Ready-Duckling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

187

Trades

1,919

lifetime

Volume

$1.48M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$771

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-24 04:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 57% -$20,812

Other

15% 39% -$37,075

Sports

11% 50% -$12,878

Politics

10% 59% -$2,245

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	122	$215.4K	259,495	259,495	+0	No	+$3,009	07-24 14:36
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	108	$113.1K	303,370	303,370	+0	No	-$12,626	07-24 14:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	64	$80.4K	449,215	449,215	+0	open	—	09-18 08:06
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	1	$58.6K	59,877	0	+59,877	No	+$1,312	01-15 02:12
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$41.1K	21,314	21,314	+0	Yes	+$1,080	01-27 03:11
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	2	$40.3K	20,284	20,284	+0	Seahawks	+$264	02-09 03:58
bitcoin up or down on january 30	3	$39.8K	22,774	19,548	+3,226	Down	-$931	01-30 12:03
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	164	$37.2K	55,240	54,625	+615	No	+$869	02-16 09:29
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	166	$36.5K	43,269	43,269	+0	Yes	+$1,894	03-27 21:49
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	31	$36.2K	72,065	72,065	+0	No	-$4,621	02-09 08:25
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	3	$28.6K	23,866	23,866	+0	Yes	+$4,186	07-09 08:28
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$28.4K	25,202	5,000	+20,202	No	+$702	02-01 01:52
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	62	$21.3K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	-$599	01-14 21:49
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	35	$21.1K	12,076	12,076	+0	No	+$198	02-12 15:57
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$19.0K	32,330	32,330	+0	Yes	-$1,046	01-31 12:53
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	19	$18.2K	11,765	11,765	+0	No	+$1,334	04-01 15:36
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more 842	5	$16.8K	15,452	15,452	+0	Yes	-$7,398	01-30 06:24
nfl gb chi 2026 01 10	2	$16.8K	11,234	11,234	+0	Bears	-$3,949	01-11 04:15
will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	2	$14.5K	14,000	14,000	+0	Yes	+$2,138	08-21 09:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	25	$14.1K	63,642	63,642	+0	open	—	08-20 22:50
nba chi hou 2026 01 13	2	$13.4K	14,415	0	+14,415	Rockets	+$975	01-14 03:23
nba lac det 2026 01 10	6	$13.4K	15,585	15,585	+0	Clippers	-$8,676	01-11 03:14
nba uta cle 2026 01 12	2	$12.8K	6,530	6,530	+0	Jazz	+$236	01-13 03:43
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	9	$12.6K	12,245	12,245	+0	Yes	-$5,175	01-31 05:39
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	6	$11.5K	14,196	14,196	+0	No	-$8,456	01-31 06:16
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$11.3K	6,105	6,105	+0	No	-$121	03-25 09:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	81	$11.2K	47,948	30,931	+17,017	No	-$4,326	04-21 03:15
nba mil den 2026 01 11	2	$10.7K	5,785	5,785	+0	Nuggets	+$845	01-12 04:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	30	$10.6K	38,925	37,379	+1,546	No	-$2,136	04-21 00:52
us government funding lapse on january 31	4	$10.0K	9,537	9,537	+0	Yes	-$1,988	01-30 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 04:10:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	SELL	5,781	36¢	$2,107	0xbe6938…
10-22 23:30:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x887dc3…
10-22 23:29:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5,721	38¢	$2,174	0xeb8d91…
09-22 05:57:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x4bcece…
09-22 05:56:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	3,614	37¢	$1,355	0x2064e1…
09-19 20:00:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	400	14¢	$56	0x49d924…
09-19 19:08:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	3,216	13¢	$428	0x0c7fc4…
09-18 08:06:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107,850	5¢	$5,393	0x88fe3e…
09-17 12:34:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,604	6¢	$397	0x89568d…
09-17 01:34:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	630	6¢	$38	0x72ea28…
09-17 01:31:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,588	7¢	$461	0x2cfbf4…
09-17 00:31:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,170	6¢	$190	0x6a1a88…
09-17 00:27:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56,584	6¢	$3,395	0xad2fac…
09-17 00:27:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x419b0d…
09-17 00:26:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	655	7¢	$46	0xec3651…
09-14 23:07:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	679	9¢	$61	0x08a693…
09-14 23:06:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39,135	9¢	$3,522	0xf6213d…
09-14 23:05:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,738	8¢	$219	0x2ef5d2…
09-14 19:40:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19,173	6¢	$1,155	0x625326…
09-14 08:26:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40,000	6¢	$2,400	0xde3e14…
09-14 08:26:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,427	7¢	$381	0x8d5ea2…
09-13 06:34:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,271	10¢	$627	0xfed3cc…
09-13 06:16:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,412	10¢	$441	0x2c9926…
09-11 06:25:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,972	8¢	$878	0x3a75f6…
09-11 06:25:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,084	9¢	$188	0x92db26…
09-10 19:33:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25,179	10¢	$2,518	0xaef027…
09-09 09:40:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15,000	5¢	$752	0xbfb906…
09-09 04:51:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,060	6¢	$184	0x9c8cb0…
09-09 04:50:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,845	6¢	$351	0x8cd221…
09-09 04:49:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,103	7¢	$357	0xf851ab…
09-09 04:48:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,097	8¢	$168	0x3f78bf…
09-03 04:51:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34,897	10¢	$3,410	0x0c628f…
09-02 23:51:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55,119	6¢	$3,308	0xc371a2…
09-02 23:50:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,933	7¢	$555	0x9c132d…
09-02 09:23:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	73,524	11¢	$8,088	0xaf7581…
09-02 09:22:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72,322	10¢	$7,230	0xd98564…
09-02 08:56:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29,084	8¢	$2,327	0x15106b…
09-02 07:53:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,141	8¢	$411	0xe69a2b…
09-02 07:52:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	1,961	7¢	$137	0x106683…
09-02 07:51:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	6,490	5¢	$310	0x1fd697…
09-01 10:11:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,470	8¢	$758	0x101fc0…
09-01 09:48:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	702	7¢	$49	0x9bfc54…
09-01 09:27:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x0b74f7…
09-01 09:27:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	361	7¢	$25	0xb5e187…
09-01 09:26:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$201	0x142c2d…
09-01 09:17:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$13	0x2a1583…
09-01 09:17:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	748	7¢	$49	0x7004d7…
09-01 09:14:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa78c90…
09-01 09:13:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	904	5¢	$43	0x7321de…
09-01 09:12:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xe59302…
09-01 09:11:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20,000	7¢	$1,400	0x33812f…
09-01 08:58:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	836	4¢	$33	0x78c89e…
09-01 08:55:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x43c492…
09-01 08:54:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x4a7c6c…
08-31 01:17:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11,710	11¢	$1,288	0x3892a1…
08-31 01:14:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,000	10¢	$600	0x841140…
08-31 01:14:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	10¢	$13	0x51e77e…
08-31 01:14:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45,315	10¢	$4,532	0x602665…
08-31 00:30:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,913	9¢	$712	0x6370bb…
08-29 15:37:48	cfb mphs unlv 2026 08 30 total 54pt5	Over	BUY	84	57¢	$48	0xf23913…
08-21 13:43:03	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xdae71c…
08-21 09:59:34	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	7,945	43¢	$3,407	0xaeccf2…
08-21 09:59:16	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	14,000	59¢	$8,298	0xe459ee…
08-21 04:14:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45,375	8¢	$3,725	0x1c32aa…
08-20 23:27:27	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	5,000	10¢	$500	0xa4a6dd…
08-20 23:27:09	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2,946	10¢	$295	0xf3c18d…
08-20 22:55:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,346	10¢	$635	0x870667…
08-20 22:54:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,885	11¢	$537	0xe6f2cc…
08-20 22:53:52	will bitcoin reach 85000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	14,000	44¢	$6,160	0x9a718c…
08-20 22:50:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21,641	6¢	$1,298	0xccb451…
08-20 20:35:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	11¢	$330	0x6280a4…
08-20 20:35:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,359	11¢	$482	0xc507be…
08-20 20:34:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,720	13¢	$224	0xb5e1e5…
08-20 20:33:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	7¢	$210	0x093f56…
08-20 20:33:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29,819	7¢	$2,092	0x05667d…
08-20 20:32:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	902	14¢	$126	0x84a53e…
08-20 16:16:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,048	14¢	$707	0x620a28…
08-20 16:16:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	885	15¢	$133	0x70766f…
08-20 16:15:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,306	9¢	$748	0x91892a…
08-20 15:57:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x989286…
08-20 15:55:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	10¢	$20	0x97bcc5…
08-20 15:54:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	671	11¢	$74	0xbae7fc…
08-20 15:53:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,680	16¢	$429	0x37b5d8…
08-20 10:03:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,510	12¢	$781	0x77955a…
08-20 09:38:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	17¢	$44	0x434d18…
08-20 09:03:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,928	19¢	$3,026	0xa3f504…
08-20 09:03:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,054	19¢	$960	0xa4accd…
08-20 09:03:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,054	19¢	$960	0x5b277c…
08-20 09:02:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,054	19¢	$960	0x50817f…
08-20 09:02:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,993	19¢	$949	0x26e7f2…
08-20 09:02:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,993	19¢	$949	0xf2dc3d…
08-20 09:01:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,054	19¢	$960	0x321d78…
08-20 09:01:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,054	19¢	$960	0x45bf81…
08-20 09:01:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13,780	19¢	$2,618	0x20f9b7…
08-20 09:01:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	332	19¢	$63	0x045ea4…
08-20 08:41:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	198	18¢	$36	0x37095f…
08-20 08:05:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,064	19¢	$1,152	0x7aea56…
08-20 08:05:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,046	12¢	$606	0x89fca9…
08-20 07:39:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xdfbd57…
08-20 07:38:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,485	18¢	$627	0xb4bd0e…