-07 23:33:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	133	98¢	$131	0xcd9853…
05-05 02:29:32	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcb1d1e…
05-05 02:29:32	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xcb1d1e…
05-05 02:29:30	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x050148…
05-05 02:28:44	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x99250a…
05-05 02:28:40	Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xf48226…
05-05 02:28:34	Will Rihanna be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x965838…
05-05 02:27:54	Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0xef8fdf…
05-05 02:27:20	Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4ffec0…
05-05 02:25:26	Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0x34184a…
05-05 02:25:06	Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf6bbb3…
05-05 02:23:42	Will Hailey Bieber be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x2b7447…
05-04 08:12:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x81f3c5…
05-04 07:56:52	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	SELL	113	99¢	$112	0xbf2567…
05-03 15:58:58	Trump out as President by May 31?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x7b8a01…
05-03 14:26:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb3bfa7…
05-03 14:16:28	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	SELL	650	2¢	$10	0x6bbe57…
05-03 14:08:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xdce4f3…
05-03 14:05:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4c0402…
05-03 13:51:14	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	650	2¢	$11	0x18a9e2…
05-03 13:46:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x36042e…
05-03 13:40:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x33ca71…
05-03 12:55:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x478342…
05-03 12:54:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$65	0x491bc5…
05-03 12:37:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x87e396…
04-25 05:36:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$148	0xbafe98…
04-23 18:45:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0x4a3b96…
04-22 08:47:12	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$148	0xbc8d73…
04-20 23:42:26	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$148	0x1a1d30…
04-20 11:34:20	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$88	0x3ca09b…
04-20 11:18:38	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x96c654…
04-20 10:18:58	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5adbc3…
04-20 09:55:08	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x002a40…
04-17 18:54:50	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	149	99¢	$147	0x61bdc5…
04-10 12:38:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x719633…
04-10 05:07:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xbbec1a…
04-09 00:31:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x356831…
04-08 12:00:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	146	100¢	$145	0x436448…
04-07 01:59:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	136	97¢	$132	0x994883…
04-07 01:57:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xecce76…
04-05 15:24:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	146	97¢	$141	0x40ec3c…
03-27 05:16:05	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x8f6556…
03-26 06:14:21	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0xe815ee…
03-26 06:12:37	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2fb0a2…
03-26 06:12:29	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x323f7d…
03-26 06:03:49	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf8772f…
03-26 06:01:33	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x694d19…
03-26 06:01:07	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc0646d…
03-26 06:00:35	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x35e476…
03-26 06:00:19	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x93285b…
03-25 20:59:53	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x714222…
03-25 15:00:03	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x98c8b0…
03-25 14:46:33	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa5dc1c…
03-25 14:40:59	will brazil join the board of peace	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8a54a3…
03-25 14:38:55	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbebb06…
03-23 12:51:29	highest temperature in tokyo on march 23 2026 18c	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x8eafdd…
03-23 12:43:31	will russia test a nuclear weapon by march 31 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xb3c2f1…
03-23 12:43:09	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x965111…
03-23 12:42:49	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x0def9c…
03-23 12:42:21	will trump talk to nicols maduro in march 958	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xae7c96…
03-23 12:41:55	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6cfe3f…
03-23 12:41:31	will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of march	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x763a92…
03-21 06:29:47	will pierre yves bournazel win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xb73904…
03-20 09:33:05	highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 16c	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xbb38c0…
03-20 09:31:05	highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 16c	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xc92f81…
03-19 14:55:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x62f373…
03-14 22:20:31	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd56d16…
03-14 14:29:15	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x584c72…
03-12 15:47:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xd9ad31…
03-11 09:44:29	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	143	100¢	$143	0xb75340…
03-10 10:37:05	will usd fall to 1pt5m iranian rials by march 31 656 625 393	Yes	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x8da778…
03-08 03:11:23	will israel strike lebanon on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xf10d3b…
03-08 03:10:47	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xb3b786…
03-07 13:55:55	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xcafe1b…
03-06 05:15:25	Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0x64080d…
03-05 11:47:21	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x48fbf2…
03-04 18:43:43	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xb96a8d…