Ambitious-Mule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

1,513

Trades

1,557

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-25 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Other

80% 98% +$2

Sports

15% 100% +$2

Crypto

4% 98% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	—	+10	$10	99¢	$10	$0	10-27 13:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:01
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-24 17:22
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2	$20	20	0	+20	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	+$0	10-24 14:15
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-27 17:22
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner	2	$20	10	10	+0	TheMongolz	+$0	05-27 17:22
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:30
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-28 16:30
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 05:51
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Over	$0	04-22 17:37
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$0	05-05 15:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-25 16:26
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-24 17:11
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-15 21:42
Rams vs. Eagles	1	$10	10	0	+10	Rams	+$0	10-04 20:22
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-15 05:18
mex jua pue 2026 07 17 first half total 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Under	+$0	07-18 05:05
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$10	10	0	+10	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf15af5…
10-25 09:30:57	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb95a8b…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9c55a1…
10-24 14:15:03	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf426ff…
10-24 14:15:03	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb8bb0…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7751eb…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf42914…
10-24 12:46:05	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x542d77…
10-23 16:52:32	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea2cc6…
10-23 07:21:20	Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa431d3…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd66ab8…
10-22 20:15:20	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28950e…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x764cdd…
10-20 18:36:03	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d9b36…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6360d2…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7263cb…
10-15 20:32:41	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5a51fa…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62076e…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1f589…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf5016…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9ab810…
10-13 21:12:07	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6322d0…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd95646…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x700903…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97ce95…
10-12 09:08:34	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a355f…
10-11 20:16:09	Bengals vs. Dolphins	Bengals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96b211…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2f3aea…
10-11 10:26:12	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe0b108…
10-11 04:59:56	Kings vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8d6438…
10-10 12:55:58	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdd7eb0…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd6ea3…
10-10 10:20:13	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x241014…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8f45a0…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13a2bf…
10-07 05:49:23	W15 Maanshan: Anna Yang vs Darja Suvirdjonkova	Anna Yang	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfd7dd0…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa96c83…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8e0d33…
10-06 13:20:16	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc25229…
10-04 23:23:14	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bff69…
10-04 20:22:58	Rams vs. Eagles	Rams	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x591364…
10-04 20:17:43	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd26179…
10-04 07:45:11	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x098ef4…
10-03 14:50:21	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecc7ed…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa13bb5…
10-03 02:53:02	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x789f64…
10-02 14:15:27	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0254ca…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1ca7e…
10-02 13:22:56	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a85fc…
10-01 22:20:05	atp dias olivier 2026 10 01	Pedro Boscardin Dias	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55fe88…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe91e1d…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf139c0…
10-01 20:36:05	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x4d4bb6…
10-01 16:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4e304…
10-01 14:15:12	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x755038…
10-01 14:14:05	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3068a6…
10-01 14:13:45	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1b2522…
10-01 12:05:05	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xff9416…
10-01 11:29:45	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1ea5de…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb802c2…
10-01 05:16:11	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32edae…
09-30 23:55:00	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb1589…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb3edc0…
09-30 06:59:57	atp struff tirante 2026 09 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x90f3ce…
09-30 01:55:50	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe704db…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1a6cad…
09-29 13:58:51	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd54e8b…
09-29 13:16:00	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f862f…
09-28 16:53:14	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf24db4…
09-28 10:07:54	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47371b…
09-27 20:41:57	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd70708…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55378b…
09-27 13:31:18	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2576ff…
09-27 12:24:53	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf38c79…
09-27 00:20:33	atp legout marcond 2026 09 26	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a4493…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f7366…
09-26 20:01:35	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfd4a2…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ff983…
09-26 16:16:57	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x786497…
09-26 12:18:24	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf863b9…
09-25 22:56:30	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x33a326…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x848cce…
09-24 20:45:12	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47ad4f…
09-24 09:44:05	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb9fa2d…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ad099…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93a079…
09-23 04:45:08	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x566aed…
09-21 18:44:39	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7906c7…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2ddebf…
09-20 22:25:41	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91e89a…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0c278…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x775981…
09-20 01:26:42	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c33c6…
09-17 17:27:46	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe15bc9…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6b00d…
09-17 14:00:52	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8edef8…
09-17 12:57:04	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x039fcc…
09-16 16:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 16?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d341e…
09-16 12:05:15	atp canas lagutin 2026 09 16	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6a800a…
09-16 11:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b7b63…